What is common in stocks like
Hawkins India ,Cera Sanitary,Wimplast,Selan Exploration,Manjushree
Technopack,RS Software ,TTK Prestige ..etc.The obvious answer from an ordinary
retail investor may be – “ All these stocks turned as multi baggers in past
2-3 years” . But for someone with some academic interest in stocks and spending
some time to explore ,it is easy to find out the presence of a common name in
the public share holding of all these stocks ie, the name of Dolly Khanna.
Some high profile individual investor’s are equally interested in publicity and hence
they are frequently appearing in TV interviews and celebrating their purchases
through ‘Bulk Deals’ .But on the other hand some are interested to hide behind curtain ,media-shy and buying stocks in bit by bit to avoid any
unnecessary publicity and market attention.Dolly Khanna belongs to second
category and because of this reason ,frankly speaking I have not much idea
about the whereabouts of this investor. But if we go through the history of shares
owned by this investor ,it is clear that she/he is an investor with Midas touch
and with special blessings to pick future multibaggers at an early stage.
Having said ,since this investor buying without any publicity and in small lots
it is difficult to get information about her/his activities in any stock at an
early stage. But now ,this week let us look into one stock in which she entered
only recently or may be still in the process of accumulating .As on latest June
quarter share holding Dolly Khanna holding 123010 shares in Mold-Tek
.This recommendation is not only due to the entry of this investor but taking
into consideration of reasonable valuation based on its fundamentals and its
potential.
Mold Tek Packaging
This Hyderabad based company is a market
leader in Moulded plastic packaging and commanding close to 25% market share.
Company mainly concentrating in manufacturing of Pails(cylindrical type container) used in industries like
Paints,Lubricants,food products..etc.This leakage free,easy to handle, and
attractively decorated rigid plastic containers already dominated paint and
Lubricant industry and replaced metal containers in these sectors.All major
companies in these sectors are customers of Mold-Tek which includes Akzo
Nobel,Berger, Kansai Nerolac, Castrol, Indianoil, HPCL,Shell,BP ..etc.In the
rigid packaging space itself Mold Tek is the pioneer in In-mould Labelling technology .This
technology is used for decorating plastic surfaces with color and labels
to make it more attractive.As of now company manufacturing various products
from its seven manufacturing facilities – 4 units in Andra Pradesh ,one each in
Daman,Tamilnadu and Maharastra . Moldtek is the only molding company in the
world having in house mold designing mold making, IML
label making and ROBOT making facilities.Company initially imported robots from Taiwan and later started to build robots in-house for its use .A robot
made by the company costs only one third of the cost of an imported robot and its spped is higher than the imported robots.These
robots are used in in-mould
labelling (IML) process and by this company eliminates human intervention and
contamination.( At least some of you may dreaming Mold Tek as a commercial robot manufacturer too
when there is shortage of workers in India few years down the line - fine )
Company now aggressively tapping
emerging opportunities from food and beverages sector . Small size IML
decorated containers gaining acceptance in packing ice-creams and jams and
company started supplying this products to Vadilal,Amul and HUL..etc.. Due to
attractiveness and easy to handle features more and more items from food
segment may opt for this product in future.
Conclusion
For the past many years ,Mold-Tek packaging
was a company reporting decent growth but ignored by the market participants
and always trades at lower price earning
multiple.There is no bad mark for the company management so far and they handsomely rewarding its share holders with
decent dividend without interruption.I believe ,entry of a highly successful investor like Dolly Khanna will really change
the image of this company and results in sharp re-rating in the years to come
.The only negative point is its slightly higher debt with debt equity ratio of over 1.3 . If its stock price
reaches a decent valuation there is options for debt reduction through diluting
some equity to investors at a premium. In FY 2013-14 ,Company reported a turnover of Rs.256 Cr ,net profit of Rs.9 Cr and an EPS of Rs.8 .In recent months company’s stock price
appreciated and it may be due to overall improvement in small-caps and
accumulation by the mentioned investor.But ,still this Rs.256 Cr turn over ,profit
making and dividend paying company is
available at a market cap of less than Rs.90 Cr.Considering the potential of
Industry,innovation led growth,decent management and possibility of a change in
the image of company in market circles due to the entry of proven investor ,
risk takers may take some exposure in this indirect proxy of consumption theme it at CMP of Rs.78
Link to Company Website HERE
Disc: It is safe to assume that I have vested interest in MPL
Hello Sir,
ReplyDeleteGood morning & God bless you with another feather of recommendation.I am of the opinion that you mentioned names of Dolly Khanna invested stocks except RS Software.You know she/he heavily invested in RS Software , even in month July 2014 Dolly has further invested in rs software.I know because of this remark, you may not publish my comment , but ok, it is upto you.My only intention was that let investors all know about dolly's portfolio including rs software too.thanks.
Please read once again ,RS Soft also indicated there
DeleteSir ji - You are right. RS Software mentioned....
DeleteDear VPji,
ReplyDeleteOnce again thanks for your lovely recommendation. Its your effort for all small investors like us. Recently Dolly Khanna has invested in Premier Explosive too. What's your view on this company.
Regards
JD
Current price of Premier Explosive is Rs.163
DeleteI already recommended it at Rs.73 on the below link
http://value-picks.blogspot.in/2012/07/premier-explosives-ltd-buy.html
Another great Value stock from VP sir. Will try in Monday preopen to catch this.... Kudos to you, Sir ji..
ReplyDeleteHi VP, please share ur views on Uflex..another packaging company with small mkt cap of just 900 Cr odd..
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Uflex mainly due to various allegations against its promoters .One sample in the below link
Deletehttp://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/noida-land-scam-up-exchief-secy-flex-chief-jailed/1/122399.html
Thank you VP
Deletesir what is your views on liberty shoes after its results.......can it be bought at 270 for 1 year perspective.
ReplyDeletethank you
No comments about time bounded investment in stocks.
DeleteI do not deny it is a good stock . But entering in a small cap at its all time highs when broader market pe is 21 is not encouraging . Just think of your recommendation on tcp packaging , it remained at a range of 38-42 for whole three years after your recommendation at 55 . Possibly side effects of modi-euphoria just pushed the stock up three times in 3 months . I admit value investing requires patience .
ReplyDeleteDo not consider my views as criticism .
But i would rather wait at the cost of letting the opportunity escape .
thanks
I don't know why people always looking into market and saying like " Investing in Market" .I never advice anyone to invest in 'MARKET' at any time. You must look into companies and their businesses rather than the daily index movement . Let Index trade at 2, 20 or 200 PE .we need not bother about that .You mentioned about the spike in TCPL as the 'Mody Effect ' but forget to look into the back ground and realise what has happened in this company's fundamentals during this period . The basic assumption of stock market is - if a company perform continuously today or tomorrow investors will identify it and it will get deserving valuation. I am here only because of this belief and still believing in it .
DeleteIf you get a stock at lower valuation ,thats fine. But I will never compare stock fundamentals and business prospects with Index levels.
You are absolutely right VP. Only high beta stocks tend to trend with the index. The shares recommend by you are Value Buy stocks with Price to Earnings around or less than 10 and with high growth potential. Your judgement has proven right for long term. All the Best.
DeleteBroader Markets do play a major role in the movement of small caps . Only because of that a stock like tcp packaging remaining range bound for three years suddenly spurted . Where was the fundamental of the stock for last three years Last time in nov-dec 2010 nifty pe was 25 . your recommendation stocks like onward technology,gei industrial(rec at 170 now at 27). panacea biotec,royal orchid hotel,chembound,international travel house could not flourish .
Deleteretail investor should understand the risk of investing in microcaps as it is tantamount to total erosion of their capital .
I never mentioned all of the stocks recommended by me gained irrespective of its fundamentals. But mentioned any stocks recommended whose fundamentals not worsened since recommendation ultimately rewarded.
DeleteAre not such stocks with a single large individual investor at risk for sudden drastic fall whenever the investor exits, leaving others in lurch? Shouldn't one be wary of such stocks?
ReplyDeleteThat depends on the smartness of the investor who exit and the valuation and future prospects of company.It seems Dolly Khanna exited from TTK Prestige few quarters back ,but nothing has happened
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteDolly Khanna has also purchased additional 50, 000 shares in Nilkamal. Good things are expected here as well.
Regards,
Pratul
Thanks for your valuable . I have been an investor in this company since last six month. I would like to express my sincere thanks to you Because I applied your analysis method and I got experience to follow your blog since last 3 year. Your doing an unbelievable work to help small investors like me.
ReplyDeleteShaheer trissur
.
Dear VP,
ReplyDeleteThanks for another multibagger. Since, now u r recommending only 2 stocks monthly, I would appreciate if you start (on other Saturdays) giving your advices / present ratings on your old recommendations. There are lot may near to buy level (say only 20 - 30% profit) and you are still recommending to buy. So that we can try at least your old pick (e.g. HEG, Managalam, V2 retail, etc.).
Sir,
ReplyDeleteHow do you see Hitech plast against MOLD-TEK PACKAGING. Hitech plast is also into similar kind of products
Issue of Hitech plast is it is promoted by a co promoter of Asian Paints and supplying products mainly to Asian Paints itself .There may be chances for conflict of interest an lower margin.
DeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeleteYou mentioned about the debt being excessive? Are you overly concerned about the high debt OR you are relatively comfortable with it?
It is about Rs.66 Cr ,which is not alarming
DeleteSir...To me & all you followers, you are a step above to Dolly Khanna. Not just for your proven investment acumen but also for you service to the shareholding community. Although I have not invested into a single stock that you have mentioned, I am rigorously following your blog for past 6 months at least.
ReplyDeletePlease don't compare Elephants with ant(me)
DeleteThank VP Ji,
ReplyDeleteTaking consideration the past performance and its mode of business, its seems there is tremendous potential growth for the product in future not only in domestic but also in overseas especially in dairy product where the consumption is on daily basis. but all depends upon the Management approaches.
Sir your view on nilkamal results?home furniture segment loss has doubled
ReplyDeletePurely on Valuation basis stock is not expensive even after considering the published result.But some knee jerk reaction is possible.
DeleteSir, pls your view on moldtek technologies sir. Pls reply without deleting the post sir. Thanks in advance
ReplyDeleteMod Tek packaging is a market leader in its industry where Mold Tek Technology is a small player in It industry. Not tracking that company.
Deletedear sir,
ReplyDeletecould you recommend stocks which have a circuit limit of 5%. Of late you recommend stocks with 20% limit. On monday people will buy that stock after it has already appreciate 20%. Next day then it will rise only 4-5% because it has already exhausted its potential rise. It happened in MM Forgings, Capital First and Kopran. Your Dion Global was a 5% stock and it nicely went up over 30-40% at a 5% spped daily giving every investor to get in and make some profit.
So kindly consider this request and recommend more 5% circuit limit stocks.
Regards
Your devotee
Dear Friend
DeleteNobody is compelling to buy any particular stocks .None of my stock suggestions are for buying blindly. You should study the companies and decide whether it is suitable to you and upto what price .If if it available below that price otherwise leave it.No meaning in taking circuit filter as a bench mark for stock selection .
Dear VPji
ReplyDeleteI can't place orders on some BSE listed stocks which you are recommending. My broker says, for buying T-group shares I need to call their head office and place the order through their terminal. Can you suggest me a good stock broker with reasonable brokerage and services.
pardon me, since the question is off topic. but according to me, you are the most reliable person to ask this.
Thanks & Regards
Deepak.
You have a interesting broker.. y don't u shift to some renowned one ...hdfc icicidirect indiainfoline etc
DeleteNamastey VPji,
ReplyDeleteOne stock is really influencing me for the buy PRESSMAN advertising...look at the financials it looks strong...dividend of Rs. 1 is on the card for this year...good reputation of the promoters..they are in this field from last 50 years and they have a very good list of clients ...it is the only stock in the stock market...I just want ur view as I have no one on whom I m so confident ...so please take a look of this stock if u don't track it...I really want ur advice for this stock...
Not sure about the scalability of this business beyond certain level.
DeleteDear Deepak
ReplyDeleteTry Geojit
Yogesh
Hi Vp
ReplyDeletemod tek technologies has very low volumes and deliverable..whats ur view on this??
Two week average volume is close to 1 lakhs per day .No meaning in expecting more than that from a small cap stock without any speculator's interest.
Deletesir, always hold u and ur views in high esteem 1) What are ur views on LIC Housing Finance...I am stuck at 330, can I average 2) What about JMC Projects bought at 220....which I want to get out and get into some of your recommendations, but hesitant to book the huge loss
ReplyDeleteNot tracking any of these .
DeleteHow abt KS Oils, is there any revival possible...in this now penny stock
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it.
DeletePrajay is another Hyd company, I am stuck with few years now...and its down to naught from heady highs...any respite....or bettter to book loss and get out for life!
ReplyDeleteDr Reddy's is also a Hyderabad Company
Deletesir ...what are ur views on shilpi cable please i am heavly invested in this kindly look at its numbers ...plz
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
Deletedear sir,
ReplyDeletei know that you we not publish this
on one side you are saying that i will give recmm now only after 15 days as i am not finding value against stock price
on other side you are recmm stocks which is has one side run up in last 7 days
hope u understand my words
or i paste your link
Sorry I could not understand anything
DeleteDear VP Sir,
DeleteIgnore these type of questions to answer. Waste of time and energy. He is a intraday trader. He will never understand like i bought Granules ur recommo price was 89 and i bought 115 now its cmp 639.
VP will buy stock. His group might be buying. So stock will up countinously.
DeleteNo doubt ,If I find a stock worth buying and I have money to buy it I will surely buy . I don't think there is any meaning in recommending any stock to anyone If i feel the same is not worth buying for me .
DeleteBut the second part of your comment is absolutely false , I have no group or such arrangement to buy stock and rig or manipulate price .
Time and again why do these jokers keep posting, without even making an attempt to understand the investment rationale or study the stock.
DeleteThey need only tips and quick bucks without spending effort
I believe its such a waste to respond to such childish messages.
I wonder where do these people come from.
How was aksh optifiber results today express your view on same thanks
ReplyDeleteHold it
DeleteHi Sir,
ReplyDeleteStill i m holding Sequent Sci, Caplin Point, KSB Pumps & Avanti feeds @ very low price. Thank you for recommended such type of stock.
Requesting you kindly put light on Capital First & Kirloskar Oil pressuming result/News.
Hello Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour pick Avanti Feeds reported superb numbers & they have aggressive expansion plans over the next one year. Do you suggest making a fresh entry at current levels?
Thanks!
Stock already appreciate 1200 % from recommended level . Neutral at CMP
DeleteDear Vp sir,
ReplyDeleteTwo of your recommended stocks Agl & Bilcare are shifting from T2t catagory to their original group from 6th Aug. Sir, i want to understand what are the circumstances in which regulator shifts a particular stock from Original group to T2t & vice versa?
Details available in the following link
Deletehttp://www.bseindia.com/markets/equity/EQReports/sur_Price_monitoring.aspx?expandable=6
Sir please throw a light on Nandan Denim ... Plz suggest whether to hold or not as ur suggestions r truely valuable.... Thnx a ton.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteDear VP sir
ReplyDeleteRequesting your views on Apcotex and SML Isuzu. Is there a long term value based play in these two scrips. Thanks
Regards
Shankar
Both stocks recommended at lower level,one can hold.
DeletePlease your view upon kaushalya infra
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your esteemed opinion on the prospects of Savita Oil Technologies Ltd.
with regards
Not a bad company ,but sensitive to crude oil price .Take decision after considering this point.
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteYour view on Motherson Sumi Systems if you are tracking it. TIA.
Thanks
Good to keep in a portfolio for long term
DeleteDear VP
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on jai balaji industries?
Sir
ReplyDeleteWhat about Nilkamal result ?
Hi Sir, How is Venus Remedies, Vivimed Labs and Indiabulls Power Limited for LT? Further, Can, I BPP @ IFGL..
ReplyDeleteAlready commented about Nilkamal result on 2nd August ,above.
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteDo you track Kirloskar Pnuematic. Pl. comment
Recommended @ Rs.402
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2010/03/kirloskar-pneumatic-strong-bet.html
Please your view upon orchid chemicals not performing well if any bad new for company pze reply
ReplyDeleteThis stock recommended @ Rs.49 on March 14,2004 .Now it is trading around Rs.75 which means a gain of 50 % in 4 months .From where you get 50 % gain in 4 months in a legal way ?
DeleteWhat about mirza international
ReplyDeleteDear VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on JVL Agro industries ltd.
Not tracking both stocks
DeleteI have started following you recommendation recently.
ReplyDeleteStocks recommended by you hit upper circuit in next trading session after your recommendation.
Would it be fine to buy the stock in next trading session after upper circuit? Kindly suggest how to go about buying after upper circuit .
Never buy any stock only on my recommendation ,try to study the company and its business and arrive at a price upto where it is worth according to your risk profile.
DeleteWow- it seems people ask more about other stocks rather than try to study in detail the stock recommeded by VP and add value to the discussion. Was hoping to get some more insights into the firm recommeded here. Thanks VP, Enjoy reading your blog and value the insights and research.
ReplyDeleteHow do you VP and other guys decide on the volume of investment...is it entirely based on your risk profile and/or there are other factors you consider.
ReplyDeleteFor eg. If I consider my risk profile and my income levels I would only invest about 50-60k per company but not more. However, this way I feel that I miss good opportunities and cannot/would not be able to create a sizeable portfolio despite picking winners. As in I feel that the bottle neck more often than not turns out to be the size of holding.
Would lie to learn about other ways to increase volume without significantly impactin risk profile or waiting too long to build corpus large enough to increase per transaction holding.
Thanks in advance for your views and positive comments.
Sir, any views on India bull real estate. Dish tv?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteVP there is another stock with name listed as Mold Tek Technologies, am sure you would know about this. It's listed at lesser price than Mold-Tek Packaging, can we go for this as an alternative to invest too.
ReplyDeleteWe are not buying names
DeleteThumbs up
Deletesir,
ReplyDeletei scanned ur past 2 years recom.most of the successful stocks starts their journey 3-4 bfor.i.e just bcos of moddy effect. otherwise !!!! ???
Then it is better to wait till some another "Effect" starting and jump into it just before the same starting ...
DeleteThis comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
DeleteHimalayan blunder of 2014. Properly not tracking this site. Please avoid below par comments.
DeleteHi Sir,
ReplyDeleteThanks for your greet recommendations always..
Sir what is your view on Plastibends and Shirpur Gold Refinary..
Dear sir plz reply. .
DeleteHI VP,
ReplyDeleteIn ur recommndation on Aug 2 u have mentioned the Mold Tek Packaging CMP @78, but it was actualy 43.3???
This is the issue happening to those who are not even ready to read the entire posting but jumping into it just reading the heading. I recommended Mold Tek Packaging and Not Mold Tek Technology.
DeleteRequested to start the paid services. As all most all the stocks recommend by u. Are on upper circuit limit for 5 to 6 trading days. And no investor can have chance to earn money at this rate.. so hope u can consider the thing
ReplyDelete