Courtesy: Economic Times
Those who study narcotics addiction
have invented the term ‘gateway drug’. It seems that many drug-users start with
mild narcotics like marijuana and gradually move up to harder stuff like heroin
and crack. It so happens that there’s an almost exact equivalent to this in
equity investing as well, except that the first stage is actually beneficial.
The default Indian saver saves all of his or her money in deposits with banks or post offices or the government. Some of these people—perhaps about two crores of them—start investing in equity funds. The gateway investment to equity funds is often a tax-saving fund—one of the so-called ELSS funds.
As ELSS investments come with a lock-in, they are forced to stay put for three years, which is a reasonably long period to see good gains. For most of these investors, the idea that equity funds can get you good returns becomes an obvious. So far, so good.
The default Indian saver saves all of his or her money in deposits with banks or post offices or the government. Some of these people—perhaps about two crores of them—start investing in equity funds. The gateway investment to equity funds is often a tax-saving fund—one of the so-called ELSS funds.
As ELSS investments come with a lock-in, they are forced to stay put for three years, which is a reasonably long period to see good gains. For most of these investors, the idea that equity funds can get you good returns becomes an obvious. So far, so good.
A certain proportion goes beyond this
gateway stage—generally with the help of equity investment’s equivalent of a
drug dealer. This person often goes by the name of a wealth manager or a
relationship manager or something like that and is generally employed by a bank
or a stockbroker.
The logic given is simple: why are
you wasting your time? Since you know that equity returns are better than a
bank deposit, let me introduce you to the form of equity that can get you the
highest possible returns from equity, which is effendo.
Even though ‘effendo’ sounds like a
magical spell from Harry Potter (like Confundo or Diffindo), it is not. It is
actually the popular way to pronounce F&O, otherwise known as futures and
options, or derivatives. Effendo is closely related to a Harry Potter spell
called Evanesco which makes things vanish.
Effendo can make money vanish as if
by magic, as it regularly does for investors lured into short-term trading
using these types of investment avenues. Actually, effendo does not make money
vanish, as much as it transfers it magically into the bank accounts of your
broker.
Now I know the whole shpiel about how derivatives provide depth and breadth to the stock markets, but for a vast majority of small investors, they are none of that. Instead, as Warren Buffet pointed out, they are nothing but financial weapons of mass destruction. But aren’t derivatives meant to be a good thing?
Now I know the whole shpiel about how derivatives provide depth and breadth to the stock markets, but for a vast majority of small investors, they are none of that. Instead, as Warren Buffet pointed out, they are nothing but financial weapons of mass destruction. But aren’t derivatives meant to be a good thing?
The answer to that question lies in
one of the distortions that have crept it into the Indian stock markets ever
since derivatives trading began. Derivatives like futures and options can be
used to protect traders against risk, acting like an insurance policy.
However, they can also be used to
enhance risk and returns, effectively as an instrument that offers a chance of
higher gains, but also a high risk of huge losses, including completely wiping
out the investor’s capital.
The real problem is not that using
futures and options in this manner is possible, but that almost every part of
the equities trading industry is dedicated to getting customers into this kind
of trading. Practically every broker—and that definitely includes banks’
‘wealth management’ units—does this and certainly, all the stock exchanges have
spared no effort in getting as many people to trade as speculatively as
possible.
This kind of institutional behaviour
is certainly disappointing, but not surprising. So much of the behaviour of
India’s big financial players is sub-ethical that one suffers from a bit of
outrage fatigue.
However, the important point is that
savers should save themselves from being herded into such kind of trading. It’s
certainly not a natural extension of safe and sensible investing of the kind
that one does in a tax-saving or other equity fund. There will be people who
will try and tell you stories and earn fat commissions out of your money but
it’s your job to show them the door.
Those
who study narcotics addiction have invented the term ‘gateway drug’. It
seems that many drug-users start with mild narcotics like marijuana and
gradually move up to harder stuff like heroin and crack. It so happens
that there’s an almost exact equivalent to this in equity investing as
well, except that the first stage is actually beneficial.
Miss those golden saturdays....when vp.sir used to provide a stock pick....
ReplyDeleteBut now miss vp.sir comments aswell...plz be back...vp sir miss u the most...before stock mkt tumbles n novice investors are at loose...plz provide some.healthy tips and not those COURTESY blogs....not feel like reading...can read ur comments repeatedly but not those investopedia's n ET's...
Hope u consider..
Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on Websol?
Can one enter at current levels?
This is the only stock I am positive from solar space.
Deletesir, what about surana solar? is there any negative about this company?
DeleteIf Websol is only stock you track solar space, then what about your post suzlon eng?
DeleteSir very nice of you to post this. I have myself suffered the negative consequences of trading derivatives so i totally relate with this post.
ReplyDeleteAs we have got the opportunity of hearing from you are a long time, wud request your feedback on the following stocks:-
1) Amulya Leasing
2) Emami infra
3) Royal Orchid
4) Centrum
5) Rupa
6) Websol Energy
Tracking only Amulya Leasing and Websol and positive on the business prospects of both in long term. In case of Websol, I expect the recent reduction in debt will help the company to stay afloat.
DeleteDear VP sir
ReplyDeleteCan you share your view about EPC irrigation
Already suggested one from Rs.45 level.
DeleteSir, do you track BHANSALI ENG, GOLDSTONE INFRA, PONDY OXIDE and MINDA CORPORATION. Thanks
ReplyDeleteDear sir, your valuable input should on KINGFA SCIENCE, VIVIMED, VIMTA LABS please. Thanks
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above stocks
DeleteSuzlon energy can we hold? Tanti said share holders will start reap benefits next year onwards
ReplyDeleteHold for the time being
DeleteThank you vp ji for this helpful article.
ReplyDeleteWilling to know your present thoughts on
Dishman pharma, bajaj hindustan.
Thanks in advance
As of now not tracking both.
DeleteDear VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteI want to express my gratitude for your suggestion of NCL Industries and Enkei Wheels India. Both are doing good.
Thanks
Ramakrishna Madugula
Dear VP sir,
ReplyDeleteKindly share your view on IMP powers.
Thanks
Sector is expected to benefit from government initiatives.
DeleteAs always , thanks for sharing wonderful article sir . Hope all followers of blog realize it and don't regret later , as I am the one who learnt in hard way and know how much pain it is.
ReplyDeleteDear VP, Your views about Cupid, Capital trust and 8K miles.
ReplyDeleteExpecting range bound movement from first two , not tracking 8K miles.
DeleteI mean you views about the valuation and fundamentals Sir.
DeleteDear sir
ReplyDeleteKindly share your views on dollar industries, will be a turnaround story?
Thanks
Turnaround ? . Dollar Industries which listed recently in NSE and currently trading above Rs.1500 is a company reported more than Rs.25 Cr profit in last year.Then what is the question of turnaround ?
DeleteDear sir please your view on S Chand and Company Ltd ipo
ReplyDeleteI dont think valuation is cheap , but in a bull market like this anything is possible. Whether a stock is good or not in a market like this depends on the strategy you are following . A good company may not be a good investment if it is not available at a good price , but you can make money even at a high price till euphoria in market .
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteDo u track essdee aluminium and nitco Ltd
How this company for long term investment
As of now both are facing challenges mainly from debt side . Opportunity lies in their brand and size . So these type stocks are double edged swords and suitable only for very high risk investors.
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteI have 300 share certificate of Essar steel, the company is delisted
Now what should I do to sell this share certificate
Normally upto one year post closing of de-listing offer company is liable to buy back.It seems some firms which deal with unlisted stocks still dealing in Essar Steel stocks but not sure about their genuineness.
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteI have 100 shares of Mahindra lifespace, can it be multibagger in long term
Dear vp ji
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on pennar industries, Gennex labs from a long term perspective? Thanks.
Sir,what is your view on Karnataka bank and Repro India?
ReplyDeleteTIA
Sorry , not tracking above mentioned stocks
DeleteDear vp ji. Pls comment on idfc bank results and ur views after results. Npa s came down
ReplyDeleteStill I feel , it is not a bad choice for passive investors
DeleteVP sir view on 20 micros at cmp
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it.
DeleteHi Sir,
ReplyDeletePlease share your view on old recommendations Gujarat Borosil, Multibase India, United Drilling.Bought at lower levels on your reco ,is it good to hold still or can we book profits...? Please reply
All these stocks are already multiplied by many times, neutral on them at CMP.
DeleteDear Sir, Your views about L&T Technology Services, eClerx and Bajaj Holding & Investments.
ReplyDeleteL&T Technology services in a potential business vertical . They need to divest substantial stake in near future to comply with listing norms .
DeleteSir any view on mpl
ReplyDeleteDear VP
ReplyDeleteCould you please share your view on Virinchi Technology
Not tracking above companies as of now.
DeleteSir
ReplyDeleteWhat's your call on asahi song won bought at Rs 256 ..I'm a long term investor ..
This stock suggested around Rs.84
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2010/11/asahi-songwon-colors-ltd-buy-on-decline.html
At CMP Rs.315 , neutral on it.
Sir, need your opinion on ester industries, tara jewels, vidhi dyestuffs,
ReplyDeleteHello VP,
ReplyDeleteDo you track:
Tinplate Co.of India and/or
SMS Pharma?
Thank you,
VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteWould you be able to touch on "Bull market"?
What is the reason behind our current rally?
Is it due to political certainity, economic improvement, or just stock market cycle?
Or the global consumption increasing?
Bull or Bear market is not the result of any single factor . It seems flush of liquidity is the major reason than improvement in corporate earnings for this rally in stock prices. Whether this will sustain or not depends on the corporate earnings improvement is enough to support such a price level , in coming quarters.
DeleteDear VP ji, what is your take on PSU banks now? Are you tracking any of the mid size PSU banks like BOI, BOB, PNB. Some analysts say that these banks may grow 2-3 times from hereon.
ReplyDeleteWorst seems over , but recovery may be 'U' shaped.Tracking only Canara Bank,Indian bank and BOB from this space.
DeleteSir any view on goldstone infra ??
ReplyDeletedear sir, what is your view on jenson ? public share holding is interesting. please reply.
ReplyDeleteSir, your view on GNFC at CMP?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above stocks
DeleteSir any view on JITF Infralogistics?
ReplyDeleteIts subsidiaries are working in sectors with potential but currently most of them are in loss. May take time.
DeleteSir, what's your view on Lloyd electric as it will got 1500 crore from business brand Lloyd Sele which will make it debt free and market cap is nearly 1000 crore and it will have manufacturer of Ac and many items, is it a good investment
ReplyDelete