While analysing EPC Industrie ,we have discussed about the
potential and road blocks of micro irrigation industry in India in detail.Till
now this industry is mainly driven by subsidy provided by governments and the
delay in releasing subsidy by various states eroded the financial position of companies operating in this sector.From
last year onwards companies are taking efforts to change the business model to reduce high receivable days and improve
cash collection and now they are not taking the responsibility of subsidy
collection .This shift in business model partially affected the growth during
this transformation phase.But ,on the other side ,potential is very vast in a
water scarce country like India where a lion share of farm land is still irrigated through flooded irrigation
method.New farming techniques like precision farming also increasing the
potential of MIS.Jain Irrigation is the second largest micro irrigation company
in the world which is operating in other parts through various subsidiaries
.Other than MIS ,Jain having presence in other sectors like plastic and food
processing .Repeating drought like situation in India forcing governments to
allocate more funds for irrigation and Jain is one of the major beneficiary .Recently Maharashtra Government decided to make
drip irrigation mandatory for sugarcane in next three to five years ( Read news HERE) . I believe many states and many crops will
be forced to follow this in coming years .
In my opinion ,in another few years MIS will change to a necessity from
a subsidy driven business due to changing climate and changing farming
techniques.Revival in US economy is also positive for the company where the company having larger presence.Company
is now taking every efforts to clean its balance sheet .This management have
enough experience and expertise in handling such situations and they proved the
same even in the past .They bring back
the company from near collapse ( from first half of 1990's) to the position of world leader in 10 year.Promoters are one of the very few business
houses showing higher level of business ethics in Indian Corporate world too. I
believe , the worst will be over for Jain Irrigation in another few quarters
and most of the negatives are already reflecting in its current market
price.Recommending a buy in SIP mode for long term investors from CMP of Rs.57
Related Readings
2) Strawberry fields: Bhavarlal Jain formulating strategies to sustain Jain Irrigation for 100 years
Link to Company Website HERE
Links to its Subsidiaries
Disc: I have vested interest in JIS
few days back we have been talking about finolex industries in comment section
ReplyDeleteit has doubles after that
Dear sir
ReplyDeletewhat is view of S KUMAR.
Not positive on S Kumar group cos.
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteplease share your views on issues such as
1)the share price has been consistently in a downtrend from 2010 and came down to Rs57 from Rs256 so is good to buy now
2)the profit growth for last 3 years has been negative
3)the debt on the company has increased by already 2.5 times from 2008
so by considering above points is it good to invest in jain irregation.... i hope sir that you will reply
I think the answer is in your question itself.Because of all these negatives share price crashed to current level and the negatives are discounted now . I hope situation will improve hereon and it is the time to start accumulation.
DeleteNice pick at discounted price.. BUT STILL I BELIEVE EPC IRRIGATION is much better choice,with low debt level,increasing profit margin year after year..
ReplyDeleteNo doubt about EPC ,but I believe considering the potential of MIS in India ,there is enough space for more players.
Deleteyes u r rite..
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteHow is the company - A2Z Maintenance? Can I invest in it?
Dear Valuepick Sir
ReplyDeleteFew of your recommended stocks are in the bse list of illiquid stocks like acrysil, anil, rossell, multibase Vulcan etc. I am not a trader then how will buying and selling of this stocks be different from before.I use sharekhan. Can you throw some light in this issue. Will a long term investor need to worry holding this stocks.
Regards
Suman
Details about periodic call auction is available in the web very easily . Since it is the first time such a mechanism is going to implement we can only wait and watch its implications.
DeleteDear VP ,
ReplyDeleteConsidering the recent announcement of central goverment abour sugar de control , can you throw some lights on it impact on sugar stocks and any good pick between them for long term growth.
Regards
SK
Positive move for long term .Prefer Balrampur Chini and Dhampur Sugar.
DeleteSir Just a small request, all the stocks that you have recommended over past few months have a disclosure wherein you have some vested interests. If you could kindly disclose the quantity that you hold in these would help new investors better. Secondly if you could recommend stocks where you do not hold any interests but intend to purchase sometime later would also help. Just a sincere request sir....
ReplyDeleteNot possible to disclose the quantity.
DeleteI will not recommend anything which I don't like to buy if I have enough fund.
I heard a news that kerala govt banned heritage milk due to its causing cancer. Have you any information about this? And whats your curent view on heritage foods?
ReplyDeleteLot of brands are banning and removing ban in Kerala periodically.It is an issue more than one year old and I feel this issue exaggerated due to the promoters political connection on the background of upcoming state election in AP.No change in previous view on account of this issue.
DeleteSir are tracking GIC housing fin or and other stock that you could recommend from housing finance??
ReplyDeleteRegards
Mehul
GIC ,Canfin and Repco are suitable for passive long term investors.
DeleteSir Thanks for your valuable advice all the time..!!
ReplyDeletePlease share your view on sequent scientific after promoter bought 27.5 Lakhs warrants.
Positive on this stock for long term.
DeleteDear VP, does Rapicut also fall under new mechanism of illiquid stocks? is it also a long term bet?
ReplyDeleteNew mechanism is a disastrous one
DeleteList of securities included in this system is available as attachment in the below link
http://www.bseindia.com/markets/MarketInfo/DispNewNoticesCirculars.aspx?page=20130401-39
Dear valuepick, Kindly share your view on HSIL ..
ReplyDeleteNot a bad one ,go for it if you are willing to hold 2+ year
Deletewhat is your opinion on Gravita India
ReplyDeleteAS a company from same sector prefer NILE limited .But since it belongs to the new trading mechanism enter in it after watching whether there is any increase in volume in coming weeks.
DeleteDear VP,
ReplyDeleteCould you please share your views on Nitta Gelatin?
Regards,
Vishesh
May be a market performer.
DeleteDear Sir Whats your view on East India Hotels at CMP ?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking EIH
DeleteHai Valueji............Thanks for your great work. Could you pls recommend 2 or 3 midcaps for a holding period of 2 year.
ReplyDeleteKindly share your views on Kopran Ltd
I think Jain irrigation itself is a good pick for 2+ year along with Biocon,Cummins,Godrej Ind..etc.
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteDo you think economic,political problems will lead to a stand still phase of Indian equities? Perceptions change every now and then on indian equities. What is your opinion on coming FY?
Normally stock market always discounting facts much earlier than it become reality.Whatever be the macro factors ,a growing company will always reward investors in long term .
ReplyDeleteVP ji
ReplyDeletewhat are your thoughts on ashok leyland.... and investing at current level
Not tracking Ashok Leyland.
ReplyDeleteDear Sir,
ReplyDeletePlz advise about orient bell currently.the stock has gone down hugely (around 30%) in the past 1-2 months..what your current recommendation for the stock. Should I book loss on it..?
Thanks in advance
Whether this will be included in the illiquid scrip category - is the only issue .Valuation is comfortable .
DeleteSir..I read most of your picks but you didn't recommended any banking stock.
ReplyDeleteIf you are tracking any please suggest for long term.
Already recommended Yes bank and ING Vysya few years back.
DeleteSir..how is swaraj engines for long term and what are your views on M&M financial...
ReplyDeleteSir..would you recommend Venus remedies and apcotex for long term investment...pls advise...
ReplyDeletesuch a great information on jain tirth and jain history, very interested to read more about jain religion.
ReplyDelete