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This stock once recommended @ Rs.95 .( Old report HERE) .Recommending it again @ CMP of Rs.112 due to company's recent initiatives and improving financial performance.When I recommended this stock last time it was in 'T' group but now it excluded from 'T' group and trading normally.I expect Liberty Shoes will be a stock to watch out in 2014 and will turn out as an out performer from the mid/small cap space in the coming year.
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In last few years ,even in India ,we have seen few fantastic
turnarounds from the verge of collapse to great success.Eicher Motors and Bata
India are best examples for such a rise
as phoenix from the ashes.From a low of Rs.63 reported in 2003 ,share price of
Eicher Motors galloped to Rs.5000 in just 10 years.In case of Bata India , stock
moved from Rs.26 to Rs.1085 during this same period.If we dig deep ,there is
some common factors in many of such companies which turned around dramatically
.’ Brand ‘ is one important factor in
many such cases. Strategic marketing and technical collaborations , sincere
efforts of management with hard work and dedication are the other key points
present in such cases.Considering many of such factors , Liberty Shoes is
currently at a situation where Bata was 5 or 6 years ago.Incidentally both these companies
are in the same line of business too.Liberty is one among the largest 5
producers of leather shoes in the world with a production capacity of 50000
pairs per day.Company selling its products through a marketing network comprising of 150
distributors, 400 exclusive showrooms and more than 6000 multi brand stores. In
addition to this ,company having strong presence in all major online stores.Liberty’s major brands includes
Force-10 ,Fortune,Gliders,Coolers,Senorita,TipTop..etc.
What is interesting at this point is – Promoters are again looking the
business seriously and taking every efforts to bring the company into the right
track.Company decided to appoint external agencies for in- depth study of the
existing operations of the Company .Recently company introduce a host of new
attractive models and expanding presence into new geographies.In an effort to
increase margins company planning to rationalise its sourcing of raw materials.
Presence of some private companies under the same management may be a reason
for conflict of Interest .Recently management hinted their plan to consolidate
the business under the listed entity in an efforts for value creation.Recently they decided to merge retail arm Liberty Retail Revolution with the company which is
planning to add 100 new stores every year .At present RRL running more than 400
show rooms .It seems all the efforts of management started to show positive
results.In the latest September quarter ,company reported a 50 % growth in
sales and sharp increase in net profits from just Rs 8 lakhs to Rs.3 Cr .
Entry of some well
known private investors like Dolly Khanna (who spotted multibaggers like
Hawkinks,Cera Sanitary,Amara Raja Battery,Relaxo Foot ware ..etc at attractive
price levels) in Libery Shoes is another point to note along with the positive changes
happening in the company.Dolly Khanna entered in the more than 1 % share
holder’s list in latest September quarter.I believe -with a very good brand
,large marketing and manufacturing facilities and changing attitude of
promoters with aggressive growth plans – this branded play will turn as a
wealth creator in the years to come.Stock listed in BSE and NSE.Reiterating strong BUY @ CMP Rs.112
Link to Company's recently renovated website HERE
Link to latest Interview with MD. HERE
Disc: I have vested interest in LSL
Dear sir what about kirloskar industries
ReplyDeleteIt is only an investment company at present ,not tracking it
DeleteThank u sir for wonderdul and upcoming bagger in coming years. Keep it up. Lots of blessings and good wishes are with u of all the investors.
ReplyDeleteThanks & Rgds,
Nirav S. Karia
Sir your views on Kwality Ltd Plz ..
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteThanks for good recommendations all the year. Happy New Year value pick sir in advance.
ReplyDeleteThanks and same to you and family
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeletei have been reading your blog for the past 6 months. It is really worth reading blog for every investor. My thousands of sincere thanks to you.
I would like to ask you one question.I read economics related news paper, i read about current affairs in the business, But i am not able to analyse the way you are analysing a business or company. Please tell me how do you approach a company, or How do you start the analysis. Thanks in advance
Mail:rajbiluve@gmail.com
Regards,
chetan
Before looking into any company ,look around and try to find out some industries with potential.
DeleteThanks for great recommandations. Sir what is your view on rolta india ltd. Even promotors are also incresing stake...
ReplyDeleteNot a preferable pick from IT sector - for me.
DeleteVP ji - there seems to be labour and wage issue, for which the promoter is sentenced to 6 months in prison. Charges are that, workers have been forced to quit cos of wages not being paid. Promoters might appeal the sentence. But would this not be a blot ?
ReplyDeleteLabour related issues are common in any labour intensive industry.Company clarification in this matter below
Deletehttp://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/Liberty_Shoes_Ltd_211013.pdf
Dear Sir,
ReplyDeleteKindly express your views on NTPC. Can I enter NTPC at this moment.
Generally not tracking Govt owned cos.
Deletedear sir what is your call on BAJAJ HIND @14 RS ,need your coverage again on sugar sector
ReplyDeleteNot expecting any favorable developments for sugar cos in election year.
DeleteDear sir happy cristmas in advance what is your valuebul current view on
ReplyDeleteUFLEX LTD
its a packaging company its very attracting business & expansion wise low pe stock but high debt & Interest cost I have vested interest in uflex please comment on this
Bit skeptical about this group
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteOnce again thanking you for the remarkable job you are doing for the investing community.
Regarding Lberty - CEO of the company is talking of achieving a target of 500 crore by FY 2014, ie current financial year.Till half of the year they only clocked a 200 cr roughly,so next two quarters they must do 150 cr each...Once they scale up they should be able to make it to 5 % NPM, that's is a reasonable margin for this kind of business. What are the possibilities of happenings of these things.
Your comments please sir.
Thanks again !!
HAPPY CHRISTMAS AND HAPPY NEW YEAR IN ADVANCE TO U AND UR FAMILY .....HAVE GREAT YEAR AHEAD.
regards,
SHANID V H
Sir,
ReplyDeleteI asked about KRBL and you ignored it, why? Please suggest.
Thanks for doiing the needful.
One of the preferred pick from Rice exporting sector.
Deletesir one more point i want to add Mr.vijay kishanlal kedia bought 90000 units on yesterday (this fellow as u know on off the biggest invstor in atul auto and aegis logistics once upon a time ) i am thinking that this will surely become a multibagger like atul auto
ReplyDeletethank you
Let us hope .
DeleteHello valuepick
ReplyDeleteDo you expect epc ind and advanta to improve performance in near future.?.Also how long do you think Wockhardt will take to resolve its issues?..Are they on the right track
Positive on both stocks in long term ,nothing to comment about near term.Wockhardt may take 1-1.5 years to completely settle issues related with Waluj and Chikalthana.
DeleteHello Vpji,
ReplyDeleteThanks a lot for all your recos! I have bought Liberty shoes, Marksans Pharma n Balaji Amines after reading ur posts. Making a good profit. Thanks a lot.
Can you please give 4-5 buy at CMP suggestions please? I have to invest arnd 1 lac for long term
Better to invest when there is opportunities in market rather than money is in our pocket.
DeleteExcellent reply I agree to that! Thanks VPji.
DeleteBut can you give stocks that I could watch out for?
sir your view on relaxo foot wear,kkcl,thomas cook,ashiana housing plese
ReplyDeletethank you
Positive on Thomas cook ,not tracking the rest
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteLiberty shoes has never paid dividend since 2006. Is the management investor friendly?
I am betting on the future of the company ,not on the past.
DeleteEven in the past Liberty declared uninterrupted dividend till 2005 ,in 2005 company declared 110 % dividend and 1:1 bonus. There was low profit thereafter and they skipped dividend and I don't think non distribution of dividend during tough time alone is a reason to worry.
Please suggest few stocks with relatively low risk - to build a portfolio
ReplyDeleteMid-small-micro cap stocks always high risk high profit cases.If you are looking low risk stocks better to look into large cap blue chips .I am not tracking much stocks from that category.
DeleteDear sir, do you have any long term view on pfizer .Is it a good buy at current levels .Also wyeth is being merged with pfizer?
ReplyDeleteGood for a defensive investment.
DeleteDear VP Sir, Whats your view on the long term prospects of Godrej Properties Ltd ? Which one is your preferred stock in Construction - Real Estate Sector ?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Not tracking much cos from this sector.Go with low debt one's
DeleteSir, Your views on Indraprastha gas ltd plzz ?
ReplyDeleteDepends on the verdict of court case
DeleteDear Sir
ReplyDeleteI have been seeking your advice on Suzlon for the past few months. I have found that the promoter share pattern changed last qtr. They are getting new orders in Europe etc. How do you see all these changes? A small reduction in loss can make this scripts wonders it seems. Pls advice. Sulekha Sathyan
Dear Friend
DeleteIf I comment on every order win of Suzlon and its subsidiary ,it should happen on a daily or weekly basis.Not getting order but executing order is the current issue of Suzlon due to working capital crunch.Anyway worst may be over for the company but not expecting any dramatic recovery in short period. Stock may recover gradually and investors with enough patience may consider it with a 1.5 + years view.
Sir, will you please provide your view on Elecon Engineering and Praj Industries Ltd.
ReplyDeleteElecon is not a bad company but a long wait may need .Not tracking Praj
DeleteI am following your blog from very recent past. I stuck in to Lanco Infra at Rs.22. Should I hold ? Please provide your valuable view.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Lanco Infra
DeleteVPji
ReplyDeleteWhat is ur suggestion @ Orient Paper & Industries.
Should we buy it.
Pl suggest.
Not tracking this stock
DeleteThank you Sir!! Eventhough i put sincere effort to study the script before raising a query; Getting a reply from a genuine person like you increases my confidence. God bless you and family for this wonderful piece of work which I have not seen anywhere so far.Sulekha
ReplyDeleteThanks for your kind words.Try to generate own conviction with deep study about any company before investing which will increase our confidence level even during tough times in the market.
DeleteDear sir,
ReplyDeleteThanks for your valuable advice, sir you had spotted accelaye kale, persistent systems, which has already become a multibagger stocks- can you please suggest one IT stock which we can buy at current CMP.
Since many small IT companies are working only in paper one should pay more care while selecting mid/small cap it cos. In recent past recommended Blue Star Info.
DeleteSir, what do you think about Omkar Speciality Chemicals?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking this stock
DeleteAfter a sharp hike in Dewan Housing Finance , how do you evaluate this stock from now on.. Can partial profit be booked here?
ReplyDeleteDewan Housing recommended @ Rs.160 last moth currently trading around RS.225.HOLD it.
DeleteThanks for reply..
DeleteHi,
ReplyDeleteI have found your website on 13th Dec, through Google Search Engine. I am investing my major portion of money in Mutual Funds and Small funds in Equity Shares for last 5 years. I have taken the various Tips giving companies which includes many well known companies. They always promise to give Good Returns but nothing such things are done.
After reading blog entries, I have invested in the recommended. I have invested small amount to check the stocks picks from your 2013 posts from Jan to Dec, and invested as below:
ADOR WELDING LTD 5 S Buy @ 128.25 131.87 [After taxs]
ASHAPURA 25 S Buy @ 60.2 61.78 [ - do - ]
MARKSANS 100 S Buy @ 13.3 13.68 [ -do - ]
Total Investment about 3,550 and Present Valuation is 3950 giving about 10% of return.
Now, I want to invest around 1.5 lakh on your recommendations. Kindly let me know in which companies, would I invest. As some already hit 52 week high of your recommendations. I can hold the shares with the view of 3-5 years. Currently invested in Suzloan about 50,000 @ 9.5 and Lanco 70000 @ 7 AMARAJ Batt 10000 @ 315. Kindly also let me know there future prospective for next 3-5 years to hold or exit or more invest.
Thanks,
Vineet
Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour reco Biocon has gone up.Can you pls let me know, whether it is a Hold or Sell
Regards,
Raj
Hold it for long term ,if possible.
DeletePlease share your views on " Motherson Sumi " The stock was doing well and declared 1:2 bonus too , I have brought 250 shares before ex bonus date and would like to hold it for a year from now , can you please suggest if it can be good to add on more shares on dips ?
ReplyDeleteThanks and Regards ,
Akash
One of the good stocks from Auto Ancll.sector .BUY and HOLD for long term
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeletei have been closely following your picks and it was of great help .thank you.
Sir, any view on accelya kale.can you brief me about that company. I am just confused that is it a currency play or currency move is not so important.
waiting for you reply
thank you
Stock recommended @ Rs.120 ,Nothing to add @ current price of Rs.615 .It is not practical to brief any company to any one personally .Search the blog for old posts.
DeleteYour recommendations are great.
ReplyDeleteInvested on your picks Acrysil and Liberty Shoes. Both already gained more than 10% in two days.... Thanks a lot....
Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour views regarding "Kirloskar Pneumatic".
Not a bad company ,one need to wait till a revival in sector.
Deletesir please reply me should i buy orient bell at current price?
ReplyDeleteNo change i previous opinion.Enter if you have enough patience .
Deletesir I am a small invester from west bengal I read ur recommendations heartilly but i cant buy them as they get up 40% next two session . can I buy liberty shoe at current price?
ReplyDeleteEntry price in a stock is very crucial .Stock was available well below Rs.120 for hours on Monday morning.
DeleteI am asking again your advice on Biocon? Is it a hold or buy. Already I am making gains
ReplyDeleteRead above.
DeleteThanks for your valuable advice
DeleteThanks for the wonderful tips and insight
ReplyDeleteRes Sir.
ReplyDeleteI shall feel highly obliged if you could advise on prospects of Jai corp
Regards