Courtesy : Investopedia
The biblical Ten Commandments were intended to act as a
driver's manual for the road of life. "Thou shalt not kill." "Thou
shalt not bear false witness." These are life's versions of the
stop-at-the-red-light-and-advance-when-safe rules of the road. In other
words, they are all guidelines to keep people out of trouble. Because
life's highways are full of potholes, blind turns and bad drivers, the
investing world also suffers from scandals, scams and dishonest
companies. Here are 10 commandments for the investing world designed to
help keep investors - and their money - safe.
1. Thou Shalt Set Clear Goals If you don't have a purpose or a set of clear goals to guide your investment strategy, don't invest. This sounds harsh, but there are so many types, styles and flavors of investing that, without a particular destination, you will be lost at sea.
2. Thou Shalt Put Thy Financial House in OrderTo become a successful investor, you have to make sure that your personal finances are in order first. Investing without a purpose is bad, but investing when you have high-interest debt is much worse. If you are drowning in overdue bills and credit card payments that you can't meet, take care of those more serious problems before getting too deep into investing.
3. Thou Shalt Question AuthorityInvesting is more about the art of asking and answering the right questions than it is about deciding when to buy and sell. CEOs, CFOs, CPAs, CFAs and all the other acronyms that we use to classify Wall Street's professional caste can't hide the fact that they are human, and that humans sometimes lie. Analysts get kickbacks, CEOs get stock options and recent accounting scandals, show that impartial accounting is not guaranteed.
To question authority, you will need to educate yourself, especially on the subject of financials. Press releases are flakes of snow that rain down on investors and melt away, but financials stick around. Although financials can be tampered with, there is always a trail left behind.
4. Thou Shalt not Follow SheepHerd mentality leads to destructive rampages down Wall Street. Investing passively by sticking to funds, indexes and other mainstays of the coach potato portfolio is a perfectly acceptable practice. The danger comes when people move from being a passive investor to an active portfolio, but they continue to stick with the behavior of being a passive investor.
There is a lot of available information for such investors - much of which is true - but accepting it with an uncritical eye and neglecting to check it yourself is what leads to herding. This includes getting the latest and greatest stock tip from your Uncle George.
A person can effortlessly become one of the investors that the analysts shepherd into various "must-buy stocks" after they have become overpriced. This is how investors find themselves in the herd when skittish investors flee, causing the stock to plunge farther than it should have (whereupon a more astute investor buys a bargain off of your loss).When people buy cars, they try to find the best value for the lowest price; when people buy stocks, they only see the price and, ironically, gravitate towards rising prices. If you are going to invest, you have to check things for yourself in order to find the true value and get the bargains. This takes more time, and it could even cause you to miss out on early gains, but it will tell you when to stay out or when to sell well before the herd hears the bell.
5. Thou Shalt Be Humble
If you take the first four commandments to heart, there is a good chance that you will perform better than the majority of individual investors and many of the professionals. But sometimes, particularly during a bull market, gains are not dictated by investor actions as much as by having money in the market, so don't allow yourself to become overconfident. Overconfidence often leads to overtrading, taking unnecessary risks and eventual losses when the bull turns bear. Also, remember that you incur commissions every time you trade - this expense can often erase profits or increase losses.
6. Thou Shalt Be Patient
Patience is a virtue for a good reason: It pays for itself. When the market dips, or even when a particular stock dips, there are always investors who panic and sell. Selling should be treated just as seriously as buying. If it is just a bump, ride it out. If there is truly a problem with the stock, take your time as well - you may find a way to use it in a gain-loss transaction that will save you taxes. By the time you hear it, bad news has already settled in - taking your time isn't going to make it much worse.
7. Thou Shalt Show Moderation
Investing too much is not a problem many people have, but it can happen. It is said that the pain of a loss has twice the emotional strength of the pleasure of a gain. For some people, this results in pulling out of the market prematurely, as mentioned above.
For others, losing propels them into successively riskier ventures in an all-or-nothing attempt to win those losses back. Losses are hard to take, but look on the bright side: You can sell a loss to offset a gain in another sector or, if it is in a retirement account, you can use it as a tax write-off. Concentrating your money too much in one area, either by sector, risk level or even keeping it all in the stock market, is a sure way to see more of nothing than all in an all-or-nothing game.
8. Thou Shalt not Ogle Thy Investment
There is nothing like a market correction or a general upswing to change perfectly normal investors into fanatics who have market updates text messaged to their cell phones every five minutes. As with Fidelity, the axiom, "look, don't touch" is insufficient because the more you look, the more you want to mess around with your investments. It is not clear if it is a symptom or a cause, but this rabid over-monitoring almost always leads to unnecessary churning in sufferers' portfolios
9. Thou Shalt not Court or Spurn Risk
You should never put everything you have into futures, but you also shouldn't hold everything in Treasury bills. There is an appropriate level of risk for investors of every age and creed.
10. Thou Shalt not Make Heroes of Mere Men
There is no perfect investor. Warren Buffett, George Soros and Peter Lynch have all slipped up from time to time. That doesn't stop them from being great investors who are worth studying and learning from. That said, you should never mimic an investing strategy that you do not fully understand.
There is too much guru-ism going on among investors - so much so that credentials are often lost beneath book titles in which the word "rich" is prominently featured. As with the early caution against trusting authority, you have to question everything. Even if a strategy works for a certain period of time, once it becomes widespread, it skews the system. For example, the publication of Lynch's tenbagger strategy has led to too many people searching for those stocks, leading prices to become inflated to adjust for the non-market driven demand. Skeptics survive on Wall Street much longer than believers.
The Bottom Line
Praying or getting behind the wheel expecting everyone else to follow the same rules you do are both acts of faith. Investing, in contrast, requires practice. To be a good investor, you have to make doubt a part of your creed and make double-checking a ritual. These guidelines should help you on your way. Happy driving.
1. Thou Shalt Set Clear Goals If you don't have a purpose or a set of clear goals to guide your investment strategy, don't invest. This sounds harsh, but there are so many types, styles and flavors of investing that, without a particular destination, you will be lost at sea.
2. Thou Shalt Put Thy Financial House in OrderTo become a successful investor, you have to make sure that your personal finances are in order first. Investing without a purpose is bad, but investing when you have high-interest debt is much worse. If you are drowning in overdue bills and credit card payments that you can't meet, take care of those more serious problems before getting too deep into investing.
3. Thou Shalt Question AuthorityInvesting is more about the art of asking and answering the right questions than it is about deciding when to buy and sell. CEOs, CFOs, CPAs, CFAs and all the other acronyms that we use to classify Wall Street's professional caste can't hide the fact that they are human, and that humans sometimes lie. Analysts get kickbacks, CEOs get stock options and recent accounting scandals, show that impartial accounting is not guaranteed.
To question authority, you will need to educate yourself, especially on the subject of financials. Press releases are flakes of snow that rain down on investors and melt away, but financials stick around. Although financials can be tampered with, there is always a trail left behind.
4. Thou Shalt not Follow SheepHerd mentality leads to destructive rampages down Wall Street. Investing passively by sticking to funds, indexes and other mainstays of the coach potato portfolio is a perfectly acceptable practice. The danger comes when people move from being a passive investor to an active portfolio, but they continue to stick with the behavior of being a passive investor.
There is a lot of available information for such investors - much of which is true - but accepting it with an uncritical eye and neglecting to check it yourself is what leads to herding. This includes getting the latest and greatest stock tip from your Uncle George.
A person can effortlessly become one of the investors that the analysts shepherd into various "must-buy stocks" after they have become overpriced. This is how investors find themselves in the herd when skittish investors flee, causing the stock to plunge farther than it should have (whereupon a more astute investor buys a bargain off of your loss).When people buy cars, they try to find the best value for the lowest price; when people buy stocks, they only see the price and, ironically, gravitate towards rising prices. If you are going to invest, you have to check things for yourself in order to find the true value and get the bargains. This takes more time, and it could even cause you to miss out on early gains, but it will tell you when to stay out or when to sell well before the herd hears the bell.
If you take the first four commandments to heart, there is a good chance that you will perform better than the majority of individual investors and many of the professionals. But sometimes, particularly during a bull market, gains are not dictated by investor actions as much as by having money in the market, so don't allow yourself to become overconfident. Overconfidence often leads to overtrading, taking unnecessary risks and eventual losses when the bull turns bear. Also, remember that you incur commissions every time you trade - this expense can often erase profits or increase losses.
6. Thou Shalt Be Patient
Patience is a virtue for a good reason: It pays for itself. When the market dips, or even when a particular stock dips, there are always investors who panic and sell. Selling should be treated just as seriously as buying. If it is just a bump, ride it out. If there is truly a problem with the stock, take your time as well - you may find a way to use it in a gain-loss transaction that will save you taxes. By the time you hear it, bad news has already settled in - taking your time isn't going to make it much worse.
7. Thou Shalt Show Moderation
Investing too much is not a problem many people have, but it can happen. It is said that the pain of a loss has twice the emotional strength of the pleasure of a gain. For some people, this results in pulling out of the market prematurely, as mentioned above.
For others, losing propels them into successively riskier ventures in an all-or-nothing attempt to win those losses back. Losses are hard to take, but look on the bright side: You can sell a loss to offset a gain in another sector or, if it is in a retirement account, you can use it as a tax write-off. Concentrating your money too much in one area, either by sector, risk level or even keeping it all in the stock market, is a sure way to see more of nothing than all in an all-or-nothing game.
8. Thou Shalt not Ogle Thy Investment
There is nothing like a market correction or a general upswing to change perfectly normal investors into fanatics who have market updates text messaged to their cell phones every five minutes. As with Fidelity, the axiom, "look, don't touch" is insufficient because the more you look, the more you want to mess around with your investments. It is not clear if it is a symptom or a cause, but this rabid over-monitoring almost always leads to unnecessary churning in sufferers' portfolios
9. Thou Shalt not Court or Spurn Risk
You should never put everything you have into futures, but you also shouldn't hold everything in Treasury bills. There is an appropriate level of risk for investors of every age and creed.
10. Thou Shalt not Make Heroes of Mere Men
There is no perfect investor. Warren Buffett, George Soros and Peter Lynch have all slipped up from time to time. That doesn't stop them from being great investors who are worth studying and learning from. That said, you should never mimic an investing strategy that you do not fully understand.
There is too much guru-ism going on among investors - so much so that credentials are often lost beneath book titles in which the word "rich" is prominently featured. As with the early caution against trusting authority, you have to question everything. Even if a strategy works for a certain period of time, once it becomes widespread, it skews the system. For example, the publication of Lynch's tenbagger strategy has led to too many people searching for those stocks, leading prices to become inflated to adjust for the non-market driven demand. Skeptics survive on Wall Street much longer than believers.
The Bottom Line
Praying or getting behind the wheel expecting everyone else to follow the same rules you do are both acts of faith. Investing, in contrast, requires practice. To be a good investor, you have to make doubt a part of your creed and make double-checking a ritual. These guidelines should help you on your way. Happy driving.
Sir
ReplyDeleteYour views on
Saint gobain
Federal bank
Indraprasatha
Sorry, not tracking any of these companies.
DeleteThank you Good Shepherd of stock market for an excellent article.
ReplyDeleteHi VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteCan you please share your views about SPL Industries considering its ongoing growth every quarter.
Not tracking
DeleteVP sir,
ReplyDeleteWhen you say you are tracking a stock, what level of tracking does that mean...
Reading annual reports
Reading about the industry
Reading about macro factors that could impact
Attending AGMs
Getting on analyst calls
Calling the CS for information
Visiting company premises /factories
Any more ?
What all do you do and what do you recommend investors (your followers) to do.
Thanks
Nothing above is relevant if management credibility is bad.
DeleteWant to know your opinion on below three stock for long term investment which I feel could be a multibagger.
ReplyDeleteOrient Paper
Noida Toll
Hikal Ltd.
Hikal is an already suggested stock when its FV was Rs.10.Adjusted to FV split it already returned 2.5 times ,not suggesting at CMP.
DeleteThanks sir for the valuable lessons.
ReplyDeleteDear VP sir
ReplyDeleteThe shares of companies serving to Indian Railways will be in sharp focus in the coming weeks based on past record that shows that these shares tend to rally ahead of the Rail Budget that's presented in Feb, 2016. Also these stocks will be in focus due to the opening up of FDI in many rail-related sectors.
So, Please give your opinion on following railway stocks in above context for long time horizon
1) Kalindee Rail, 2) Kernex Microsystems, 3) Titagarh Wagons, 4) Texmaco, 5) Stone India, 6) Hind Rectifiers 7) BEML, 8) BHEL
As you are aware , most of railway related orders met through tenders .Unlisted Indian entities of multinationals ( even the direct subsidiaries of MNC's ) operating in India , so there may be sentimental positive impact on many listed companies but who will benefit in real terms is a point we should wait and watch.
DeleteVarry good.....worth reading sir
ReplyDeleteSir what is ur view on sterlite tech. Can we buy at current price
ReplyDeleteNot tracking any Vedanta group companies
DeleteSir ur old recommendation Sunil hitech
DeleteCan we still hold it
Sir,
ReplyDeletePlease share your view on Inox wind. Is it a good bet on the given scenario?
Your views on Lancor Holdings Sir?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above mentioned stocks.
DeleteDear VP Sir, are you positive on any companies for long term, if GST bill is passed in this parliament session?
ReplyDeleteRegards,
Venu.
Many company's may benefit at different levels but whether share holders purchasing their stocks at present will benefit or not depends on how much expectation already reflecting in their share price.
DeleteGood article sir, tasting the fruits of long term holding , thanks for educating small investors ,
ReplyDeletesir,
ReplyDeleteyour current view on old recommended stocks.
1. Himalaya international Ltd.
2. Tanla
3. Orchid chem
Please share your view sir. as I am posting the request again.
Thanks & BR,
Surya
Already suggested to exit from Himalaya .
DeleteTanla and Orchid mentioned as turnaround candidates in coming years
Dear vp sir
ReplyDeleteYour view on wockharth..?
No change
DeleteDear sir please your view on lumax auto tech
ReplyDeleteSuggested around Rs.90
DeleteHello sir,
ReplyDeleteIs SUBEX still a good buy at CMP?
Why there is 'Still' ?
DeleteDear VP Sir
ReplyDeleteAny reason for not recommending Demerger stocks like Mastek etc.
Yours
Venkatesh.
De-merged or not , not in a position to comment on stocks I am not tracking.
DeleteSir, are you still bullish on your old picks like Zicom security & Balaji Amines?
ReplyDeleteAt old rate :)
Deletehi Sir,
ReplyDeleteDo you still hold the same view on APM ?
http://value-picks.blogspot.in/2010/08/apm-industries-buy.html.
Thanks..
Adjusted by stock split , it already multiplied by 5 times.
DeleteVP Sir, Any opinion about Orient Green Power
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it.Only tracking Websol and Suzlon from renewable energy space.
DeleteSo now wts ur opinion now on Suzlon energy. The debt of the company is very high.. is there any plan of management to reduce the debt..
DeleteThanks
Arjeet
Hello Sir, can we subscribe DR LAL PATH LABS IPO?
ReplyDeletePotential Industry but many recent IPO's are pricing aggressively .
DeleteDear VP sir, Please your views on south indian paper mills.thanks
ReplyDeleteAlready shared around Rs.70, nothing new to add now.
DeleteV. P. Sir Can we accumulate websol energy at this point?
ReplyDeleteMy personal opinion about this stock shared in MMB ,whether accumulate or skip depends on your risk profile and the based on the result of your own study.
DeleteSir,The mid and small cap stocks have moved up tremendously .
ReplyDeleteHappy to see them go up, but the pace is worrying.Your thoughts
Regards,
Kora
Be selective , no meaning in buying anything for quick bucks.
DeleteSir any updates on shri shakti LPG ??
ReplyDeleteVP Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat's your view on Waterbase?
Recently it's been giving strong revenue for last 3yrs, and improving ROE and CAGR.
It's also expected to triple it's capacity over next year or so.
Not tracking any Thapar group companies.
DeleteHi Sir, Thank you very much for guiding many investors. Though I am very new to equity market, I am learning a lot regarding investing from your blog. I feel very lucky that I found your blog at my initial stages of investing . Thanks for guiding us.
ReplyDeleteSir, any value picks or turn around picks in Logistics sector which u r tracking that might benefit from GST though it takes time for GST implementation
As of now tracking only Transport Corporation of India
DeleteSir, on Patels airtemp - They have target to achieve around 140 cr of revenue for FY16. Also have ambitious target of 200 cr for FY17. But order inflows are little slow. is this because of sector slowdown? But management looks confident as they bough shares around 140 from open market lastly. Any thoughts?
ReplyDeleteDear Sir, Kopran is in the limelight since last one 15 days... Touching new highs day after day...
ReplyDeletesir whats your view on ALKEM LABS IPO......
ReplyDeleteDecent one
DeleteHi VP Sir what are your thoughts on Zenith Fibers and Alembic LTD?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking both
DeleteHi Sir, I have gone through your old reco... Is there any change in your opinion on Bilcare?
ReplyDeleteMinimum ten times commented about it , even below the just previous posting
DeleteSorry Sir, missed the comments previously. Just now gone through the comments. Thanks for your valuable time for replying.
DeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeleteDo you think if the unfortunate incidents unfolding in tamil nadu will have any impact on SKM EGG ?? I know Erode may not be as much impacted but worried about the egg suppliers.
The second has to be the best for this company and if this misses out due to this, it will be major blow.
Thanks
Sunder
I think major worry of investors is about the difficulty to access shipment at Chennai Port, but as per my understanding lion share of export going through Tuticorin Port where situation is not serious as Chennai.These type unfortunate incidents are beyond the control of anyone including promoters and let us pray for the best for everyone affected due to this mishap
DeleteSir your view on datamatics
ReplyDeleteGood morning Sir
ReplyDeleteWhats your view about Pennar Ind.
Not tracking above two stocks
Deletesir is orchid chem is a buy at cmp
ReplyDeleteDepends on your patience
DeletePeople spread rumours on SKM. There is no flood in Erode, 400+ Kms away from Chennai. Use the opportunity to accumulate SKM...I am from Erode.
ReplyDeleteYour views on amtek auto sir? thanks
ReplyDeleteDear sir, what is your view on cybertech ...
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above mentioned stocks.
DeleteSir i am holding nelco from tata group from 5 years what to do can it turnoround now and become multibagger
ReplyDeleteVP Sir, whether KEI Industries a value buy at CMP?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteWould be great if you could blog about GST and what it means for the economy. It will help all the followers here to understand its impact better.
Thanks :)
Lot of detailed reports available about this subject in the web , just google.
DeleteCan we buy essel propack n patels airtemp for long term?
ReplyDeleteWhatever I know and my opinion on both these companies already shared with you .
DeleteSir can you please share your views on chevio company ?thanks very much
ReplyDeleteSir can u share ur views on cheviot company.
ReplyDeleteHi Sir what's ur view on Ujaas energy... and on Akar tools..
ReplyDeletedear sir, Are you tracking Alpa Laboratories Ltd...
ReplyDeleteWts ur opinion on MIC electronics, SKM, orchid, Subex, Tanla???
ReplyDeleteCan any fresh entry possible??
Dear Sir
ReplyDeletei am silent follower of you...
Grauer & Weil India Ltd
I would like to know your view on this particular share
Kindly reply
Thank you
Ram
Not tracking above companies
DeleteGreetings Sir, Vanakkam !
ReplyDeleteUnitech --> I know u r not tracking it ( u replied me befoer one year). But if u have any view on this recently , please share this with me . Iam just trying by chance to get ur view , but sorry for wasting ur time .
Still not tracking
DeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeletePls share ur view on DENIS CHEM LAB LTD , METALFORGE & MROTEK
Thanks
Not strictly tracking Denis Chem Lab , but it is operating in an industry with decent potential.
DeleteNot tracking other two.
SIR CAN I BUY SOUTH INDIAN BANK OR TATA POWER??
ReplyDeleteNot tracking both
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeletePlease provide your view on Ester Industries - company deals in Engineering plastics same as Shaily Engg.
Thanks.
Product profile of both companies are entirely different.Less than 25 % of income coming from Engineering Plastic.
Deletepls share view on vimta labs AND madhucon
ReplyDeletePerformance of Vimta showing improvement.
DeleteMadhucon is comparatively good from the sector
Saksoft has moved up suddenly. Nothing in their performance to warrant such a move. Am holding since your first suggestion. Did not sell when you suggested to exit. Will do now.
ReplyDeleteNo meaning in waiting for others opinion if one feels sharp rise in stock price is without any reason
DeletePlease let me know ur views on Tanla Solutions.
ReplyDeleteAlready shared my view when stock price was around Rs.17
Deletesir
ReplyDeletedo you suggest fresh entry in to gelatin based companies, suggested a few years back ?
none of them has shown great returns over so many years.
do you see any positives in that industry ?
please reply.
thanks
Narmada Gelatine suggested @ Rs.93 .Even after bonus issue it is now @ Rs.142 . Not sure what % of return you are expecting from stocks.
DeleteSir
ReplyDeleteAre you tracking Stampede Capital, formerly Brilliant Securities?
Global peers include NASDAQ & NYSE listed Virtu Financials and KCG, HFT and market maker firms.
The same promoters' another company Green Fire Agri( Formerly North Gate Technology) crash landed from Rs.1582 in 2011 to just Rs.7 in 2011. Not dare to touch such business groups :)
DeleteOh my God!! That is one of the most important reason we trust you sir. Integrity. And of course the wonderful picks :)
DeleteHi, ur view on Compucom Software?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteHi Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat are your views on "Gati" and "snowmen Logistics" ?
I Prefer Transport Corporation ( TCI ) over them from the same sector.
DeleteSir any views on dlink?
ReplyDeletesir can I buy castex tech ? at current price? I want to buy it today. sir pls advice
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeletePlease provide you view on Kesoram - reduced their debt by half. Is it good to accumulate?
Thanks.
hi VP sir,
ReplyDeleteyour view on IL&fs transportation network and vijay shanthi builders for long term.
Sir pls ur view on swaraj auto
ReplyDeleteSir, your view on CORAL LAB pls. Thanks
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above mentioned companies.
DeleteOn mmb I could see many platinum investors suggesting the stocks which were already suggested by you long back, one example is guj borosil. They claim as if they discovered it, all the credit for finding such companies belong to you only sir. Feeling proud to be your follower.
ReplyDeleteCredit is not an issue and different people may suggest same stock at different point which is quite normal.If someone making money out of it , that is enough :)
DeleteVp ji nowadays for a Suggested stock becoming 2 times also they are calling themselves as multimbaggers creating self reputation. But u simple and humble. You are great!!This is from our bottom of the heart. With thanks, madhu.
DeleteAny update about elder healthcare ..
ReplyDeleteElder group in trouble
DeleteSir your view on manugraph India , a printing machinery company,
ReplyDeleteI have some analysis on business, numbers, can you please throw some lights on this,
Thanks in advance
any opinion ON 7seas sirji
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above stocks
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteMultiple Promoters of Tree House Education released shares recently and also some engagement with Zee Learn. I am confused that it is a good news or not because there is huge selling pressure in the market.
Please clear the doubt...
Dear Sir, How do you see the recent IPO of Dr. Lal and Alkem Laboratories valuationwise? Do we not have a listed company who has same or somewhat same products like the above two companies? Would appreciate your views.. Many thanks
ReplyDeleteDo you think there is no other Pharma company listed in India to compare with Alkem ?
ReplyDeleteIn case of Dr.Lal , Medinova Diagnostic is in the same business but its financial's are not so great .
Dear VP ji pls ur views on jenson Nicholson thanks in advance
ReplyDeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your current view on your old recommendation superhouse?
regards
asm
Dear sir , your longterm view on skmeggs ..i want to invest CMP ..
ReplyDeleteSir your valuable view on tv18 broadcast for long term
ReplyDeleteDear VP sir,
ReplyDeleteKindly share ur views about il&fs engg.
Do you think realty & construction sector will be a leader in next 12-24 months!!
Respected Sirjee,
ReplyDeleteWould you please share your view on Talbros Automotive Components Ltd?