In a country like India with huge
population ,healthcare industry is considered as a promising one and it is
showing good growth rate in recent times.Increasing education level and disposable income,better awareness and various
health schemes of governments acting as the catalyst for this rapid growth .Availability
of better hospital facilities and awareness of patients increasing the potential of the players in medical
diagnostic Industry.Periodic outbreak of various diseases at various parts of
country ensures sustained business for this industry as a whole. Span
Diagnostic is a strong player in this industry which is manufacturing and distributing
various kinds of diagnostic/pathology lab devices, including sample test
devices and regents.SPAN originally started its operations in 1973 as as Desai Laboratories and changed its name to
SPAN DIAGNOSTICS in 1980.This Surat based company having strong technical and
marketing alliances with well known global players like Hitachi Chemical Diagnostics USA,Technoclone
GMBH Austria,Biotechnica Instruments Italy ..etc. and having a nationwide
marketing network . At present a major portion of company’s income
is coming from reagents manufacturing business for Immunology, Biochemistry, Microbiology,
Serology and Histopathology .Increasing
trend of lifestyle related diseases ensuring sustained growth in this segment.Company
is a market leader in testing kits for AIDS and Maleria and a major supplier of
testing kits for government sponsored
health programmes. Span also having an approved facility for antibody
productions and their purification.
Company reported steady growth till 2011 and rewarded its minority share
holders accordingly .But in last year Span recorded a loss(excluding extra
ordinary income) ,thanks to its wrong decision to devote money and effors for
developing its medical equipments business and overall
sluggishness in economy.I feel ,now company realised its mistakes and taking
corrective steps .Their decision to sell Hematology analyzers business to Nihon Kohden India Private Limited
and concentrate in their core business of diagnostic reagent manufacturing is
part of their changing strategy .In order to tap the export market company started a joint venture Span
Diagnostics South Africa (PTY) Limited with Reindus Health (Pty) Limited for
increasing its presence in African Market. Company also planning to enter in US
market in near future . SPAN is also planning to aggressively tap the contract
manufacturing opportunities for regents.In latest September quarter company
reported sharp improvement in its performance where sales increased from Rs.15
Cr to Rs.25 Cr and net profit improved sharply from Rs.56 lakhs to Rs.2.26 Cr .Quarterly
EPS is Rs.3.16.To scale up its business to next level,company having plans to
sell part of its stake to MNC’s at right valuation.Considering the huge
potential of this industry and goodwill of this company we can’t rule out the
possibility of such an alliance with global diagnostic majors .If such an
alliance materializes that will re write the fortunes of SPAN. On good September results its stock price appreciated recently and now consolidated around Rs.40 .Those with a
long term view may consider SPAN @ CMP
of Rs.43.
Link to company website HERE
Link to latest Annual Report HERE
Dear VP,
ReplyDeleteThanks for this pick!
What is your view on Britannia at CMP, do you think they would be able to either sustain and improve margins in view of rising competition and raw material cost?
There may be some margin pressure in near future but there is chances for brand extension to other high margin products in medium to long term
DeleteHi Sir..
ReplyDeletePls suggest me abt Bilcare..
Thanx in anticipation..
Not tracking Bilcare.
DeleteHello vp sir
ReplyDeleteWhat's your view on insilco and eveready? My view is of around a year.
Thanks
Not expecting anything more than market performance from both these cos in one year.
DeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeletePlease suggest for Rei Agro & Gulshan Polyols for long term view.
Regards,
Mahesh
Not sure about the management quality of both these companies,hence no comments.
DeleteDear Valuepick
ReplyDeleteSir What is the reason for such dismal result of Premier Explosives. Hold or exit.
Regards
Sunil
General sluggishness in mining sector and production disruption due to an unfortunate explosion in one of their production facilities may be the reasons.
DeleteHello Sir,
ReplyDeleteDo you like Maxwell Industries as a brand play?
Promoters are not showing ability to scale up the business and moving to the value chain .
DeleteSir
ReplyDeleteLaopala seems a super pick ,any idea about their expansion plans.
company's one expanded facility will start to contribute from this year and another from next year onwards.On the completion of this facilities company is planning to tap the hotel segment(star hotels) which will be a new revenue source for the company.
DeleteOn the consumption front - what is your take on Wim Plast .promoter have now acquired 75% stake. Their new plant is operational next quarter.
Deletenavin fluorine - promoters believes in Charity. they declared dividend 3 times this year.
Delete30/10/2012 Interim Dividend 7.50
11/06/2012 Final Dividend 6.50
11/06/2012 Special Dividend 60.00 <---
Sir, Few of your followers have asked this question and we are still waiting for the answer. I understand no answer means you are not tracking the stock. Just checking if this has deserved a place in your track list in the recent time.
Dear Deepak
DeleteA major portion of this cos bottom line is coming from the sale of Carbon Credits ,quantum of which is unpredictable and erratic in each year.Market will always give low discounting for companies with higher percentage of unpredictable profit in their overall performance.
Wimplast already covered ,see the link below :
Deletehttp://value-picks.blogspot.in/2011/07/nilkamal-ltd-wim-plast-ltd-due-for-re.html
Sir,
ReplyDeleteYour guidance on Granules will be extremely helpful.
Do you see the price correcting to recommended levels as I bought and remained with a strategy to buy and hold good companies and now little nervous seeing the fall after excellent results.
Saket
Dear Saket
DeleteBe an investor in a business not an investor in stock market.If company's business showing growth ,investors will rewarded ultimately.
Dear VP,
ReplyDeleteWhat is you view on Torrent Pharma. I have seen your comment HOLD in almost 5 queries in the blog. Can you please give a detailed view on it and can we compare its facilities with Wockhardt or atleast Ipca Labs. Its market cap seems to be less compared to its sales, profit & assets.
Regards
Neil
Dear Friend
DeleteMany investors are thinking only the numbers are deciding share price.Even this is the most important point this is not the only one.Even the image of promoter group may affect stock price .This image depends on many factors like promoters business strategy ,quantum of floating stock ,willingness to share profit and even the efficiency of PR and corporate communication standards ..etc.This is the reason two companies with similar financials getting different valuation.Take the case of Torrent group ,this group having an image of a conservative management .Sometimes market may see such an image even as positive especially in the case of debt level.. etc.In another case, it is a common fact that many managements are supporting stock prices of their own companies .Such companies may get higher valuation .So what I mean is numbers are not the only factor deciding stock price .Conservative managements are good for investors who are not interested to take higher risk and expecting moderate return .So no meaning in comparing one company with other one only on the basis of numbers even both are operating in the same industry.
Hello vp sir.
ReplyDeletewhats your vieew on FDC ?
Not a bad one.
DeleteDo you track Amal ltd ?
ReplyDeleteYes ,company is related with the promoters of Atul Ltd.It is a Sick company now but chances are there for a turnaround in another few years .
DeleteAre you tracking Hester biosciences ltd?
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteReferring to your comment about Liberty shoes yesterday. Do you think, in view of selling by promoters, one should exit the stock (if bought earlier) or it is better not to create fresh long positions?
It is a real cause for concern,better to exit
DeleteHello VP,
ReplyDeleteDo you like First Leasing? Any comment on the promoter group and their concern for minority shareholders?
Not a good opinion about this business group(SPIC- Muthaih).May re rate if there is any chance for a change in management.
DeleteHello sir,
ReplyDeleteplease let me know your views on spanco ltd
Not tracking Spanco
DeleteHello sir,
ReplyDeleteyour views on berger paints.
Hold
DeleteDear sir, What's your view on Sandesh ltd ? Isn't the co undervalued presently ? Eager to know your views on its future performance & the sector in which Sandesh is operating ?
ReplyDeleteRegards
Not tracking sandesh
Deletethanku sir
Deletehi Sir,
ReplyDeleteIs it good to hold hindalco bought at 114.
May take some time for re rating
Deletesir how will you review Advanced micronic devices one of ur old reco. and on the same line of business like span diag.?
ReplyDeleteregards
Not in the same business .one is in medical devices and another in Regents.
DeleteSirji
ReplyDeletePls comment on SHIV-VANI OIL & GAS EXPLORATION
rgds
BRK
Good company in the hands of bad promoters.
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteBIOCON moved very well to 324 and then fell of to 291 levels. The announcement from the company was very good but wondering why such a fall instead of 10-15% correction?
It seems traders are creating big volatility and making retail investors nervous. Earlier also when Pfizer deal was cancelled it corrected big.
Do you see such big correction or just the volatility which we can ride on.
Thanks Amit.
Positive on Biocon for long term
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteDo you like Sona Koyo Steering and their attitude for shareholders at this price?
Not tracking Sona Koyo
Deletesir are you still bullish on Astec Life Sciences? why the price fell over the last one year?
ReplyDeleteStruggling to grow business ,wait few more quarters and then take a decision.
DeleteHi, Any change in view on Vijay Shanti Builders considering that promoters reduced their stake considerably.
ReplyDeleteThanks for your reply sir. I need to invest in small caps for a year,is south indian bank a proposition for it. What's your view on orchid chemical now?
ReplyDeleteNo opinion about time bounded investment.
Deletehello sir.............very thankfull for the return generated from your given recommendation.It will be very thankfull if give your views on Good luck steel ltd and innoventive industries.As i find lot of scope in it.
ReplyDeleteDear sir today granules close at 166 .can we buy now at current c.m.p ? Because earlier we miss the bus.
ReplyDeleteBuy for long term
DeleteHello Vp,
ReplyDeletewhats your take on Zylog Systems ?
Looks like a bargain at these levels.
Why it is not a bargain buy for promoters even at these levels.?
DeleteSir, SPAN - IMO- its MCAp is 30 CR…QTLy sales is 25 cr..it can easily have medium target of 100Rs - with a normal Mcap/sales ratio of 1 in next 3 quarters..
ReplyDeleteVP sir,
DeleteGood stocks like Granules, Aditya Birla chem don't rise but cheap value (Rs wise) rise and hit circuits.
People have found a nice way to make money and then hit lower cicuits. Bambino is a good example.
No wonder the recommendations are good but traders and people who read this sites have found a way to make fast money. Pitty for small investors like us. Always get trap. BIOCON & GRANULES Inda are good examples.
But I am renaming invested for better times though now Margin of safety doesn't exit.
Hi,
Deletei feel its based on the mood and sentiments of market, when bull market starts, valuation may be justified with pe, later pe may get expensive so most financial advisors start to look for other parameters to justify why stock should fetch high :) like sales to mcap, book value to share price etc.
what i feel growth, free cashflow, return on equity and goodwill will matters with most businesses for getting good valuation. i never had a bad run in my investments based on these parameter, where ever i missed to follow these i got the punishment as well.
Tom
Dear Valuepick
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on Swelect Energy system.
Regards
Vinay
Not tracking this stock
DeleteDear Value Pick Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your opinion on CEBBCO many broker houses are giving buy call and new targets. Kindly provide your view.
Moderate upside possible.
DeleteDear Value Pick Ji,
ReplyDeleteI am holding Liberty Phosphate 200 shares since last 2 years. Today i read a notice on BSE website http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/Liberty_Phosphate_Ltd_191112_SAST.pdf
Is it good for Liberty Phosphate.
Pawan Kumar Verma
Sir
ReplyDeleteAre you recommonding Aries agro again?
Rgds
Still hope.
DeleteSir, What about Dolphin, it is going down soo much. what happened sir? Should we book profit?
ReplyDeleteArjun Kidao
Dear Sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat are your thoughts for buying Opto Circuits?
Great Day,
Raghav Simlote
Better to consider after some clarity emerges about their plan to dilute their stake in Subsidiary cos .
DeleteDude care to tell a sugar stock? Renuka sugar is below 30/-
ReplyDeleteIs is investable?
Thank you sir for your quick reply, but everyone say then you need to fix your time horizon and accordingly start investing.
ReplyDeleteIf you fix a time and using time bounded funds what will happen if the entire mood of market is bad at that particular time ?
DeleteTrue sir, that could lead to a very bad financial scenario. Thanks for your help sir.
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteSobha Developers, its seems value buy. What is your opinion on the stock.
Regards
Neil
one of the few good cos from this sector.Every chance to outperform once market re rates reality sector.
DeleteDear Value Pick Sir,
ReplyDeletePlease provide your valuable opinion on Globus Spirit. Is this company worth investing at the moment.
Not tracking this company.
DeleteDear VP sir,
ReplyDeleteonly based on management quality and the potential of the products, which one would you prefer: Yuken or Veljan Denison? I read your old reports on these companies.
Yuken India
ReplyDeleteDear Value Pick,
ReplyDeleteAm a beginner in Share market. I have been very keen to learn and develope background in share market. Your Blog has been a good guidelines for finding a value stocks with our own stock. Value pick I personally feel , If you provide a post to identify value stocks.. It would be really great..
We are really need to thank you for your support..
Thanks!
VP sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on Essar Oil/Videocon industries. Videocon today hit UC 20%