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PANASONIC ENERGY INDIA COMPANY LTD was the answer for our GTS-5 . .Today company reported its September quarter numbers where sales increased from Rs.59 Cr to Rs.66 Cr and net profit jumped from Rs.1.79 Cr to Rs.5.33 Cr . Report on this company posted when this stock was @ Rs.73 ( Link HERE) .Today stock hits its life time high @ Rs.308 and closed in upper circuit.
Alphageo India recommended @ Rs.38 hits its 52 week high today @ Rs.580 .Stock already turned as a multibagger in just one year with a whopping 1500 % return during this period . Those with low to average risk appetite may sell 50 % of
remaining holding( earlier suggested to book 25 % ) and keep the balance. Recommendation Link HERE
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dear Friends My Sincere thanks for your overwhelming response to this learning experience.I strongly believe , those who failed to find out the answer even after spending many hours learned more lessons than those find out the answer through short cuts like social media sharing...etc.Such experience will be an added advantage in your wealth creation journey going forward.Once again urging my readers to avoid taking investment decisions based only on the name tag of companies I am posting here but only after detailed study and homework Wishing a Happy Diwali to all my readers and your families ...........
If we strictly track the history of any stock which turned
as a multi-bagger, there will be at least one niche element in it. Sometimes it
may be the product/service itself, and in some other cases it may be its brand
,technology , market or something like that.If the number of listed stocks from a particular industry is very
limited and there is a boom period for that business , normally the
listed market leader will turn as a multi-bagger, if it is
backed by a management which is able to utilise the emerging business
opportunities.One very good example for this fact is the recent appreciation in
Avanti Feeds Ltd. ,the stock I recommendedabout three years back @ just Rs.68 and currently trading above Rs.1525 ( Recommendation Link HERE , Just pointed as an example and not a guarantee for similar performance in all other cases). This week let
us look into another really interesting unknown niche stock – SKM Egg Products
SKM EGG PRODUCTS
EXPORTS- A CLOSE LOOK
This company is jointly promoted by well known SKM group and
Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation Limited(TIDCO) .Out of the Rs.26
Crore equity , TIDCO holding about 7.58 % and Individuals from promoter group
holding another46 % stake.( This data
is based on June quarter share holding and promoters made lot of market
purchases in June-September period) .Belgium based Belovo Engineering holding
another5 % stake in SKM .Belovo
Engineering is part of BNLfood Group which supplyingEgg Science & Technology ,producing and
marketing eggs, egg derived nutraceutical ingredients and food ingredients.
Plant of SKM itself established with the technical support and collaboration of
BOLOVO.Company’s manufacturing facility is located at Cholangapalayam , about 20 Km from
Erode in Tamilnadu .This is one of the largest Egg processing facility in Asia and
this state-of the art facility is located in a 35 Acre plot. Under stringent
quality conditions , company processing around 18 lakhs eggs per day and
manufacturing Whole egg powder, Albumen powder ( Powder form of Egg White),
Yolk Powder(Yellow) and recently introduced liquid Eggs.These products are
supplied mainly to Japanese and European companies for manufacturing products
like cakes, biscuits , cookies, Confectionery products, Health foods, Soup
mixes, Ice creams , dairy products ..etc. SKM established direct
Subsidiary/marketing points in its major markets viz- Netherlands,Japan and
Russia.Selling to other markets channelized through third party distributors.Since
the number of producers are less and India’s cost effective and competitive
advantages ,company is getting repeat orders from its customers. SKM’sproducts are ultimately used by large food
product manufacturing MNC’s like Kraft
foods .Heinz..etc. for manufacturing bakery , health care and food items.
SKM is the only
listed producer of Egg Powder and other value added products from Eggs .Even
from the unlisted space , only very few companies are manufacturing similar
products in India which includes an unlisted private company named Venkateswara
Food Products Pvt Ltd owned by the same promoters of Venky’s India and another Bangalore
based company which listed in BSE but suspended
from trading for more than 13 years.Among these few players ,SKM is the market
leader in Egg powder exports and contributing more than 50% of India’s total
egg powder export.As of now, company processing about 18 lakhs eggs per day and
utilising close to 90 % capacity to
manufacture its major products Viz- Egg Powder ,Bakery Mix and Liquid Egg.These
products are exporting to overseas markets mainlyJapan and EU countries.Out of 18 lakhs eggs ,
about 5 lakhs produced from company
owned farms and the remaining is sourcing through contract farming model(
Mainly through an associate companynamed SKM Universal Marketing Ltd) . In order to ensure the quality of
Eggs , company itself supplying feeds manufactured by company controlled
(leased) feed millto the farmers and company appointed veterinary
doctors and supervisors periodically visiting farms running under contract farming agreements.Earlier,
during its tough times company's share holders approved the sale of feed mill and
farm , but only the selling of feed mill executed ( now working on lease) .This business model ensuring sourcing of
quality eggs without interruption which is otherwise a herculean task to source
close to 20 lakhs quality eggs per day.Promoter’s experience in poultry field
is one important point to note. This company was originally promoted by Mr. SKM
Maeilanandhan who is the doyen of poultry industry in India who alsohonoured with the Padma Shri award for his
outstanding contribution in the field of social work in 2013.
Having said , being a food product , export of these type products to developed countries is not an easy task.Stringent quality standards
and periodic qualitychecking are usual
in an industry like this before getting final approval for exports and usually
these formalities take many years to complete.In the beginning, company faced
many challenges in this front and it affected SKM’s past performance. From past troubled times company emerged as a winner under the able leadership of Mr.
SKM Shree Shivkumar who is the MD of the company and son of Mr.
During the peak of recessionary period , it reported losses in FY 2011 and 2012 due to various reasons like lower demand, poor realization and most importantly some quality related issues due to its dependency on outside quality testing laboratories. But
with early signs of revival , company’s new products introduction and tapping
new markets,SKM made a remarkable turnaround
in FY 2013 and further improvement in latest FY 2014.(See the below table for
To avoid any quality related issues in future , company established own quality testing lab and R&D facilities.
As per the thoughts shared during recent AGM , company is now
paying top priority to become a debt free company ( excluding working capital
debt) in near future. As part of this effort , company already reduced its debt
from Rs.51 Cr to Rs.34 Cr in last FYand
further reduced it infirst six months
of ongoing FY .( Half of the loans are taken from promoters itself which they
pumped into the company to keep it afloat at the time of extremely difficult
periods few years back.) It is targeting a debt free status in next two years .
After achieving this target ,SKM is planning to hike its capacity to reach a
Rs.500 Cr company by 2017-18.
Company is an export oriented unit and any recession severe than the previous one may negatively impact the demand scenario of
Company’s earnings is in Dollar and Euro and its movements
against Indian Rupee may impact its margins.
Though company sourcing part of its Egg requirements from
own farms , any adverse change in the price of feed ingredients may affect its
raw material cost.
Un-expected diseases affecting birds may create problems.
As I mentioned in many of my previous postings ,while investing in small cap stocks
, promoter quality is the first point to note.The most important
positive point about this company is its promoters and management , not only
because of their experience in this field but due to their highly ethical
business practices and ‘Nothing to Hide’ mentality even towards its minority
retail share holders.I believe ,In these matters , it is difficult to find many
companies with this standard from the small caps space .
Potential of company's product is very high and, there is only very few companies in this field. SKM is the market leader handling more than 50% of India’s total egg powder
India is one of the low cost producer of Eggs and this
giving added competitive advantages to
the company . SKM captured Japanese market by competing even with American companies which indicating its high quality standards.
Entry barrier - As mentioned earlier , procuring 18 lakhs
Eggs per day is not easy to replicate by any new entrant in this field. Company
established own farms to source part of this requirement and planning to expand
the capacity of farm when it add more production capacity in its
factory.Contact farming is also designed in a systematic way where company
ensuring the quality of feed and arranging periodic visit of veterinarydoctors to ensure the health of birds and
provide awareness to farmers in order to ensure the quality of Eggs to be
processed.Since the end consumers are large MNC food companies they ,always
need large quantity at stringent quality standards . To ensure this quality
standards ,it should be careful right from the beginning.Any available egg can’t be processed but it can use only the
eggs laid by birds fed with specially prepared diets , so special arrangements
should be there to ensure this quality and any available eggs in the market or
at the gate can’t be accepted.Sourcing close to 20 lakhs such eggs per day
continuously is an extremely difficult
task.Situation is more tough in the selling side . By competing with foreign
firms ,company took years to established the label of a reliable and quality
supplier in overseas markets. Being a food ingredient ,import permission to
developed countries is not easy and even in the case of Russian market ,SKM
succeeded only recently after four years continuous efforts.Because of these
reasons , still there is hardly four or five successful egg product processors
existing in India. Full traceability of end product is an important factor in
export oriented food stuff business. To ensure this ,SKM introduced a system
named “TRACKKER” which helping the companyto trace from feed ingredients level to final product level.
Scope of company’s products is very vast and so far it not
touched the biggest market –USA. Such opportunities may be tapped once the production capacity
hiked to double in next few years and company’s financial health improve
Using its own R&D , company introducing new products and
its recently introduced liquid Eggs receivingoverwhelming response from customers. Considering the increasing
cholesterol related health issues , liquid white egg may turned as a money spinner
for SKM in the years to come. Company also succeeded in increasing the shelf
life of products and this will help to penetrate more overseas markets.
During the time oflast recession its business badly affected mainly because of its higher
concentration in few markets .To avoid such a situation in future SKM is now
expanding its geographical presence .Company’s years long efforts to get an
entry in Russian market succeeded recently and they got approval from Russia
now. Company started trial shipmentand
it is expected to become a priority market for SKM in future. Company also entered in Nigeria and South African Markets
Promoters efforts to become a debt free company is not a
gimmick and they are working sincerely for that ,which is evident from the
reduction in debt levels in recent times. Targeted debt free status by next
few years will give direct positive impact in its bottom line and make this
already attractive company as a compelling buy.
Once, majority of the shares of promoters were pledged with banks to avail loan facility ,but now only 24 % is pledged and balance released on repayment of loan.Remaining is expected to become pledge free in next 2-3 years.
Another most important factor is the multi angle benefit to
the company due to global recovery. Fromlast few year’s financial performance , it is evident that even a
smallpositive change in global economy
augers well for SKM .It is helping the company in three different ways
·* Increased Demand from foreign markets
·* Being an Export Oriented Unit , appreciation of
Dollar and Euro against Indian Rupee is positive for the company
·* Strengtheningof Dollar will reduce the competitiveness of US manufactures in foreign
markets especially in Japanwhere SKM’s
major competitors are US manufactures.
There is no big local market for processed egg as of now. But
history says , In case of India ,imitating the trends of food habits from developed markets is an eventuality
. This will happen in future for sure. In such a situation , the peer company
with years experience will benefit a lot and it will help the companyto de-risk its business model by reducing
over dependence on export – if necessary – in future.
Cost control efforts taken by management and their attention
even in minute factors is another important point if we look through the eyes
ofa minority share holder. Usage of
recycled waste water to irrigate the garden and lawn in front of the factory is
an example for this zero wastage strategy. They are even selling egg shells and
earning few thousands in each year.
I believe SKM Egg Products Export is a company operating in
an Industry with huge potential in future and at the same time with high entry
barrier.Most important point is the management’shigh ethical standards they exhibited even
during their tough times. I strongly believe , god will always with such people
and lead them into more success . This is one rare company
from the micro cap space I can assure one thing – if there is any failure for this
company in future ,it will be only because of a reason beyond the control of
promoters and its management.That much is the efforts they are taking to bring back the company into the right direction and further growth.For FY 2013-14 , on a consolidated basis company
reported a Sales of Rs.264 Cr , a net profit of 7.20 Cr and an EPS of Rs.2.76. Stock
of SKM appreciated post declaration of full year result and currently trading
around Rs.60 .Prima-facie on a P/E based valuation method , this is neither cheap nor
expensive.But to get a fair picture about last year profit ,we should dig deep.
This 7 .20 Crore profit arrived after providing an Exchange fluctuation loss of Rs.7.36 Crore and another one time expense
of Rs.4.15 Cr. Considering the chance for stability in Rupee value ( compared with
last year) less forex loss
is a possibility in current year .In the case of the mentioned one time expense
incurred in last year , there is no chance to repeat it again. If we consider
these two important hidden factors,valuation picture will change positively. In addition to this , company’s debt
reduction will directly impact its bottom line and EPS figures going forward.Along with
this quantitative figures, SKM’s market leading position, robust business plans
with introduction of new products and penetrating new markets supported by a
highly ethical management which is taking every effort to reach a debt free Rs.500 Cr company in next few years makes its an attractive pick for long term investors
even at current level.
During its worse time in 2011-12 ,company sought share
holders approval to de-list its stock from BSE and remain listed only in one
exchange. In the 17th AGM of the company, share holders approved a
special resolution for this purpose and hence at present SKM Egg Product
Exports is trading only in NSE( De-listing procedures from BSE yet to completed and theoretically still it is listed in BSE but suspended from trading ) and currently trading around Rs.60
Premier Explosives Ltd recommended as a BUY @ Rs.76 .Yesterday Stock hits its life time @ Rs.227 and closed in upper circuit . Those with above average risk appetite may still hold it and others can book partial profit at current rate. Recommendation Link HERE
Capital Trust Ltd recommended few years back at a higher price compared with Current Market Price.This micro finance company's performance badly affected in past few years- as in the case of peer company SKS Micro Finance - due to uncertainty in micro finance sector and lack of clarity in laws .Now, in recent times company seems coming back to growth path and reported improved numbers in last two quarters. Company already reported more than Rs.5 EPS for six months itself in this FY.When I recommended this stock earlier , It had 23 branches and now the same increased to 60 + September Result as follows
Stock is currently trading around Rs.50 and listed only in BSE
to find out the company from the above clues and send the answer
to my mail id (email@example.com) with subject line ' GTS-7 '
,till 20th of this month .Correct answer with detailed report will be posted on Muhurat Trading Day morning. Please don't ask for more clues or expect any confirmation mails ( Only because of practical difficulty to reply for thousands of mails) .
Plese send the answers only to my mail id and do not post in blog itself as messages.
This stock recommended about six months back @ Rs.85, hits its 52 week high Yesterday @ Rs.175 . Stock already appreciated more than 100 % .Those with high risk appetite can still hold it and others can book profit . Recommendation Link HERE
This stock recommended @ Rs.65 ( Adjusted to 1:1 bonus post recommendation) in 2010 .Now patience is paying for all long term holders and today stock hits its life time high @ Rs.911 .Those with low risk appetite may SELL 10 % of original holdings to recover cost and still hold the remaining as cost free . Old posting HERE
Quality of promoter is very important while selecting stocks
for long term hold.Possibility of frauds and fabricated results are very high
when the mood in the street is bullish with higher retail participation.Generally, in a bull market , promoters tend to show
good results in few quarters to boost share price either for their own exit or
to raise fund at higher price .So ,selecting a stock during bull phase need
extreme care and we should look beyond the published results and frequent
announcements. Considering all these factors ,re-looking into a company which I
recommended earlier and still believe there is lot of steam left in long term.
Patels Airtemp (PAT) is an Ahmedabad based company manufacturing Heat
exchangers,Pressure Vessels,Refrigeration and Air Conditioning equipments.Their
products are mainly used in industries like Chemical, Power,Refinery,Cement,Fertilizer
and Petro Chemicals..etc.For the past many years lot of projects from these
sectors were stuck due to various reasons like environment clearance ..etc
which is expected to move on in near future. Strict pollution control norms
implementing in developed countries helping Indian chemicals manufactures to
boost their export by adding additional capacities here.India is expected to
grow as a global hub of chemicals and pharmaceuticals in the years to come.
Stable price of crude and crude derivatives will help the growth of
petrochemical industry . All such developments will indirectly help companies
like Patels Airtemp to grow business. Last year company entered into a long term
supply arrangements with a leading global manufacturer of heat exchangers for
supply of this product with stringent quality standards.
Revival in user industries and effect of foreign supply agreement is
already started to reflect in its order book position. As on 31 March 2014 ,
company have confirmed orders worth Rs.136 Cr ( Rs.40 Cr order book in previous year) which is highest ever in its
history . This order book giving comfortable visibility for next few years. Aggressive
purchasing of shares by promoters from open market is another factor which increasing the confidence level .For the past
one years promoters are hiking their stake through open market purchases and
same is still continuing even @ Rs.129 .(
Check purchase disclosures HERE and HERE) .Last year company paid back its entire long term debt and there
is no long term borrowings in its books as on 31 March 2014.We know , the past
2-3 years were very difficult for any company operating in capital goods sector
. But company paid back all its long term loans and secured the highest ever
order book during this period, which is very important point to note. I believe
,company is at the tip of an inflection point and the future will be far better
than the past . Since I have already posted about this company just six months
back , not explaining further.
Company reported a top-line of Rs.70 Cr , net profit of Rs.4.67 Cr and an
EPS of Rs. 9.20 in last FY .PAT is an uninterrupted dividend payer for the past
seven years and paid 20 % in FY 2013-14. This is one of my preferred stocks from
this sector which is currently trading around Rs.123 and listed only in BSE.