Nilkamal and Wimplast are two companies
I recommended earlier on same day.( Old Link HERE ) Recommended price was Rs.202 for Wimplast and
Rs.264 for Nilkamal.But now ,Wimplast turned as a 4 bagger which is currently
trading above Rs.800 where Nilkamal is still around the recommended price. This
week let us look into the reasons for this under performance by Nilkamal which
is almost 10 times bigger than Wimplast by turnover.
The brand ‘ Nilkamal’ is familiar to everyone and it is the world’s
largest moulded furniture maker and
Asia's largest plastic processor.Company operating through five different
divisions viz – Moulded Furniture,Material Handling,Mattress,@home, and Home
ideas.Its manufacturing facilities are strategically located at each zones of
our country .Company own seven factories in India and one in Sri Lanka. Under
the moulded furniture division ,company manufacturing plastic moulded chairs ,
sofas ,ready to assemble furniture ..etc .Its material handling division
selling crates, pallets, Pallet Trucks ,Stackers, Forklifts ..etc. Company is
the market leader in each of these products.
What went against managements expectation was the performance of
@home division.This division comprises 19 large format retail stores with an
average size of 16,000 sq.ft. per store.Even after spending close to Rs.100 Cr
for this division ,performance of this division was not up to the mark for a
long time.Performance of this division affected company’s over all
profitability and its share price.Now management took a decision to control
spending for this division and concentrate in other core businesses.It is planning
to spend Rs.50 Cr to start two manufacturing facilities for mattresses in next
three years.At present company owns two
mattress manufacturing facilities located at Bangalore and Kolkatta .
Management is confident to achieve over Rs.100 Cr turnover from this division
alone in this financial year (2014-14) itself. Mattress division is
comparatively high margin one for the company .After a long wait , company’s
@home division also came to profitability in previous financial year (2013-14)
.In all other divisions company having enough capacity and hence not expecting
substantial spending for capacity addition in near future . This situation will help the
company to improve its cash flow and debt reduction going forward. Nilkamal Bito Storage Systems ( Link HERE) ,
the joint venture company with BITO Langertechnic of Germany also reported
profit in latest FY .Combro Nilkamal Pvt Ltd is another joint venture with US
based Cambro Manufacturing Company ( Company Profile HERE) .This joint venture company is
operating in the field of commercial food service
& hospitality segment which also reported good performance in FY 2013-14
All together ,this is the changing time
in Nilkamal with management’s prudent decisions.Promoters holding about 63 % stake in this company and not a single share pledged..Company reported substantial
improvement in its profitability in latest March quarter. For the full year ,Company
reported a consolidated top line of Rs.1752 Cr and a net profit of Rs 48 Cr .
EPS for the year is Rs.32 .Company also declared a dividend of Rs.4 per share .
Company’s book value is close to Rs.300 and currently trading even below this @
Rs.288. Considering the steps taken by the management in recent times to
improve its performance ,recommending this stock again as a BUY for long term
investors.Stock is suitable to include even in the core mid cap portfolio . Stock listed in both exchanges.
Link to Company Website HERE
Disc: It is safe to assume that I have vested interest in Nilkamal
Sir, can I enter acrycil @280 and indag rubber?thanks.due to this blog I am sitting on huge profit.
ReplyDeleteBoth these stock recommended at lower level. One can HOLD it
DeleteExcellent analysis Sir!! Keep up the great work .
ReplyDeleteThanks for your long term recommendation. I request to recommend stock between 5 to25 like marksons pharma
ReplyDeleteThe stock price should not the primary factor in deciding the stock purchase. If you prefer technical analysis than look at PE, PEG, un pledged promoter holdings , market cap to sales , debt etc etc .......
DeleteSir please your view upon jyoyhy lab and anant raj Ind. Your view is need full for me thanks
ReplyDeleteSorry ,not tracking both
DeleteGood call Sir!!! I was in a fix a month back between Supreme and Nilkamal and should have referred to your recommendation!!! Now on I have decided to check your blog whenever I am in a fix!
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteI am regular visitor of your blog - believe me , your comments and suggestion made me quite knowledgeable on the subject.
I express my sincere thanks to you..
I have recently bought Delta Corp @ Rs 100.68, should I hold? Appreciate - if you can give some insight of Delta Corp.
Also , Finolex Cables Q4 PAT jumps 79% at Rs 69.31 cr. Would, Finolex be good option to buy?
Thanks Arup
Not tracking both stocks hence not in a position to comment on.
Deletehttp://www.newindianexpress.com/business/news/Poor-Demand-Hits-Nilkamals-Expansion-Plan/2014/05/23/article2239505.ece
ReplyDeleteSame thing can be interpreted in different ways .See the below links too
Deletehttp://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/nilkamals-mattress-dept-to-cross-rs-100cr-rev-this-fiscal_1090550.html
http://www.mydigitalfc.com/news/nilkamal-eyes-15-cent-revenue-growth-year-546
Star investor Dolly Khanna is heavyly invested in this stock. Check in public share holding .Its a high conviction stock like Cera. La Opla etc
ReplyDeletesir plese share ur view on nitco.
ReplyDeleteNo change in my previous views on Nitco . These type potential turnaround stories may mint money ,but patience to wait for long term is the key for success in such stories.99 % investors are looking on share price movement from the next day of purchasing such stocks and start to ask ' why it is not moving even when many other stocks are moving ?'. These type cases are not suitable for such investors.
DeleteMy comments are not getting visible.. Can any1 share views on Dhanlaxmi bank..
ReplyDeleteTracking only very few banking stocks like Yes Bank,ING and DCB
DeleteSir, I remember you saying last time tracking only Yes and ING banks. Since now you are tracking DCB, are you very much positive on it?
DeleteASH
sir ur views on care ratings, subex and suzlon
ReplyDeletePositive on CARE Rating , not tracking Subex, Suzlon is an already recommended stock.
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteStill holding the share of sunshield you recommend at Rs 67.Yesterday the result is very bad.Please advice what to do.
Please check whether the same question answered in recent times before posting messages. Practically it is very difficult to answer again and again for same question due to time constraint and waste of effort.This same question answered below the previous posting today morning itself.
DeleteDear VP sir, would it not be difficult for NILKAMAL to compete if IKEA enters Indian markets?.. your views on this ..And if u can throw light on a company called Alok industries,, PLEASE ANSWER MY QUESTION SIR, tried several times to get my query answered., thank u
ReplyDeleteCompetition is part of any business. I don't think Nilkamal is a small company to sink easily
DeleteSir please share your views on spicejet..As this was your recommodation in 2010 @ 86 and then after time time you also book the loss also..but now what do you think about this script and sector..Since now the new government is also formed and also have a good vision of development is seen in this government ...so could you please share your view in this share and also tell me is this script is good at this price for long term...thanks in advance
ReplyDeletePrefer to take a call only after getting some idea of new govt's aviation policy.
DeleteVp sir,what are your views on Dcb Bank?is it a buy for long term ?or any other bank which you feel would be a good bet in the long term. Waiting for your valuable feedback
ReplyDeleteBuy for long term
DeleteYou have recommended Adani Power on Tuesday, March 23, 2010 when it was at 114. I had invested at that time based on your recommendation as a long term basis. I have been holding this stock even it was down by more than half of your recommended price. In this changed political environment, what is your advice on this script? Thank you.
ReplyDeleteThere is no meaning in sticking on any stocks if the situations which decide its fundamentals are changing.After recommending Adani power few years back the coal price scenario changed drastically and hence I requested to avoid the same . Now a new govt in place and everyone expecting some positive changes in favor of power sector .But if there is no formula to fix tariff based on production cost power generation companies may not gain as expected . So, better to wait and watch what changes the new government is going to implement.
DeleteSir, can u pls comment on Southern Ispat ?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it.
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteThe most of stock recommanded by you in last two months open with upper circuit so we fear to buy on higher rates so in the case of nilkamal if stock open with the same fashion we can go for buy with six months retain view.kindly reply please.
Regards
Jitendra
Dear Jitendra
DeleteMy stock recommendations are not based on volume /price movement but mainly depends on the expected business growth and current worth. So please don't misunderstand them as "TIPS" which are mainly for making quick bucks ( whether making money in such tips is another question) with the support of punters or operators .If I believe the long term prospects of a stock is limited within few circuits ,I never recommend such stocks , but I can't insist only long term investors should buy the stocks I am recommending.This is market and investors are different kind ,if investors with short term view entered in that stock, they may sell after holding it only for few days and a correction set in . But I believe wealth creation will happen only by sticking on quality stocks for long term.
hello sir,
ReplyDeletedo you think international travel house is a value buy?
Already recommended @ Rs.165
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2010/04/international-travel-house-ltd-from.html
Hi,
ReplyDeleteI am a beginner in trading. These days power sector stocks are moving up(Orient green, Suzlon, jiaprakash). When I looked into their balance sheet all of them are in big loss and they are continuously losing money, have high debt but still they are moving up. There is a sentiment in the market that new government will do something in power and infra but still I am not able to convince myself.Please share your knowledge which will be helpful for me.
Also you had written that you are tracking Yes bank what would be your suggestion for this now coz its already at 563.
Regards
Rohan
Dear Rohan
DeleteI am not an expert to advice anything about trading.My stock recommendations are only for investment purpose .I believe strength of balance sheet is not a big concern if your purpose is trading only.
Respected Sir,
DeleteApology for picking wrong word. I mean investment purpose only. I am not able to understand why this is happening that is why I am not putting even a single rupee.Again apology for not conveying my real intention.
Regards
Rohan
Hi Sir,
ReplyDeleteI am posting comments for such a long time but they never gets published. Please publish this one.
Please share your views on anus laboratories and visesh infotechnics.
Fundamentally nothing to comment about both stocks. In a bull market , share price of even closed down companies may pumped by operators ,nobody can predict such movements after analysing fundamentals .
DeleteHi sir,
ReplyDeleteWhats you view on jp associates and HDIL for long term.
Not tracking both stocks
DeleteHi VP sir,
ReplyDeleteMay i know your veiw about firstsouce solution ltd for 8 to 12 months
Not positive on any time bounded investment in stock market and not tracking the mentioned stock.
Deletedear sir,
ReplyDeletepls share your view on opto circuits india ltd.
thanks
Company desperately need funds at this point ,if some one came to pump money ,its fortune will change.
DeleteHi VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteCan you please suggest some solid waste management companies. I believe this sector has huge potential ...if taken care my new govt.
Hoping to see this message published.
Already recommended VA Tech Wabag and ION Exchange
DeleteHello sir,I am a regular viewer of your website, its very informative you put a lot of hard work in researching and finding out companies which are going to perform well in future, I had invested in some of your recommended companies, and they are doing well thank guiding us, can you please advise how long this bull rally going to last, just wanted your views on this, is it possible that the markets will keep on rising for next 5 years or this will be just a 1 year rally and this will be the end of bull run, please do reply. Thanks
ReplyDeleteI don't think anybody in the world can give a specific answer for your query. I would prefer to concentrate on individual companies rather than index movement.
DeleteThanks for your reply sir, will do the same, god bless you
DeleteSir, I believe sanitation will be one of top most priority if next govt. I am confused choosing between Cera/HSIL/Somany . Please provide your inputs . I believe this sector has huge opportunity in India in many years to come. I have plans to hold any of the above stock for atleast 5 years to get handsome profit.
ReplyDeleteAll these cos good for long term .Since these appreciated sharply in recent times ,one should show patience for further gains.
DeleteSir .. Is it safe to buy
ReplyDeleteMarksun pharma at dis point ... As u always say for long term ... As u have recomded dis stock at 4 rs nw it is currently trading at 25 so it is safe to buy just for investment purpose ...
Marksans now reached a market cap of over Rs.1000 Cr. There may be some momentum and gain due to this ,but purely on fundamental basis not recommending a buy at current price. Even granules is still available at a market cap of less than Rs.750 Cr
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteKerala Ayurveda result published. Still it is same as two years back. Is it advisable to continue holding it?
Even the opportunity is very big ,management is not showing any efforts to utilise it . Better to shift from this for the time being and reconsider if they are showing any meaningful efforts to revive the company.
Deletehello Sir,
ReplyDeleteI am impressed by your value picking. A great saluate to ur hard work and research.
What is the scope for oil and energy industries in future.
Can I hold ONGC for long term . Please advice
Positive on this sector , not tracking ONGC
DeleteSir, can't thank you enough for your recommendations and assistance.
ReplyDeleteShould one plan to book some profit in superhouse at around 140 levels, and lumax auto technologies at around 170 levels?
One can book profit in Superhouse at that level.Hold Lumax Auto Tech
DeleteThank you
DeletePlease let me know your view on Eicher Motors for long time investment(2+ years). Appreciate your kiind revert.
ReplyDeleteSorry Kevin ,not tracking it.
DeleteSure, Thank you...
DeleteAppreciate all your research and suggestions. I have been tracking several of the recommendations given by you and they are all awesome. I have made some savings and intend to go investment rout slowly. Your posts are defiantly helping thousands of people like me...
God Bless VP...
Sir pls let me know your view on zee tv entertainment
ReplyDeleteSir please reply to my query on Mirza international
ReplyDeleteNot strictly tracking it.
DeletePlease share your views on Ratanami Metels and Tubes?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteKindly share your view on Control Print. This stock is beaten for years and showing movement now. Is it good to bet on medium to long term? Thanks!
Regards
Ayyappan
More than once mentioned that this stock is not in my tracking list and hence not in a position to comment on.
DeleteSir, pls share your opinion on Mazda Ltd, if you tack it?
ReplyDeleteThanks for your outstanding efforts.
Sir, i am holding Simran Farms for some time now. You had a recomendation at 30. Do i need to still hold? Whats your view on this?
ReplyDeleteIn reply to many messages ,already suggested to exit.
DeleteSir, your interpretation on Gujarat borosil results that published now pls. Thanks
ReplyDeleteStock recommended on the expected future performance and not on the past.
DeleteSir what is your view on Gitanjali Gems? it's 52 week high is 618/- & book value is 314/-.Also govt has announced 80:20 scheme. Should one add this share on correction or still stay away?
ReplyDeleteYes , Company had lot of issues due to changes in govt's policy on gold import .This resulted in serious working capital issues . Now I believe worst is over for Gitanjali.
DeleteSir sorry but I want to know when I asked you about nilkamal at rs 150 you had not replied to my question.now you recommending this stock at rs 288.what does it mean.I thing you are accumulating the stock at lwrr level and recommending it at higher level to get maximum benefit.
ReplyDeleteIt depends on company's initiatives and improvement is business. A stock which is not a buy @ Rs,10 but the same may be a buy @ Rs.1000 and vice versa .
DeleteDo you really think I can drive a stock like Nilkamal from Rs.150 to Rs.300 + !!!!!!!! :))
Dear SIr,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on real estate sector?
Prefer Infra over real estate.
DeleteWhich infra stocks do you suggest. In one of your comments you described your choice for unity infra...Do you think lanco can be a turnaround story
DeleteSir how do you see Wockhardt results? Is it a good time to enter is there is a correction?
ReplyDeleteAs expected
DeleteSir what is your opinion on Acrysil results for 4Q FY 2014.
ReplyDeleteBelow expectation.
DeleteSir, what is your view on Indo Count Industries please?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteHi VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on Edible Oil sector after new government formation. I know, you have already recommended two stocks (Vimal, Modi Naturals) in 2010. Is there any change in your view for those two stocks? In the current scenario, do you suggest any other good stock in this sector for long term?
Best Regards,
Nawaz
Monsoon may be more important than new government for this sector.
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteI hold Aksh & Nilkamal please give your view about result,
its very imp for me or friends.pl reply
Thank You,
Arvind Kumar Patni
Hold Aksh
DeleteIn case of Nilkamal , recommended buy post result.
Dear VP
DeleteNilkamal- "Buy post-result?" Quarterly result was declared on 14 may. Which result are you talking about?
Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour view on Indsil Hydro - your old reco?
The results were good...
your view for long term?
Performance may improve if revival in steel industry due to new govt's expected initiatives in infra sector.
Deletesir ur view on orissa mine dev corp(OMDC)
ReplyDeleteSir, Please your comments about KSCL.
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteWhat happened to Nilkamal today? I had taken 50 shares at 350, could have sold at 390, but avoided now in big loss.