Courtesy : Investopedia
While it may be true that in the stock market there is no rule without an exception, there are some principles that are tough to dispute. Let's review 10 general principles to help investors get a better grasp of how to approach the market from a long-term view. Every point embodies some fundamental concept every investor should know.
1. Sell the losers and let the winners ride!
Time and time again, investors take profits by selling their appreciated investments, but they hold onto stocks that have declined in the hope of a rebound. If an investor doesn't know when it's time to let go of hopeless stocks, he or she can, in the worst-case scenario, see the stock sink to the point where it is almost worthless. Of course, the idea of holding onto high-quality investments while selling the poor ones is great in theory, but hard to put into practice. The following information might help:
5. Resist the lure of penny stocks.
A common misconception is that there is less to lose in buying a low-priced stock. But whether you buy a $5 stock that plunges to $0 or a $75 stock that does the same, either way you've lost 100% of your initial investment. A lousy $5 company has just as much downside risk as a lousy $75 company. In fact, a penny stock is probably riskier than a company with a higher share price, which would have more regulations placed on it.
6. Pick a strategy and stick with it.
Different people use different methods to pick stocks and fulfill investing goals. There are many ways to be successful and no one strategy is inherently better than any other. However, once you find your style, stick with it. An investor who flounders between different stock-picking strategies will probably experience the worst, rather than the best, of each. Constantly switching strategies effectively makes you a market timer, and this is definitely territory most investors should avoid. Take Warren Buffett's actions during the dotcom boom of the late '90s as an example. Buffett's value-oriented strategy had worked for him for decades, and - despite criticism from the media - it prevented him from getting sucked into tech startups that had no earnings and eventually crashed
7. Focus on the future.
The tough part about investing is that we are trying to make informed decisions based on things that have yet to happen. It's important to keep in mind that even though we use past data as an indication of things to come, it's what happens in the future that matters most.
A quote from Peter Lynch's book "One Up on Wall Street" (1990) about his experience with Subaru demonstrates this: "If I'd bothered to ask myself, 'How can this stock go any higher?' I would have never bought Subaru after it already went up twenty fold. But I checked the fundamentals, realized that Subaru was still cheap, bought the stock, and made seven fold after that." The point is to base a decision on future potential rather than on what has already happened in the past.
8. Adopt a long-term perspective.
Large short-term profits can often entice those who are new to the market. But adopting a long-term horizon and dismissing the "get in, get out and make a killing" mentality is a must for any investor. This doesn't mean that it's impossible to make money by actively trading in the short term. But, as we already mentioned, investing and trading are very different ways of making gains from the market. Trading involves very different risks that buy-and-hold investors don't experience. As such, active trading requires certain specialized skills.
Neither investing style is necessarily better than the other - both have their pros and cons. But active trading can be wrong for someone without the appropriate time, financial resources, education and desire.
While it may be true that in the stock market there is no rule without an exception, there are some principles that are tough to dispute. Let's review 10 general principles to help investors get a better grasp of how to approach the market from a long-term view. Every point embodies some fundamental concept every investor should know.
1. Sell the losers and let the winners ride!
Time and time again, investors take profits by selling their appreciated investments, but they hold onto stocks that have declined in the hope of a rebound. If an investor doesn't know when it's time to let go of hopeless stocks, he or she can, in the worst-case scenario, see the stock sink to the point where it is almost worthless. Of course, the idea of holding onto high-quality investments while selling the poor ones is great in theory, but hard to put into practice. The following information might help:
5. Resist the lure of penny stocks.
A common misconception is that there is less to lose in buying a low-priced stock. But whether you buy a $5 stock that plunges to $0 or a $75 stock that does the same, either way you've lost 100% of your initial investment. A lousy $5 company has just as much downside risk as a lousy $75 company. In fact, a penny stock is probably riskier than a company with a higher share price, which would have more regulations placed on it.
6. Pick a strategy and stick with it.
Different people use different methods to pick stocks and fulfill investing goals. There are many ways to be successful and no one strategy is inherently better than any other. However, once you find your style, stick with it. An investor who flounders between different stock-picking strategies will probably experience the worst, rather than the best, of each. Constantly switching strategies effectively makes you a market timer, and this is definitely territory most investors should avoid. Take Warren Buffett's actions during the dotcom boom of the late '90s as an example. Buffett's value-oriented strategy had worked for him for decades, and - despite criticism from the media - it prevented him from getting sucked into tech startups that had no earnings and eventually crashed
7. Focus on the future.
The tough part about investing is that we are trying to make informed decisions based on things that have yet to happen. It's important to keep in mind that even though we use past data as an indication of things to come, it's what happens in the future that matters most.
A quote from Peter Lynch's book "One Up on Wall Street" (1990) about his experience with Subaru demonstrates this: "If I'd bothered to ask myself, 'How can this stock go any higher?' I would have never bought Subaru after it already went up twenty fold. But I checked the fundamentals, realized that Subaru was still cheap, bought the stock, and made seven fold after that." The point is to base a decision on future potential rather than on what has already happened in the past.
8. Adopt a long-term perspective.
Large short-term profits can often entice those who are new to the market. But adopting a long-term horizon and dismissing the "get in, get out and make a killing" mentality is a must for any investor. This doesn't mean that it's impossible to make money by actively trading in the short term. But, as we already mentioned, investing and trading are very different ways of making gains from the market. Trading involves very different risks that buy-and-hold investors don't experience. As such, active trading requires certain specialized skills.
Neither investing style is necessarily better than the other - both have their pros and cons. But active trading can be wrong for someone without the appropriate time, financial resources, education and desire.
Dear VP,
ReplyDeleteLooking at the valuations Prabhat Dairy could get for its IPO, I see Umang Dairy is cheaply valued and could be a value-pick. Umang has good backing from 20000 Crore JK group, who are ready to pump in more money into dairy business. Kindly have a look at this stock and suggest your opinion. Thank you.
I don't think Umang is comparable with Prabhat . Prabhat is a company with more than Rs.1000 Cr sales where the topline of Umang is around Rs.250 Cr only. Prabhat should be compared with Heritage and Hatsun , comparing these cos valuation is higher for Prabhat, but it is growing at good pace .
DeleteIs there a stock split by Amines & Plasticizers?
DeleteValuable tips...! Thanks for sharing..!
ReplyDeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteHow does one quantify the PE as low or high?. I read Peter Lynch's book which says that generally PE lower than 15 can indicate a value buy. Do such hypotheses hold for Indian equities?
regards
Amit
In my opinion , a value buy never guarantee capital appreciation but it guarantee a cushion against fall. In Indian context , it is better to buy a stock with good growth potential at a price where is value in it . We must check the reason for higher and lower P/E and then take a decision based on that . A company with no growth prospects may available at a lower P/E , but no meaning in buying such a stock only because it is available at lower P/E.
DeleteSuch a wonderful reply sirji, the lines "A value buy never guarantees capital appreciation but it guarantees a cushion against fall"
DeleteLearning to become a Value Investor from you :)
what's your view on Aban offshore ?
ReplyDeleteA contra buy for investors with enough patience.
DeleteI am tracking GMR Infra from Long and seen that promoters continues bought and increased stack upto 69.5%.
ReplyDeleteWhat is your opinion? Please guide about fundamentals.
Thanks in advance :)
I am not tracking
Deletewhat is your current opinion on zf steering gear.
ReplyDeleteExpressed positive opinion around Rs.750 , It already appreciated 70% from there ,neutral at CMP.
DeleteWhat should we do for Ajmera Realty & Infrastructure?
ReplyDeleteSir what's our view on niit ltd
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above two stocks.
Deletesuperb article.... big salute to VP....
ReplyDeletehi VP sir, recently Span Diagnostic has offered for buy back of shares. Isnt it a good sign? Whats ur view on Span Diagnostics for medium to long term?
ReplyDeleteCompany already sold major portion of its business and not disclosed further plans .Difficult to comment at this juncture.
DeleteDear sir please your view on navakar corporation
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteValuable tips sir. Very nice and detailed article. Thanks for sharing.
ReplyDeleteSir whats ur view on mic electronics?? Its keep falling.. m quite worry now..
ReplyDeleteFall in stock price without any negative changes in fundamentals is not a reason to change my opinion.
DeleteHi VPSir, Good Day.
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on Inox Leisure ltd, seems they are very aggressive in expansion of screens in near future.
Not tracking it
DeleteDear VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteIs it advisable to buy sobha at cmp, after the recent low.
Regards,
Vipin V
As you are aware , black money was a major driving force of real estate business in our country and now government taking many steps against it . Reduction in interest rate is generally good for companies in this sector and a sentimental impact may happen in near term. But if government become more aggressive against black money,real estate sector may not easily go back to buzzing days as many people expecting .Sobha, Godrej Prop.Mahindra Lifespace ..etc are comparatively good companies from this sector.
Deleteplease update on inox wind, capital first and welspun india?
ReplyDeleteCapital first is an already suggested one and nothing to update for the time being , not tracking others.
DeleteHello VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteI had shortlisted GruhFinance as one of the stock to purchase for a long term but the only part that is bothering me is that it looks expensive at current market price. Should i wait for a correction?
Your thoughts would greatly help me, ThankYou!!
Time to buy any stock is, not when money is in our pocket but when opportunity is there. No meaning in buying anything , if we feel it is over valued.
DeleteDear VP,
DeleteAlpha geo recently got order worth Rs.250 Crore.Which may be biggest one in company history.Do u postive on this compnay.
Please reply.
Dear VP sir
ReplyDeletePls share your views on Enkei wheels, Insilco and DeNora. Thanks
If my memory is correct , both Enkei Wheel and De-Nora suggested around Rs.70 .Both stocks already gained more than 100 % from suggested level . Nothing new to add at current rate.
DeleteDear VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteAre you still positive on old reco "Universal Starch-Chem Allied"?
Availability of raw material may be a problem in near future due to weather condition.In addition to that . company;s major plant is under maintenance for last one month which also expected to affect its performance. Not a compelling buy at this juncture.
DeleteDear Value-pick,
ReplyDeleteWhat would be your view about the recent developments about trade receivables in Tree house education?
It is an issue , too early to make a final verdict
DeleteHi sir
ReplyDeleteYour call on Salzer Electronic after L&T exit. Its Still a long term stock.
Thank you
No change in previous view
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour views on Dhunseri tea & technocraft industries for long term ?
Sorry , not tracking both
DeleteSir, your opinion on TRF ltd, this engg company was suggested couple of years in your blog, the stock appears at lows due to poor take off in investment cycle , thanks
ReplyDeleteTRF suggested @ Rs.167 and went up to Rs.491 thereafter . But due to sluggishness in the industry in which it is operating ,company's performance is lackluster and expecting only a slow revival.
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhether I can invest in Surya Roshni at CMP?
Not tracking
DeleteDear VP Sir, One of your's High risk stock Lincoln pharma is giving good returns to the patience investors is this can be held for long term, Thanking you.Regards
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeletePlease provide your view on Banco.
Thanks.
Company is not bad, sector revival is the key
DeleteDear valuepick,
ReplyDeleteHow do you see the impact of CREDAI north ban on ultratech, lafarge and shree cements. Will this put pressure on cement price per bag, effecting the likes of NCL INDUSTRIES.. Please share your views.
Disc: invested in NCL INDUSTRIES after your suggestion and my study
NCL selling in South and if my understanding is correct they are not in cartel.
Deletehello VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteI came across a stock recently - Bodal chemicals. Its topline is 1000cr whereas mktcap is around 350cr. It is growing consistently over the last few years and apparently there is demand-supply gap for the dyestuff segment they operate in.
They also have bought a subsidiary through which they expect to generate 250cr sales from next year.
The valuation of this stock seems very low with PE of close to 4.
As a amateur investor, this seems like a good stock to me. However, I am afraid if I have made any mistake in my evaluations because its not clear why this stock is valued cheap by the market.
Therefore, I appreciate if you can share your feedback, incase you are aware of this company.
Thanks in advance,
Srinivas Murthy G
I have no idea about its promoters
DeleteHello VP sir,
ReplyDeleteRegarding DIC INDIA which has 3.2 acres in prime location in Mumbai(chandivali farm, andheri east). Could you please estimate the value of the same considering the value of the company itself around 600 crores
Regards,
Sorry , my knowledge is very limited about the land value in Mumbai.
DeleteSir, do you track KELLTON TECH. Your views pls. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteHi, ur view on Godavari drugs on CMP?
ReplyDeleteHold , if you have a long term view
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteWould appreciat your comment on the merger plan proposal by Blue Star Info promoters, which is believed to be unfair to BSIL share holders
Thanks
Ravi
Never expect such a move from promoters like Blue Star , really cheating.
DeleteSir , Just wanted to understand . As the promoters sold the business for 180 crores , whether this 180 cr be distributed to all shareholders as they are a part of the company too ?
Deletesir can i invest in ISGEC Heavy @ 4850 the CMP. is it good company
ReplyDeleteA good company may not turn as a good investment if our entry is not at a good price.
DeleteDear VP, I see my query on 'first time investor' thread, but awaiting its response. I will repost it here for your convenience:
ReplyDeleteRecently you have suggested Era for high risk investors with long term view, I have done my fair bit of research and took the plunge, bearing in mind risk Vs reward ratio.
The reward that I am assuming is through a policy correction by the govt that will be in favor of infra companies reeling under stalled and infeasible projects.
but even before any change has happened I see that Era is jumping back from dead. I recollect a quote from Mr Buffet that it is during these times that we can get value stock at bargain price.
My question to you is, do you know of any significant change in your outlook in this stock since recommendation....NHAI announcement; repo rate cuts; forming of indhradanush fund etc..
Before jumping into conclusions, one should realize what I mentioned about Era Infra. Someone asked me about another debt ridden company and then I replied that I prefer Era Infra over that company .What I means - Era is suitable only for a person willing to take almost same level of risk he is taking while buying the other company.I don't think a huge loss making company can be termed as a 'Value Stock' , these type cases may turn as a turn around case and suitable only for those willing to loose even their capital .
DeletePlz give ur view on everest industries.
ReplyDeleteSorry , not tracking Everest Ind.
DeleteHi sir , your views on pincon spirit?
ReplyDeleteSir, Whether I can buy Aksharchem (524598) at CMP?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above two companies
DeletePlz advice on blue star info sir.should one book out at cmp or keep holding parent company shares after the development????
ReplyDeleteI don't like a management treating minority share holders like this .Making money in another company of same promoter is possible or not , I am not interested to support these type managements as a share holder.
DeleteSir what is your view on Pioneer embroideries , your previous recommendation? Thank you.
ReplyDeleteNo change , don't expect turnaround over night.
DeleteDear,
ReplyDeletewhat is the view on IDFC bank??? its good for invest Now???
How you invest now before listing .?
DeleteWhether a stock is good as an investment depends on its price , before a price fixed how one can say whether it is good or bad ?
Sir
ReplyDeleteWhat will be the equity of PFRL post merger
It is easily available by googling
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeletewhat are you views on IDFC after today's fall..?
Thank you very much..!!
It is due to de-merger of banking division.
DeleteVP Sir,
ReplyDeleteCould you please share your view on Tata Motors , now the stock is trading nearly 52 week low, Is it good time to buy for long term hoping recovery of JLR business Asia and Europe by next fiscal.My concern also high debt equity ratio
Down side may be limited , but it may move range bound in medium term.
Deletedear sir, kindly let me know why my comments are not published
ReplyDeleteYou asked about MIC Electronics , the same question replied to someone above in last 2-3 days .Practically difficult to answer again and again for questions with same meaning in successive days.
DeleteSir your views on godrej properties
ReplyDeleteReplied about same sector/company in last three days
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeletePlease share your views on mangalam drugs.
Sir
ReplyDeleteHow is KSE Ltd for a long term...they have shown good consistent performance with good ROE...pls give ur view
Thanks
Anuj
Not tracking above two
DeleteSir would u plz like to give ur views on th demerger of idfc
ReplyDeleteBanking portion may show better growth prospects.
DeleteSir, I want to invest in IGL as it has not fallen much during recent downturn in markets, overhang of Court case is far behind & Recent gas price cut. Do you think I can go ahead at current price
ReplyDeleteNot a bad company , but stock may be a slow mover. Suitable for passive long term investors.
DeleteHi Sir,
ReplyDeleteI have recently started reading your blog and it has inspired me towards stock picking from long term perspective. I wanted to check with you if you are tracking Rane Holdings. One of its unlisted subsidiary is an airbag manufacturer and is one of the biggest Indian manufacturer in that space. I believe that airbags should become mandatory in near term for passenger cars, which will give a huge delta to the manufacturers. However, airbags business is still very small portion of Rane Holdings. Do you reckon Rane Holdings is a good buy at current price?
Rane TRW is the airbag maker which is a 50 % subsidiary of Rane holdings. I think only because of this airbag element , Rane Holding is not a but at this price.
DeleteSir...I bought 5000 shares ilfs engineering at 90.can I hold?
ReplyDeleteIt depends on your conviction , for me no change in previous opinion.
DeleteHi VP Sir, Can you give me your input on FIEM and Force Motors?
ReplyDeleteThanks in advance for your time:)
Sir plz give yor views on shekhawati poly
ReplyDeleteNot tracking above companies.
DeleteAny View ABout Camlin Fin
ReplyDeletesir please give your input on morepen lab
ReplyDeleteUr view on steel strip wheels
ReplyDelete