Acknowledging a Mistake
I believe this to be
one of the key psychological barriers that an investor has to break in
order to be successful. You have to be honest with yourself and remember
your mistakes. Nobody wants to admit they are wrong, but as human
beings, we are wrong quite often.Too often, investors know
they’ve made a bad decision but choose to hang onto the losers until
they can at least break even or come out with a tiny gain. This usually
leads to a larger loss. If that stock is able to break even and we sell
at that point, our mind does not recognize this as a shock. This bad
decision eventually gets swept away only to be re-enacted at a later
time.
If we know that a mistake has been made, sell.
Change in Business Fundamentals
This
is pretty self explanatory. If a fashion company decides to start
expanding or change its business to the agriculture industry, then we
have a problem.Even if the prospects in the same industry turn bleak and no chance for a revival on foreseeable future -Sell
Better Value Investment Ideas
An investment is defined as
The
investing of money or capital in order to gain profitable returns, as
interest, income, or appreciation in value. – dictionary
If
the reason we are investing is to obtain profitable returns, doesn’t it
make sense to sell a current investment in order to invest in a better,
more profitable opportunity?. This is not just limited to stocks. You could find better value in real estate, bonds, coins, cars, antiques etc.
Better value knocking on your door? Sell.
Sell Stocks for Emergency Use
Life
brings all sorts of situations. If you are in need of emergency cash,
there is no real reason to visit a loan shark or bank to borrow money
that you may already have.
This is a hard situation to call, but if this emergency is extremely urgent, sell.
Over priced and Valued
Intelligent investors monitor their companies, not the stock symbol. We understand that all
companies have an intrinsic value. If you bought a great company at a
discounted price and the price has now reached the intrinsic value, you
could sell or hang onto it because you can fairly expect to receive a
certain rate of return from your intrinsic value analysis and discount rate.But
due to Mr Market’s craziness, say the price of the company shoots
beyond the intrinsic value. Selling in this type of scenario is also
psychological. Your greed is nudging you, grinning and nodding, telling
you “you know it’s going up further”. If this ever comes around, halt,
and reread or rethink your analysis and get back to basics. Price
follows value, and if the price is pushed up due to speculation and
hype, price will eventually meet value.
Good morning & A very Fruitful Lesson u teaches us today.. Thanks as always u Deserve...
ReplyDeleteDear Sir, Are You tracking Maximaa Systems ltd
ReplyDeleteNO
DeleteVery nice article. I will share with all of my friends.
ReplyDeleteOne of the highly relevant post for today's market
ReplyDeleteCan you send a link of mutual funds that you might have discussed previously?
ReplyDeleteNot discussed about Mutual Funds
DeleteThanks for such a Important lesson
ReplyDeleteThanks for your sincere effort, could you tell your opinion on Lovable Lingerie Ltd.for long term....Ravi Gupta, Hyderabad
ReplyDeleteGood morning Sir. You have touched many valid barriers which we face while dealing in shares. A big thank you Sir.
ReplyDeleteThank you once again !
ReplyDeleteRightly timed article so that investors do not unnecessarily panic in volatile times.
Thank you for sharing such a nice article with us.kindly let me know your views on kpit bharat forge and ujaas for long term point of view.
ReplyDeleteSorry, not tracking any of these companies.
DeleteNice article we need to be serious in investing,periodic monitoring is also inevitable.Thanks for the article VP SIR
ReplyDeleteThanks VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteMuch needed Info on when to sell a stock.
Thanks and Regards,
Kishan
Sir, when internationally the conditions are not promising; FIIs are net sellers in the Indian markets, which stocks are to be picked - the ones with much investments from FIIs, DIIs and MFs or the ones which may not have investments from IIs. Please guide.
ReplyDeleteI would prefer to take investment decisions not based on whether FII's ,DII's or MF's invested in a stock or not but on the basis of the business prospects of company and valuation of stock is reasonable or not.
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteAre you tracking Majesco.Kindly share your view for the same
tks
Many Thx fr d useful article.
ReplyDeleteNay view on vishnu chemical, entered at high price. whether exit or hold
ReplyDeleteThank you guru Ji, I want to ask you about PSU banks as they have intrinsic value but their performance is muted. Is there is any possibility of these scrips coming back to glory in near future.
ReplyDeleteNot expecting any miracle in 'NEAR FUTURE'
DeleteThank you Guru Ji
DeleteSir, can you please share your views on Enkei Wheels ?
ReplyDeleteUse the search option
DeleteNICE POST VP SIR...
ReplyDeleteHi Sir, good evening. Please share your view on surana Ventures
ReplyDeleteNot tracking any companies of this group
DeleteVery valuable input, thanks
ReplyDeleteDear plese your view on future consumer, future retail
ReplyDeleteNot tracking both
DeleteHi VP sir,
ReplyDeleteMIC electronics declared Q3 results, can you please share your views on the results. Also can you please throw some light on why every quarter the profit is being overstated by almost 6 crores. How is the stock for long term view
Reason for overstatement explained in the notes itself .
DeleteIn this quarter , there is an exceptional expenditure of Rs.7 Cr accounted . I would prefer to share my view only after understanding the reason for this expenditure.
Hi VP Sir, your views about MIC ELECTRONICS results. Posted decent results. Exceptional item is around 7 crore provided, otherwise results are very good. Your valuable views please
ReplyDeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour view on Dena Bank considering long-term investment.
Dear Sir,
ReplyDeletePls share your view on LLOYD ELECTRIC AND ENGINEERING
It seems very under valued stock compared to competitors.Market capital is only 1000Cr.High and steady growth for last a few years.Huge potential on Air Conditioner division,good demands for newly launched products like LED TV.Re structuring of service support div.Only one negative is huge debt.
Pls share your view.
Not tracking above mentioned stocks
DeleteIs it a good share L&T-finance for long term say 2 years.pl share your view
ReplyDeleteNothing to comment about time bounded investment in stocks.
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteHolding Granules from last 4 years and would like to continue doing so. But with change is your updates due to SEBI crazy rules, would you give a idea when to do profit booking in companies as and when needed?
Thanks
Adjusted to stock split , Granules already turned as a 20 bagger for my old readers .I prefer partial profit booking to cover cost plus some profit and keep the remaining as cost free.
DeleteSir, What are your views on shipping stocks? Especially GE shipping. With the oil prices down and countries reserving oil, ships should be in great demand thus the profits.
ReplyDeleteExpecting range bound movement is Shipping stocks.
DeleteSir are you expecting a big fall in markets in near future ?
ReplyDeleteThere is euphoria in small and mid caps , so better to be cautious especially in stocks moved very fast in recent times without any fundamentals.
Deletesir ur call on patels air temp.
ReplyDeleteComparatively better placed in that sector.
DeleteHello Sir,
ReplyDeleteHope this message reaches you as my earlier post did not appear. Sir HDFC Securities have suspended trading in Mindteck due to risk management concerns. How do you see this from a retail investor prospective with average risk appetite.
If there is fund in client account what risk brokers are taking by allowing their clients to buy any stock ? .Will they pay for clients if they met loss in other stocks ?
DeleteTry to find a broker allowing purchase of any stock listed in stock exchanges if there is fund in your account.
Please share ur views abt cmi fpe.can it swim through these difficult times
ReplyDeleteSir can we ask CS of company for clarification on exceptional item of 7 cr?
ReplyDeleteIt is your right if you are a share holder.
DeleteSir
DeleteVery Nice Article. Please share your views on Pipava Defence and Ultra Tech Cement
Your view on BLKashyap please
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteSir you views on Mindteck (India) Ltd one of my friend suggested me to have a look at this company sir do you track this company if yes please give your little bit insight about it would be helpful for me if you are tracking it and when i went through the profile and what they do looked quite interesting especially the cloud computing part.
ReplyDeleteOpinion about it already shared in MMB
DeleteRight time, right message from right person. Thank you VP.
ReplyDeletePls share view on Shree pushkar chemicals and fertilizers
ReplyDeleteGood Morning, again asking about ilfs engg.testing investors patiance level.shall we stay invested or can buy more now or book the loss? Little help needed.so plz reply.
ReplyDeleteMy opinion to investors whose patience level is low already shared as a comment below the last posting on IL&FS.
DeleteAvanti Feeds has sold its shrimp processing business to its subsidary. Is it good or bad ? Whats your view sir ?
ReplyDeleteAlready suggested to book profit,as of now not tracking.
Deletewhat are your view on donear industries and kirloskar electric? I have been holding them for a while and in some profit. Do you see a reason to hold onto them further at this price?
ReplyDeleteNo reply to this means not tracking the stock I guess?
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteIs mic a still hold after debt conversion or should i sell? Pls advice
Depends on the reason of your purchase whether is purely on the basis of debt conversion and its implication or other factors too.
DeleteFor me, the major worry was the nature of Rs.7 Cr extra ordinary expense in last quarter .Now it is learned that the same is a one time case and I prefer to Hold it.
Thanks Sir for the update. I am holding MIC though there was huge sell going on due to panic created in MMB board
DeleteHi Sir ur View on Pantaloon Merger.and Also on DCW.. Thanks in Advance
ReplyDeletePantaloon's scheme of arrangement is an already known fact to everyone and we have already discussed it ,now the record date fixed.
ReplyDeleteHello VP sir, Happy new year. Not sure why my posts are not showing up.
ReplyDeleteNow that your are not suggesting stocks, could you please throw some light on which are the key parameters to invest in a company for long term? For instance how should we analyze the P/E? Some ppl say the P/E should always be less than 15 for a growing company, but some of the companies you have suggested earlier have had greater P/E. So how do we go about it?
Also how to assess the other parameters like EPS, book value, Cash in flow, Reserve, Debts etc...
How do we choose a company which is undervalued in the market?
If you could advise on which parameters to analyze before picking a stock, it will be of great help to some new investors like me who want to do their own analysis.
Answer for such general subjects easily available in the web.
DeleteSir, your view on Gujarat Alkali and Chemicals?
ReplyDeleteDid my part of research and see that debt is negligible, business is showing improvements and can be a gud pick for long term
Not tracking
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour present view on Pioneer Emb? can I partially book the profit?
Please advice
Waiting to see the impact of debt settlement with more banks.
DeleteSir, Please share ur views on Aviation Stocks.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking any stocks.
DeleteThanks a lot VP sir, such a wonderful article. No other words. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteCould you please advice on peninsula land and nila infrastructures for long term?
Not tracking both
Deletehow about tanla solutions
ReplyDeleteMentioned around Rs.17 level, nothing more to add now.
DeleteDear sir
ReplyDeleteyour view about Syncom health care
regards
biju
Not tracking
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteAre you aware of any adverse news in SKM? The stock is falling without any reason.
There may be two reasons for fall in stock price
Delete1) General fall in stock market
2) Unexpected rise in egg prices from mid November ( Reasons for that in the following link :
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/Consumers-feel-the-pinch-as-egg-prices-surge/articleshow/50317940.cms
Due to this rise in egg price , positional traders and short term investors who always active in stocks near result season may expecting bit soft result in December quarter and it may be the reason for fall in stock price. But currently stock is trading even below the price at the time of last quarter result and hence I believe even if the result may be bit soft than expected earlier ,it already discounted in stock price as far as a long term investor is concerned.
This is my personal opinion and make own due-diligence before taking any final call.
Discl: Personally Holding shares of SKM
I slightly differ with you (first time) here.
DeleteEven medium size restaurants have a supply contract(yearly) for poultry\sea food\ etc. So in most probability, SKM (with heir 10+ years exp), would also have a similar contract with its egg suppliers for the year. If at-al the suppliers would increase price that would be in the next year, in which case they would have the option to consider absorbing some impact in its final product price. Hope this makes sense :)
So my expectation of a very good result continues.
I read your views on Himalya International expressed in 2014, do you still hold them? I'm skeptical about their entry into real estate projects though they plan to invest in core business. What are your thoughts on this?
ReplyDeleteUntimely and unnecessary diversification into a non related business- removed from tracking list.
DeleteSir ur views on Maximaa systems and diana tea. Thanks
ReplyDeleteDear sir please your view bhafna pharma, welspun enterprise, alok industries
ReplyDeleteDear sir plz your view kwality ltd & dynacon tech
ReplyDeletesearch option for IDBI not working. Failed to know your view on IDBI from time to time.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above mentioned stocks.
DeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeleteDo you track aban offshore and selan explore? If yes, Then can u share your views.
Aban has a life high of 4900 and now at 200. similiarly selan got plummeted in recent oil mayhem.To me selan balance sheet looks healthier than aban. But potential of aban looks very high. Do you even, feel aban is highly indervalued at such a low PE in this negative sentiment scenario.
Regards,
Vinay
There is nothing wrong in contra investing it you have enough patience and will power .But one should be very careful and good understanding about the strength of balance sheet . Debt ridden companies may fail to weather the storm if the negative business environment last long .So keep this point in mind while selecting companies for contra investing.
DeleteSir, your views on Fluidomat. The company manufactures couplings and the technology is dominated by only 4 players world wide.
ReplyDeleteFluidomat already suggested @ Rs.27 , neutral at CMP Rs.200
DeleteDear VP ji pls share your views on krbl , sahyadri , premcoglobal. Thank you.
ReplyDeletewhats your view on axis bank at current level?
ReplyDeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your views on Moser Baer india ltd.
Thank You.
do you have any view on RattanIndia Infrastructure & TINPLATE
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above mentioned stocks
DeleteSir your valuable views on current price of ceat and Avanti feeds?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Ceat
DeleteAvanti Feeds suggested before face value split around Rs.70 and it reached a high of Rs.3450 thereafter .Stock already suggested to exit and no recommendation as of now.
Good news for Multibase India
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ibnlive.com/news/auto/government-of-india-planning-to-make-airbags-mandatory-in-cars-1189553.html
Do you track care sir? If yes, ur valuable views on current price sir?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteSir , could you share your views about ion exchange & Anil ltd.
ReplyDeleteView about both stocks already shared
DeleteSir, Steel sector has seen very much downfall. Which company looks interesting and you are tracking as a counter-bet on this particular industry?
ReplyDeleteTracking Tata Steel and Sarda Energy & Minerals from this sector.
DeleteHi Sir, Wanted your View on Recent hit of Mid cap stocks like NCL industries , As Large Cap stocks are available in Discount and Mid cap have profrmed exceedingly well do u think sir this year mid cap in general will have tough time and also ur view for long term on NCL industries
ReplyDeleteUnder performance of large caps is mainly due to lack of business growth and over ownership by FII's who sold heavily in recent times. I don't like to take market cap as a bench mark for investment but prefer to take decisions based on company specific business opportunities and availability of such stocks at attractive valuation.
DeleteRespected Sirjee,
ReplyDeleteI am holding 500 shares of Mindteck @Rs.155/,after this week's volatile session,your advice would be very much supportive.
I don't think there is any change in business prospects .
Deletesir, your view on skipper scrip and rallis india scrip at current level.
ReplyDeleteSir, please share your views on Shreyas Shipping. Is it advisable to enter now ?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above mentioned stocks
ReplyDeleteSir, your view on Cupid. not on share price but on its fundamental value. Please
ReplyDelete