We have discussed a lot about Periodic Call Auction trading
system – the system SEBI introduced to suck out the remaining retail investors
from equity market. It also proved once again - theories successful on paper may not repeat success in practical
life. Why SEBI continuing this system without any modification even after it
proven as an utter flop is the big question
!!!. Introduced for reducing manipulation and increase liquidity , this system
actually reduces liquidity further and
caused for sharp crash in the market capitalization of even standard companies included in this
list. On the other side, it did not contribute anything to control manipulation
and manipulators still have their own tools for manipulation. In nut shell ,PCA
is the worst and anti retail investor trading mechanism ever introduced by the authorities
. To come out from PCA ,SEBI stipulated some criteria which also included some funny conditions . An average volume of 10000 shares per day or average 50 trades per day in
all days of any quarter are the two major criteria fixed by SEBI . The anomaly in
this system is, it is not considering the equity base or floating stock of any
company .I don’t think it is fair to fix same criteria for companies with 3 cr equity and 25
% floating stock and 300 cr equity and 75 % floating stock . Another point is - a low quality stock which is trading @ 0. 5 paise can exit from this system if there is an average turnover of mere Rs.1000 ( 0.10*10000) per day where a quality stock trading @ Rs.2000 can't escape from this system even if there is an average turnover of Rs.1.99 Crore ( 2000*9999 ) .Frankly speaking ,I can't understand the logic behind it .More than this
,automatic cancellation of orders in each hour and need of re-entry in each
hour creating lot of trouble both for investors and broking firms . Retail
investors apathy towards this mechanism truly reflecting in the falling trading
volume and sharp decline of the prices of even goods stocks which included in
PCA in the past few months . The real
irony is – this mechanism is introduced by the same SEBI who are spending time
and efforts to promote retail participation
in market and also encouraging the listing of small companies . Prevention of manipulation is necessary, but I don’t think ,killing 99 innocents to prevent the
manipulation by the remaining 1 is not the
proper way to execute this .
Let us come
to the point .Only very few quality companies
managed to come out of this deadlock once it entered into PCA. Exit and entry
revisions are normally happening in the first week of each quarter. Acrysil
India will be a surprise exit candidate in the next revision . Total trading
days during September – December quarter is 62 days and company already
recorded a trading volume of more than 781500 shares which is enough to
qualify for an exit ( 62*10000 = 620000 is the required quantity ) .
Acrysil India is one of the rare companies I recommended earlier
even from the PCA list due to its unique products,robust financial performance
,excellent dividend distribution history ..etc. It is also one of the rare
companies recorded its life time high price even after inclusion in Periodic
Call Auction. In addition to the exit of PCA ,this Kitchen appliances manufacturer
reported very good performance in first half of current financial year where it reported an
EPS of Rs.11.05 against Rs.12.35 reported for the entire full year in 2012-13 .
I believe ,company’s positioning as a niche high end producer and its successful
efforts to find strong foreign collaborators for financial ,technical and
marketing alliances will bring more success going forward. Germany based Schock and Co GMBH ( leader in Quartz Kitchen Sink’s
in various countries ) holding more than 10 % stake in Acrysil and marketing Acrysil’s
products in many countries. Recently company started co operating with Berbel Ablufttechnik ,another German company for
Kitchen Chimneys and appliances. .Management is also investor friendly and not showing any hesitation to share their success with
minority share holders .Last year they
distributed bonus shares and a dividend @ 33 % .
This is the kind of stocks having almost all ingredients to become a multi bagger over a period of time due to many reasons like :
* Low floating stock
* Niche Products with reputed brand "Carysil" targeting ultra premium market segment ( Company is the only producer in India and one among the total four producers in the entire world for first quality Quartz Sinks
* Investor friendly management
* Revival in the economies of its major markets
* Huge untapped market potential in India itself.
* An under invested stock by Mutual funds,Institutions and Big Individual Investors
* Large capacity addition in recent times backed by strong marketing alliances with world leaders .
* Aggressive R & D efforts to develop new models...etc
. I expect more serious investors will look into this stock once it came out of PCA within four weeks and chances for sharp re-rating .Recommending this stock @ CMP of Rs.150 for investors with some risk appetite .
This is the kind of stocks having almost all ingredients to become a multi bagger over a period of time due to many reasons like :
* Low floating stock
* Niche Products with reputed brand "Carysil" targeting ultra premium market segment ( Company is the only producer in India and one among the total four producers in the entire world for first quality Quartz Sinks
* Investor friendly management
* Revival in the economies of its major markets
* Huge untapped market potential in India itself.
* An under invested stock by Mutual funds,Institutions and Big Individual Investors
* Large capacity addition in recent times backed by strong marketing alliances with world leaders .
* Aggressive R & D efforts to develop new models...etc
. I expect more serious investors will look into this stock once it came out of PCA within four weeks and chances for sharp re-rating .Recommending this stock @ CMP of Rs.150 for investors with some risk appetite .
To get more understanding about this company ,you can refer
the following links.
Use the search option to find out my old recommendations of this stock in this blog
Disc: I have vested interest in Acrysil India
Thanks VP for this recommendation. After your recommendaton and my further study on this stock, I have purchased in 2 lots at avg price of 133. I am sure it will catch 200 mark in another 6 months time.
ReplyDeleteBR
Girish
i have spicejet 10000 @ Rs 35. Please advice whether i exit from this stock at CMP @ 17/- and shift to any other stock .PLs suggest.
ReplyDeleteAviation sector is not in a good shape .Only some positive news like stake sale ..etc may give positive movement
DeleteGood stock. Thanks.
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteSIR,
how about ABM KNOWLEDGEWARE. WILL IT ALSO COME OUT OF PCA. WHAT WILL BE THE EFFECT ON ITS SHARE PRICE.
No chance to come out at present ,otherwise there should be some bulk/block deals before quarter end.
DeleteSir please share your views for Good Luck Steel Tubes Ltd. it is available at very cheap valuations....
ReplyDeleteNot tracking this stock
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeletePlease provide your view on Andhra Bank. At CMP they give 8-10% div yield. Stock is at around 52W low price. Fall could be due to bad earnings last quarter and also could be because of the Telengana issue? Could it be a good bet for long term?
Thanks,
Sunil
PSU banks are facing serious NPA issues and it may last for more quarters .Hold it if ready for long term holding.
DeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeleteKindly share your views on Orchid Chemical. I am holding 500@105..from very long time.
Better to book loss and shift to some other stocks from the same sector.
DeleteVP Sir,First of all thanks for all the wonderful stock ideas which you have been giving us.It is really good to see someone helping retail investors in their stock selections for good returns.
ReplyDeleteI have 2 questions:
1.Is it advisable to buy wockhart at CMP or shall I buy it on correction?.I have read ur report on wockhart and was highly convinced about that.The kind of promoter cycle they have ,they can easily overcome this storm and can again be a multibagger.I have a time horizonn of 2 years.What would you advise?
2.Also Shall I buy Acrysil India at CMP or on correction.Given the kind of niche products and also the future growth potential they have,can it be a next multibagger on the lines of laopola ,Page industries or TTK Prestige.
Sir I have 1000 qty of everest kanto @ 15...please suggest should I hold or exit
ReplyDeleteReceived your same questions through mail and already replied.
DeleteI have bought Sandur Magnese @ 675. now its trading below 600. I think it will go down further and hence want to exit it and put the same amount in Acrysil. What do you think about it. Acrysil, anyway i will buy more but what is your opinion on exiting Sandur magnese bought @ 675?
ReplyDeletePlease reply.
Regards
Not tracking Sandur Mang. I think , answer for your question about Acrysil is already there in yesterday's posting.
DeleteVP Sir,First of all thanks for all the wonderful stock ideas which you have been giving us.It is really good to see someone helping retail investors in their stock selections for good returns.
ReplyDeleteI have 2 questions:
1.Is it advisable to buy wockhart at CMP or shall I buy it on correction?.I have read ur report on wockhart and was highly convinced about that.The kind of promoter cycle they have ,they can easily overcome this storm and can again be a multibagger.I have a time horizonn of 2 years.What would you advise?
2.Also Shall I buy Acrysil India at CMP or on correction.Given the kind of niche products and also the future growth potential they have,can it be a next multibagger on the lines of laopola ,Page industries or TTK Prestige
Hello VP:
ReplyDeleteAny latest view on Capital Trust?
Cheers!
Sector lost its fancy and this stock is in PCA
DeleteVP Sir, any idea, why our old pick Speciality Restaurants is underperforming?
ReplyDeleteDue to sharp rise in the price of food articles company facing margin contraction.
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteUPL has appreciated 60% from your recommended price. Is it sill a HOLD or partial profit booking?
Thanks,
Sunil
Please provide views JHS Svendgaard lab
ReplyDeleteI am ,and will be negative on any company promoted by the promoters of JHS Svenguard.
Deletesir reasons???
DeleteThese promoters are running many companies operating in same field.If my memory is correct ,earlier another company ( Sunehari Exports) by the same promoters collected money from General Public and disappeared from stock exchanges.Later they came out with JHS and collected money .Now they are claiming they lost business due to some issues with one of its major client.I expect these same promoters will come out with another company in future and collect money from public and this game will go on .I am not interested to recommend any company promoted by such promoters.
DeleteThank you very much Sir ..:)
DeleteSir, what is your view on Talwalkars? Somehow, the stock has not been participating in market rally?
ReplyDeleteCompanies like Talwalkar,Speciality Rest..etc are spending related themes .When there is liquidity crunch in economy ,people first stop spending for not necessary items .These type cos will perform when the liquidity crunch eases .Directly or indirectly interest rate is an important factor in this .So keep an eye on Inflation figures.
DeleteHello VP. Thank you very much for your comments.
ReplyDeleteI would like to know a bit on HDIL, what are you views will happen in the near future. The company had two consecutive poor performing fiscal years. This year was significantly affected due to the Mumbai International Airport Limited dropout. What do you think 2014 will be for HDIL.
Awaiting your response..
Not expecting any big change in 2014 other than some sentimental boost if there is stable govt formation.
DeleteI just refer your blog before couple of days only and want to invest on your recommended price. But almost all stocks are above your recommendations except ANIL. So, sir should I enter into eventhough it is under PCA ? or any other stock in which i can enter around your recommended price.
ReplyDeleteOn valuation basis it is OK ,but liquidity is really an issue for PCA stocks unless promoters are taking special interest.
DeleteHello VP:
ReplyDeleteSorry, was not able to reply back on the same thread regarding my query on Capital Turst.
Thanks for your response...regarding the stock being in PCA, keeping into account there have been some bulk deals in the past few weeks, is there any chance of this coming out of PCA?
Thanks in advance for your response.
Cheers!
To come out of PCA ,Capital Trust should record an volume of more than 3 lakhs shares in next 8 trading sessions.
DeleteSir, can you please let us know your current views in Zicom Securities?
ReplyDeleteIs there any change in opinion? I'm holding from your recommended level of 77. Pls update. I'm true follower of your blog. Sincere thanks for advises.
Regards,
Rita
This stock actually recommended @ Rs.38 as a BUY and @ Rs.76 as a HOLD
DeleteSee the links below
http://value-picks.blogspot.in/2011/10/zicom-electronic-security-systems-ltd.html
http://value-picks.blogspot.in/2012/09/zicom-electronics-updates.html
@ CMP of Rs.64 ,HOLD it.
Dear Valuepick! Can you kindly put some thought on the outlook of Advanta. The price has come down to an extremely reasonable label because of its poor performance in Q2 13.. Is it portending similar bad performance in quarters ahead also. Whether it is prudent to add more now?? Thanks in advance. Shall be grateful for your reply.-Follower
ReplyDeleteMajor reason for poor performance is a one time expense of Rs.12.5 Cr .I hope ,performance will improve in future .
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteI was checking up on the corporate updates on Acrysil on BSE Website and noticed that, "the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on February 25, 2014, broadly considered the offer for acquisition of overseas business and authorized Mr. Chirag A. Parekh, Chairman & Managing Director of the Company, to explore proposition further."
Does this mean that Acrysil is considering selling its overseas operations and business? Or does this mean that the company is looking at acquiring some other company overseas? There was no clarity or further explanation on this matter and I was hoping you could shed some light on this matter...