Listed businesses owned by first generation entrepreneurs prone to higher risk compared with businesses owned by families with decade experience. Many such examples happened even in our stock market in recent times and some of them even threatened the existence of such businesses .Story of the managing director of Orchid Chemicals Mr K Raghavendra Rao is one such example, but he escaped ( so far ) with the help of the deep pockets of Cyrus Poonawalla. The recent one in this episode is the happenings in Manappuram Finance ,which is one of the biggest wealth creator from the mid cap space in the last five years.By now, all of you may be aware about the happenings.I strongly feels some foul play and planned attack by business rivals or vested interest parties in this whole episode .Being a person keenly watching the growth of this company I don’t believe that the promoters of Manappuram will do anything to cheat the share holders or its investors .( Let time proves whether I am true or false) .Actually they try to utilise a loophole available in the system to raise funds for another company of the same promoter which is entirely a separate legal entity.Whenever RBI issued a notice ,promoter express his willingness to repay the amount with interest at any time. If our media and authorities like RBI , SEBI ..etc are vigilant like this ,where were they at the time of big frauds in the past ? . We have many past experience with Sahara’s , Essar Group,Sterlite,Sterling Group..etc.. but none of them become an issue and not sensationalized like this .Authorities' silence in the past and media’s and equity analyst’s aggressiveness this time creating many doubts.For example ,when there is some rebound in its share price either business channel s ( mainly CNBC) or PINC papers will come out with some day old negative news on it .Take today’s case where its share price moved up more than 5 % today ,ET online edition published a news
“ CARE DOWNGRADES RS.1550 CRORE NCD OF MANAPPURAM FINANCE” .But the fact is that this downgrade happened about two days back and the report is available in CARE website day before yesterday onwards. This is only a small example and when we read between lines I feels some strong vested interest parties are playing to prevent the aggressive growth of this company with even the help of some Government Authorities . Time will tell who will win , but I feels the faith of Keralites ( where majority of its branches are functioning )in the promoter of Manappuram Group will help the company to recover from this setback and grow without any black spots going forward to reach its target of 3000 branches by the end of this financial year.
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THIS IS ONLY A PERSONAL VIEW AND NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE SHARES OF THIS COMPANY.
sir,
ReplyDeletewats your view on sukhjit starch at cmp?results were bad compared to previous quarter
mathew
Hi Sir,
ReplyDeleteI am planning for fresh investment in few of your following recommendation.
- Ion Exchange
- International Travel house
- Heritage foods
What do you suggest.
Dear Mathew
ReplyDeleteResult of Sukhjit was not up to expectation.Consider only around Rs.150/-
Dear Sir..
ReplyDeleteWhat is ur view for Resurgere mine...trading @ .30 paisa..
Dear Sir,
ReplyDeleteI agree with you.
Mannapuram is a great story and hope they will succeed in due course of time.
Need your view about Honeywell Automation.
Regards
Jagat
I feel Manappuram is set for its next big long-term jump after the share price went nowhere for the past 1.5 years.
ReplyDeletePeople like the author will be vindicated when the price shoots upwards of 800 in the coming months.
Dear brijsolution
ReplyDeleteI am not tracking Resurgere mine type punters stocks.
Jagat
ReplyDeleteHoneywell is a good company but rupee depreciation is a factor to watch.
hi..did u mean most of the business happens in kerala..
ReplyDeletehttp://www.manappuram.com/branches/
says equal number of branches in kerala/tamilndau/andra/karnataka..
hi, RBI is thinking of introducing steps in loan disbursements by companies like manappuram, muthoot as in news below.
ReplyDelete"RBI is now considering tighter regulations for the segment, the official said. This is could be in the form of limits on the loan that a gold loan firm can give as a percentage of the value of loan. This is also known as the loan-to-value. RBI may also restrict the maximum interest that a gold loan firm can charge its customers, and also the penalties that gold loan firms can impose."
how do you think share proces of manappuram and muthoot will be during the first and second Q 2012 !
how soon do you think these regulations could come into effect !
I do feel NBFCs have to consolidate
ReplyDeleteIs it a right time to buy this share ?
ReplyDeleteGovernment introduced lot of restrictions in this business in recent past .That may affect company's profitability and the charming towards its stock in stock market.
DeleteThank you sir
Delete