After two years long bull
run in pharmaceutical sector, it is not very easy to find stocks at reasonable
valuation from this sector based on their past financial performance.But based
on the future growth potential ,still there is few pharma companies overlooked my
market participants are available.This week let us look into one such company – SMS
Pharmaceuticals.
This Hyderabad based API manufacturer and Contract Research and
Manufacturing (CRAM) service provider came out with an IPO in 2007 @ a price of
Rs.380 .Even this company went to public only few years back,promoters having
vast experience in this field and most of the key persons behind this company was once associated with Cheminor Drugs . (An old time favorite pharma
company in listed space promoted by Dr.Reddy's Lab which later merged with Dr.Reddy’s Lab itself ). CMD and Joint MD of SMS were the key executives in the R&D division of Cheminor Drugs .SMS mainly
in the production of Ranitidine HCl,
Sumatriptan Succinate, Sildenofil Citrate, Omeprazole Magnesium, Ramipril,
Almotriptan maleate, Gemcitabine HCl, Imatinib Mesilate and their
intermediates. In addition to this about 20 products are in pipeline which either came out of patent recently or to be be come out in near future . Company have six manufacturing facilities located at Jeedimetla(two
units) Bollaram ,Bachupally ,Kandivalsa and Khazippally and two R &D facilities at Gagillapur and Hyderabad –all in AP.Two of its manufacturing
facilities are USFDA approved sites .At
a time of stringent scrutiny process of US regulator and in the background of
recent incident of loss of USFDA approval even for some big pharma companies
,SMS’s these two USFDA approved facilities are really an important asset for
the company.In addition to USFDA ,its production sites are approved by other
regulators from Japan,Germany and other European countries .Company exporting
products to more than 70 countries across the glob and more than 50 % of income
is coming through exports.SMS is the larget producer of Ranitidine HCl in the World.
Recent
Developments and Financials
Earlier in 2012-13
company sold one unit to Mylan Pharma for Rs.170 Cr .Using this fund ,
company paid back part of its debt and an amount of Rs.46.5 Cr spend for
buying back of its own shares .SMS bought back 15 lakhs shares at an average price of Rs.262
. Balance of funds utilized for the upgradation and expansion of its
other facilities and for working capital requirements.Now post completion of expansion ,company started to
deliver good performance .In the latest December quarter SMS reported a jump of
100 % in top line to Rs.138 Cr and a profit of Rs.8.40 Cr against a loss of
Rs.17 Cr.For the Nine month ended December SMS reported a topline of Rs.355 Cr
and a net profit of Rs.9.44 Cr .On an equity base of Rs.8.47 Cr ,9 month EPS is
Rs 11.10 ( ln last full year , if we exclude the other income
component company was in loss and its operating cash flow were negative ) .Company started to
report robust performance only from second quarter of this financial year after
the completion of the expansion of all its manufacturing facilities ( See table
below) .
Click on the image for a better view
( March 13 quarter profit was due to one time income)
( March 13 quarter profit was due to one time income)
I expect company will start to report full potential from next
financial year onwards and FY 2014-15 may end with an EPS in the range of
Rs.35-40 .Since public float is low ,liquidity is less in this stock.Promoters
holding close to 64 % stake (NIL pledge) and big investors including GulfPharmaceutical Industries holding another 17.5 % stake.
Stock is currently
trading @ Rs.240 which is far below its IPO price of Rs.380 and below its
recent buyback price of Rs.262 . Since this recommendation is based mainly on
the anticipated performance in future and its low liquid nature ,it is a high
risk high profit kind opportunity and recommending only to those having capacity
to take such a risk @ CMP Rs.240. Stock listed in both exchanges .
Sir, at cmp which is a better bet, granules India or SMS pharma?
ReplyDeleteThe magnitude of stock price movement in a low volume stock and comparatively high volume stock will be always different. Select the stock suitable for your risk profile.
Deletesir plz advice on blue star INFOTECH purchased at 148.40 should hold or dispose off plz waiting eagerly for Ur reply plzzzzzzz reply VP sir
ReplyDeleteI have recommended this stock @ Rs.72
DeleteLink below
http://value-picks.blogspot.in/2013/08/blue-star-infotech-good-times-ahead.html
Nothing to comment about a buy after 100% appreciation .
Just a HOLD for me.
Sir what is your view upon voltas and crompton thanks
ReplyDeleteBoth are good for long term
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteThanks for your new recommendation, already holding Granules India as per your guidance.
I want to know, can I buy Caplin Point Lab at current market price along with SMS Pharma ?
Regards,
Avishek
What is your view on Shakti Pumps now?
ReplyDeleteNo change in previous view.
DeleteSir what is your reply on Venus Remedies. Do u think it will outperform in long run. Thanks in advance.
ReplyDeleteMedium term depends on the success of Elores in regulated markets
DeleteWhats your view on cipla?
ReplyDeleteSir kindly tell me what is your view upon infinite computers as i want to buy please please reply so that i am able to pick a good one
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteKindly let me know your view on Neuland Labs
ReplyDeleteNeuland recommended @ Rs.126
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2010/11/neuland-laboratories-ltd-turnaround.html
Dear vpji kindly give your view on vesuvius india
ReplyDeleteStock currently trading @ Rs.460 which earlier recommended @ Rs.251.At CMP it is a HOLD.
DeleteSir do u think potential in advanced micro which came down to too low
ReplyDeleteParent company is in debt trouble .
DeleteHi,
ReplyDeleteCan you please provide your view on Dr Datsons lab (Previously Anjaneya pharma)? It had fallen drastically and recovered recently.
I tried to find the reason for drastic fall, but could not get the reason. Please provide your view on it.
Pledge invocation is the reason for sharp fall in Dr Datson.
Deletesolid find sir........super research ...........
ReplyDeleteone the gem pack pharma
almost 81.5 % shares held by prom + private investors.
stocks is near to 52w high
i think technicals will also come into play after hitting 52w high
Dear sir ,
ReplyDeletePlease tell me your view on uflex for one year horozon.
Not tracking it.
DeleteWhats your take on Tree House education @cmp 225? How do you rate education sector going forward in regards with Tree House?
ReplyDeletePls reply this time sir.
One of the better companies from this sector but valuation is not very cheap .One can consider in dip.
Deleteur view on basant agro can buy
ReplyDeleteI have clearly mentioned in my posting that why Basant is an opportunity .But it is very difficult for fixing a time frame .If management will de-merge its seed business it will unlock a lot of value.
DeleteSir,
DeleteWhen a company demerges and makes it into 2 companies, say A and B, the existing share holders are now holders of share in A or B?
Regards,
Sunil
Hello Sir,
ReplyDeletecould you please share your view on 'hyderabad industries' and 'NAVIN FLUORINE INTERNATIONAL LIMITED'
Not tracking both
DeleteSir, Should i buy SMS Pharma @ CMP of 270?
ReplyDeleteIf you have some risk appetite and willing to HOLD till FY 2014-15 result.
Deletesir , what is your view on cloud computing industries?
ReplyDeletesir
ReplyDeletewhat about NATCO and sMS pharma with CMP