In last one year or so Investors preference clearly changed
in favor of export oriented businesses due to sharp fall in the value of
Rupee. Conventional forex earners like IT and Pharma out performed during this
period.But unfortunately ,investors in general ignored forex earning companies
from other sectors and hence such companies still quoting at lower multiples
even if their business improved due to rupee depreciation. This week let us
look into one such company – Shakti Pumps.Shakti Pumps is India’s largest stainless steel submersible pump maker located at Pithampur Madhya Pradesh . Company is the
first five star rated pump manufacturer
in India. In addition to submersible pumps ,company also producing Vertical
Multistage Centrifugal pumps,Pressure booster pumps,Open well pumps,End suction
pumps..etc. Recently company introduced pumps working with solar power.This
product is expected to get strong support from government for rural irrigation
purpose .A major chunk of company’s income coming from exports to various
countries and export showing good growth over past few years.Now company is
planning to extent its presence in all BRIC countries and European Union
countries.Company having a sizable business in Indian market too and it
planning to increase its dealer network by 3 fold in next few years.
It is one of the fastest growing companies from this sector .From Rs.41
Cr sales in 2006 it reached a top line of Rs.210 Cr in 2013. Its export thrust
and improvement in India’s rural economy is expected to drive further growth
.Company is targeting a turnover of Rs.600 Cr in next three years.In the
latest September quarter Company reported a jump of 50 % in its turnover and
profit compared with last year’s same quarter.Pledging of shares by promoters
is the only reason for some concern.But ,since its financial performance is
improving quarter over quarter ,I don’t expect much issues from this
angle.Moreover pledge is not with any NBFC but with one of its bankers - Axis Bank.Company having a dividend paying track record of past 8 years and issued
bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 in 2011.
Shakti is expected to
report an EPS of Rs.15 in this full year.At current market price of Rs.58 ,it
is trading at a P/E multiple of below 4 . Recently company appointed film star Amitabh
Bachchan as its brand ambassador ( Link to new TVC. HERE) .Considering
management’s aggressive expansion in production capacity and marketing network, I
believe company can deliver good growth in coming years. Recommending Shakti
Pumps @ Rs.58 for investors with some risk appetite for medium to long term.Stock
listed both in NSE and BSE
To view corporate film * , Link HERE
Link to latest AR HERE
--------------------------------------------------------------------
* Corporate film created by company itself ,hence claims may be biased
Disc: I have vested interest in Shakti Pumps.
If I'm correct, You had already recommended this stock long back .. Why did you never mention that in this ? I know my comment would never get approved ..
ReplyDeleteThis stock once recommended few years back at a price 20 % below CMP .This recommendation is based on recent performance and company's future plans.
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteThe promoters have converted 6 lac warrants at Rs. 166 per share ( Rs. 83 per share post bonus). Please correct me if I am wrong as I have just read the AR and found the same.
Regards,
Pratul
Dear Lobo
DeleteThe mentioned shares are allotted to ML securities which is categorized as a non promoter entity in share holding pattern.But it is a point to note that this firm ( ML Sec) is a share holder since the beginning of the company and I strongly believe that this entity is associated with the promoters itself.Money raised by pledging promoter shares may be even used for subscribing these preference shares ..
Thanks for Sharing ... Your Guidance is very Valuable.
ReplyDeleteMonday i will add this stock to my portfolio .
Sir Please give a view on A2Z Maintenance and Engineering Services" i am making Loss 15% on this stock .. What about company . should i hold or book loss.
A2Z does not have a focused approach in their business ,,so ...
DeleteSo I Should EXIT .... THANKS
DeleteI doesn't mean like that, just expressed my opinion.
DeleteDear Vp
ReplyDeletePlease Advice about investment in Singer India Limited.
Not tracking Singer
DeleteSir
ReplyDeleteWhich is a preferred pick shakti pumps or ROTO Pumps (It has run up very sharply in last one month).
Regards
Shiv
Roto pump recommended @ Rs.80 which is now @ Rs.147
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2010/04/roto-pumps-ltd-buy_12.html
This stock now included in PCA too.
Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhen a company gives bonus shares, say 1:1, shouldn't the value of the stock become half? I see this is true with Heritage Foods stock, but not with Acrysil or Shakti Pumps.
Thanks,
Sunil
Hahaaa!
Delete1:1 Bonus, Stock Split are esseitially the pitfalls!
Say, A you have a lot of 200 of Rs100 a piece, and the following possibilities arise:
200 lot as it is worth: Rs20000
After 1:1 Bonus, You will have 400 at Rs50 a piecem worth Rs20000
After Stock Split of 1:1, You will have 400 at rs50 a piece worth Rs20000
After a spock split of 1:1 and a bonus of 1:1, you will have 800 at Rs.25 each, worth Rs20000.
It is for the convenience of the company so that more volumes are traded, and easy tu buy , but you wll gain nothing. So, the bottom line is never go near such states of a stock!
Recently the same thing happend to CCLProducts.
Am I Right Value.Pick?
Something wrong with your data .Acrysil gave bonus 1:2 and Shakthi's price came down proportionately on XB day.
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your Views On Pankaj Polymers. As some turnaround story seems to be there
I could not find any turnaround story in Pankaj which is showing few lakhs profit in past 5 years. More than that it is included in Periodic Call Auction.
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteThis is the first time i am messaging you, i have 3 questions if you find time please answer sir, first of all Thanks for your valuable service, sir you recommended Britannia to hold, But the stock has corrected sharply & yesterday vinita bali sold some shares, still it is a hold for you or can you suggest some other IT names, sir my second question is your thoughts on Pfizer - Wyeth merger, third one is i want your views about Natco pharma.
When will the PCA period end for Simran Farms?
ReplyDeleteNo chance to end with current volume
DeleteSure will keep an eye on this for grabs.
ReplyDeletedear VP,
ReplyDeleteKindly share your opinion on Gulf Oil, if any..
regards
vimal kumar
Not tracking Gulf Oil
Deletesir whats yr view on paushak ltd. .... i would like to add more ... is it right at 100+ to add more... hold 100 @ 80.
ReplyDeletePaushak recommended @ Rs.74 ( See below link)
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2011/03/paushak-ltd-from-group-of-alembic.html
Later it shifted to periodic call auction. Company's business showing good improvement but I suspect the inclusion in PCA may affect the valuation of stock and possibly lower discounting.
Dear vpji
ReplyDeletepl advise for investment in eros media. stock is languishing even after several hit movies. Do you find any corporate governance issues or there's something wrong with the business model.
Lowe than expected IPO price of Eros International Plc in US offering may be sentimentally a negative factor for EROS
DeleteHello VP,
ReplyDeleteWhich is a better pick at CMP, Dabur, Britannia or Tata Global? I already have some ITC with me so want to buy 1 or 2 of these? Is there a better pick in FMCG other than these?
Thanks,
Tushar
At CMP Tata Global is the preferred one .Entry through Mount Everest Mineral water is a good option since it is going to merge with Tata Global.( 3 shares of TGL for 4 shares of Mount everest)
DeletePlease Comment on your Past Recommendations like Vulcan Engineer,Anjani Portland Cements
ReplyDeleteIn the current business environment of the industries ( Engg and Cement ) is not favorable ,even on a revival these stocks may get less investor interest due the inclusion of both these stocks in Periodic Call Auction.
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteI dont know if you disapproved of my previous comment or not. But have you taken a look at P&G's "Tide Pods" which were introduced in the US last year? Monosol is the water soluble films supplier to P&G and is the world leader in WSF films. Don't you think such a technology could soon replace the sachet technology prevalent in India and thus directly benefit Arrow Coated Products.
Yes , introduction of products in packets with capacity to dissolve in water is really increases the potential of cos like Arrow Coated.
DeleteVP ji,
ReplyDeleteWhat do you think about Cummins india at current level is it good company to invest at current level ???
Stock already recommended and no change in opinion.
DeleteHi,
ReplyDeleteIs wockhardt a good option for investment at current market price, I found 2 options for investment one is wockhardt & other one is biocon in pharma sector.
Which one will be better???
My stand on both stocks already mentioned ,use the search option.
Deletewow..good to read all the posts..Sir, I have yes bank at 368, axis bank at 1090, tech Mahindra at 1320, colgate at 1260 and cipla at 393 , Kindly suggest if these are good stocks from a 1 -2 yrs investment period. I want to add tech Mahindra . please give me your view on what levels should I add ..thanx
ReplyDeleteCompanies are not bad but I am not a supporter of time bounded investment in stock market.
DeleteVimta labs is rallying very fast. what is your opinion on this stock ?
ReplyDeleteBoby paul , Bangalore
Belgium based Eurofins group ,the world leading firm in testing and support services aggressively buying Vimta shares from open market.
DeleteDear Vp ji,
ReplyDeleteThank u so much for your valuable comment
Are you tracking small Cap stock KARUTURI GLOBAL
Hello sir,
ReplyDeletePlease throw some light on Prime Focus and Everonn Education. What are your recommendations on these?
Raj
Dear VP,
ReplyDeleteIndonesia bauxite export ban to take effect from Jan 13, 2014.
http://www.platts.com/latest-news/metals/singapore/indonesias-bauxite-export-ban-set-to-take-effect-27664677
Acc. to me, this news is very beneficial to Ashapura Minechem. What are your views?
Regards,
Pratul
Hi sir,
ReplyDeleteSome how my posts dont get displayed.
Whats ur view on textile sector. seems like the stocks from this sector will be in limelight in some time.
Whats ur view
wats ur suggestions hold vimta labs have bought at 30rs 3yrs ago..long term bet is good..
ReplyDeleteAmazing recommendation Mr. VP. It shot to 75+ an all time high today. Thanks for the call
ReplyDeleteThanks boss.. This was the first tip I got after knowing about your blog.. It was trading around 60 and moved to 70 as on 28th Nov, I could enter at that level and today I have 15% profitl.. But I picked only 75 shares.. Is it good idea to accumulate more here ??
ReplyDelete