Wednesday, July 28, 2010

DR . AGARWAL'S EYE HOSPITAL LTD - BUY @CMP -Rs.71/-

Corporate hospital chains are catching the attention
of Investors in recent times and this industry is
considered as a sunrise sector. Along with this ,
specialized hospital are expected to came to limelight
in near future. Dr.Agarwal’s Eye hospital is the largest
listed specialised eye hospital chain operating in India.
This company is promoted by Dr.J Agarwal in 1994 at
Chennai.At preset it has 30 Centres in Tamilnadu, 1 in
Andhra ,2 in Rajasthan and 1 centre in Mauritius .Company
offering all latest treatments in eye care and ophthalmology .
Company is going through an aggressive expansion and
planning pan India operations in near future. In the initial
years ,this type of an industry requires large capital
expenditure to start hospitals .Buy when reached a critical
mass the margins will be higher. So long term investors can
BUY this at CMP of Rs.71/-. For the last FY ,company
posted a turnover of 87 Cr and a net profit of 52 lacs. In the
latest June qtr ,company posted a turnover of Rs.26 Cr and
a NP of 1.2 Cr.

BHAGIRATHA CHEM - EXIT

Company decided to discontinue one of its major product which will affect its profitability in near future .So better to exit from this co.

Monday, July 26, 2010

CENLUB INDUSTRIES - RESULT UPDATE

 Below is the comparative figures with last year same qtr:

                             JUNE QTR 2010        JUNE QTR 2009

TURNOVER           5.83 Cr                    3.26 Cr

NET PROFIT         60 Lakhs                  26 Lakhs


EPS                        .96                          .42

Company is small in size ,but growing steadily over many qtrs .

Sunday, July 25, 2010

YUKEN INDIA - RESULT UPDATE

Yuken India is one of our favorite stock which we recommended twice @ Rs.140/- and @ Rs.160/- in the past .Currently it is quoting around Rs.235/-.Company declared its first qtr result on Saturday. Below is the comparative figures with last year same qtr:

                             JUNE QTR 2010        JUNE QTR 2009

TURNOVER           28.73 Cr                    17.22 Cr

NET PROFIT         1.34 Cr                       LOSS OF 28 Lakhs


EPS                        Rs.4.47 /-                  - .87

Company's sales and profitability showing seasonal variations and historically June qtr is one of the weak qtr for the company .Even in such a qtr company performed well and raw material prices are stabilized now.Moreover company is planning a capex of Rs.15 Cr in near future to increase capacity and modernisation  .The entire funding will be through internal accruals and loans.Considering all these facts ,better days are expected ahead and one can HOLD it.

Saturday, July 24, 2010

A WORD OF CAUTION

Most of the stock market participants are in a happy mood
when indices ruling at a two year high. Since this rally
is broad based even retail investors are making handsome
profit. I am sure ,in a market like this any word of
caution will be ignored and there is lot of justification
for doing that. I am not discouraging anyone from
investing even at this point but just a caution about the
stock selection. We are here to make money, even that with
no waiting.When we take the list of stocks hitting new highs
everyday ,most of the names other than from the ‘A'group
are not familiar for majority of the investors. Why it
happens so?. There is two reasons for spurt in share prices
now,one is genuine buying by investors hoping better
performance of the company ahead and secondly because
of the activities of promoters and operators to en-cashing
the opportunity available in the market because of the
prevailing sentiment.Promoters of the first type of companies
may not interested in the daily movement of their share
prices and they are concentrating only in the business and
believing that in the long run the share price will eventually
reflect the financial strength of their companies .Share prices
of such companies may move slowly even in a bull market
because there is only genuine investors in such counters.
On the other side,promoters of some lesser known companies
are interested only in the share price movement and not in
their business.Such promoters are trying to push up the
prices of the shares in a hurry and distribute it to the retailers
and make gain out of it. Movement of such stocks are very
speedy and may be even trade only in upper circuits for
many days.In such a situation ,retailers feels desperate
by keeping slow moving good stocks and tempting to offload
such stocks and run behind fast moving stocks without
checking their basics.When the nature of market changes or
promoter/operator offloading is over ,fast moving stocks
crash down even more faster and never come back since
there is no business behind it.If one’s entry and exit is at
correct point such stocks may give returns but in 90% cases
the retailers will be in wrong foot due to many reasons
including greed and loss substantial amount and even exit
from such stocks are possible only in the following bull
market which may occur after many years. On the other
hand slow moving stocks of companies concentrating in
business always give decent return in long term because
the business also growing. So,while investing in bull market,
always take risk only at affordable level and don’t
forget- preserving our capital is important than making
money from market.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

CHAMANLAL SETIA EXPORTS




Chamanlal Setia Exports is the processor and exporter of Rice under
the brand name 'MAHARANI' Company has two rice processing units
located one each at Amritsar and Karnal ,with a total capacity of 100000 MT
pet annum.Company exporting three variety of products viz - Parboiled Basmati
Rice,Polished Basmati Rice and Basmati Health Rice. Last year most of the
riceexporting companies faced tough times mainly because of low productivity
due to lack of sufficient monsoon and also because of unfavorable exchange
value of Indian currency.Both these aspects are expected to be positive in
this year.In 2010 March,Company posted a turnover of Rs.183 Crore and a
net profit of Rs.6 Crore .On an equity base of 9.4 Cr ,company posted an
EPS of Rs.7.25/-  and it is currently trading at Rs.44 with a P/E of 6.  
Chamanlal  Setia Exports is expected to give decent  return going forward.

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD - BETTER DAYS AHEAD



Bhagwati autocast is a cast iron product manufacturer
located in Ahmedabad . Company having an annual
capacity of 18000 Metric ton and it is supplying
to industries like Automotive, Engineering, Hydraulic
and compressor making.Its customers includes Escorts,
Mahindra Tractors ,Punjab Tractors,Swaraj Engines and
Swaraj Mazda from auto related sectors and Vickers systems
and Bosch Rexroth from Hydraulic sector and HMT, Kirloskar
oil engines,Siemens from engineering sector …etc.
In FY 2010 company posted a turnover of Rs.52 Crore
and a net profit of 2.3 Cr.On its small equity of just
2.9 Crore company posted an EPS of Rs.8/- .All of the
sectors consuming its products are showing good
growth now, which is expected to help the company to
post even better result in current financial year.
Company is currently trading at Rs.34/- with a P/E multiple
of just 4 to last year EPS which is at the lower end .

Monday, July 19, 2010

FCS SOFTWARE SOLUTIONS LTD - ADVERTISEMENT FROM ONE SIDE SELLING THROUGH OTHER SIDE


We are seeing lot of advertisements of FCS software  in
business channels like CNBC in these days claiming its
glory and  expansion plans.This is increasing the confidence
of retailers and they are buying in bulk with very big dreams.
But what is really happening through the other side is really
alarming .Promoters are offloading their holding in open market
on a daily basis . But they are very smart  and it seems that the
major sellers are absent in last half an hour to get a higher closing
rate(closing rate is calculated on the basis of Weighted average of
last half an hour only) and continue their selling on the next day.
Have a look at the latest sale figure of its Main promoter
cum MD cum Chairman Mr Dalip Kumar  in open market.


Date of Sale                      Qty Sold

3 June 2010                       5000000     (Fifty Lac)

6 July 2010                        5000000      (Fifty Lac)

14 July 2010                      10000000   (One Crore)

15 July 2010                      15000000    (1.5 Crore)


Now everybody knows the reason of daily advertisement
through business channels . If everything claimed by company
are true ,what is the meaning of these huge sell figures of the
promoter ???? .So take utmost care while buying shares
of companies giving unnecessary
advertisements and  announcements through channels.
If more companies following this trend ,it is better to
considering  a buy of  the shares of companies running
business channels ,since they are the only beneficiaries
other than promoters of these type fraud companies.

Sunday, July 18, 2010

TRANSPEK INDUSTRY LTD - BUY

Transpek Industry Ltd is a 45 year old company established
in Baroda by Shroff Group.It is one of the largest
producers and exporters of organic and inorganic chemicals
from India. Its products are used in industries like
Petrochemicals, Pharmaceuticals,Agrochemicals ,Dyes
and polymer.Company manufacturing more than 50
products used in these industries.Out of the total sales,
close to 60% income derived from exports and balance
from domestic sales. Transpek has a good research division
too for inventing new products.In last financial year
performance of the company was severely affected by
foreign exchange loss on derivative
contracts which the company entered to hedge the risk.
Now after the stabilizing of exchange rate and improvement
in demand of company’s various products ,it is expected to
perform better in this year. One can BUY for decent return
in medium term at CMP of Rs.100/-

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