Courtesy : Investopedia
Every company maneuvers the numbers to a certain extent to achieve budgets and get bonuses. This is nothing new. But sometimes companies take the fact-fudging too far. Factors such as greed, desperation, immorality and bad judgment drive some executives to corporate fraud.
Enron, Aldelphia and WorldCom are extreme examples of companies who cooked the books. They are the few bad apples that get all the headlines. Most companies are run by ethical people. They may bend the rules, but few take the process to the extremes of Enron or WorldCom - companies that claimed billions in assets but promptly went bankrupt when their false claims were exposed. If every company used fraudulent accounting, Wall Street would be empty and we'd all be investing in government bonds.
What can you do to protect your investments from Enron-style disasters? You need to learn the basic warning signs of earnings manipulation. While the details are usually hidden - even from the accountants - learning these money-manipulation methods will keep you alert to companies who may be cooking the books:
1. Accelerating Revenues
One way to accelerate revenue is booking lump-sum payment as current sales when services will be provided over a number of years. For example, a software service provider receives upfront payment for a four-year service contract but records the full payment as sales of only the period that the payment is received. The correct, more accurate, way is to amortize the revenue over the life of the service contract. (A recent change in accounting standards lead to a revenue boost for many companies that were required to defer revenue over several years.
A second revenue-acceleration tactic is called "channel stuffing." Here, a manufacturer makes a large shipment to a distributor at the end of a quarter and records the shipment as sales; however, the distributor has the right to return any unsold merchandise. Because the goods can be returned and are not guaranteed as a sale, the manufacturer should keep the products classified as a type of inventory until the distributor has sold the product.
2. Delaying Expenses
AOL got in trouble for this in the early 1990s when it capitalized the costs of making and distributing its CDs. AOL viewed this marketing campaign as a long-term investment and capitalized the expense. This transferred the costs from the income statement to the balance sheet where it was going to be expensed over a period of years. The more conservative (and appropriate) treatment is to expense the cost in the period the CDs were shipped. (The balance sheet is an important tool for gaining insight into a company's operations.
3. Accelerating Expenses Preceding an Acquisition
This may sound a little counter intuitive, but before a merger is completed, the company that is being acquired will pay, possibly prepay, as many expenses as possible. Then, after the merger, the EPS growth rate of the combined entity will be easily boosted when compared to past quarters. Furthermore, the company will have already booked the expense in the previous period.
4. "Non-Recurring" Expenses
By accounting for extraordinary events, these one-time charges were meant to help us better analyze ongoing operating results. It seems, however, that some companies take one of these each year. Then a few quarters later, they "discover" they reserved too much and are able to put something back into income (see next tactic).
5. Other Income or Expense
This category can house a multitude of sins. Here companies book any "excess" reserves from prior charges (non-recurring or otherwise). This is also the place where companies can hide other expenses by netting them against other newfound income. Sources of other income include selling equipment or investments.
6. Pension Plans
If a company has a defined benefit plan, it can use some special techniques to smooth earnings. During a bull market, the company can improve earnings by reducing its pension expense. If the investments in the plan grow faster than the company's assumptions, the company could record this gain as revenue. During the late 1990s, this was done by a number of large firms, some of them blue chips.
7. Off-Balance-Sheet Items
A company can create separate legal entities that can house liabilities or incur expenses that the parent company does not want to have on its financial statements. Because the subsidiaries are separate legal entities that are not wholly owned by the parent, they do not have to be recorded on the parent's financial statements and are thus hidden from investors.
8. Synthetic Leases
A synthetic lease can be used to keep the cost of new building from appearing on a company's balance sheet. The lease is a long-term (five- to 10-year) agreement under which a company will pay a fixed lease expense to be in a new headquarters. At the end of the lease, the company is obligated to buy the building, but because of the nature of the lease, this liability is not included on the balance sheet. (Who said accountants were boring and uncreative?) At the time the lease was made, the company may have been in fine financial shape and the economy may have been booming; however, the ability of the company to meet this huge obligation is hard to determine until shortly before maturity (one to two years).
The Bottom Line
If you tune into the items hidden in a company's financial statements, you may be able to spot some of the warning signs that point to earnings manipulation. This doesn't mean that the company is definitely cooking the books, but if a company makes you suspicious, that's a sure sign that you should dig deeper before making an investment.
Your views on recent developments regarding IDFC ?? Thank you
ReplyDeleteWhat is the new development happened in it ?
DeleteThere could be a reverse merger
DeleteHello VP sir
ReplyDeleteWhat are your views on DHP India and Nath bio-genes?
DHP is an already suggested stock @Rs.41 and requested to exit at higher level.as of now not tracking.
DeleteThanks sir for this valuable post .... Please your view upon istreet network and Deccan cement
ReplyDeleteNot tracking both
DeleteSir, really you to find some way to communicate to your followers on your findings of the best company . A very good book sitting in the library of no use, not saying you should break the rule, but there is will there is a way.
ReplyDeleteThat 'Some' is the difficult question.
DeleteDear VP, Claris life science seem to be a good proposition at the CMP. I did read few of your old posts about this. Do you recommend to invest or stay out because of management ?
ReplyDeleteSince they start to divest assets one buy One, I am not tracking Claris.
DeleteThank you.
Deletewhat is ur opinion about Lovable lingery, selan oil exploration, anant raj
ReplyDeleteTracking only Selan , not bad nut may test patience.
DeleteHi Sir your view on one of your old recommendation Nitta gelatine as it came up with great result again this quarter and also on India gelatine..can one add at cmp
ReplyDeleteAs of now not tracking
DeleteI like to know ur opinion about Crompton greaves @Rs 50 level
ReplyDeleteanil
More interested in their consumer business portion.
DeleteDear VP sir, pls share your views on rupa & company after French connection authorization.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Rupa
Deletethanks for taking time and helping us...appreciate it.
ReplyDeleteSir, can I buy granules India? I know its your old recommendation but I'm just starting to invest.
ReplyDeletePlease advise.
Granules suggested around Rs.70 before stock split.It already turned as a 20 bagger , not suggesting at CMP
DeleteGood informative post. Seeking your view on surana solar for long term.
ReplyDeleteSkeptical
DeleteDear VP sir,
DeleteBelated Happy B'day to you.
could you please advise on SKM and Pioneeer Emb for fresh entry.
I am holding Donear from 19 Level, Should I book there and get in Pioneer emb?
could you please also if any other good stock for investment in near term growth?
Waiting for your advise.
Please guide me about assoc alcohal
ReplyDeleteNot tracking
DeleteSir, saw a good article on shaily engg plastics..
ReplyDeletewould like to know if u have any views on the points raised in article especially ..the lack of pricing power and concentration risk..
http://www.moneylife.in/article/shaily-engineering-plastics-leap-of-faith/46849.html
Hai VP sir kindly post ur views on talbros automotive. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteHold
DeletePls share your thoughts on indo tech trans
ReplyDeletePositive on sector , tracking only IMP Powers from this sector.
DeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteYour views on Lakhsmi Energy results.??
Expecting worst is over for the co.
DeleteCorporate video - Lakshmi Energy & Foods
Deletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q-0pj_JunwQ
sir your view on Lincoln Pharma for long term investment
ReplyDeleteNot positive about their corporate governance standards.
Deletesir in new filling with bse mic is alloting fresh equity to his promoters @ rs 3 only is it gud for minority shareholders or company playing with small shareholders please guide us
ReplyDeleteThey are converting the warrants they took when the share prices are just Rs.3 . We all had opportunities to buy shares at Rs.3 at that time.
DeleteDear Sir, Panacea Biotec, what is the current opinion?
ReplyDeleteNot performed as per my expectation.
DeleteDear VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteCan you please advise on Gateway Distriparks Ltd.
Not strictly tracking it
DeleteWish you happy birthday sir
ReplyDeleteHi VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteNice to see you active in the comments sections .
Please share your view on Technvision Ventures Ltd and Saksoft Ltd
Not tracking TechNVision .
DeleteSaksoft suggested @ Rs.82 ,not suggesting at CMP
Wishing you a very happy birthday sir.
ReplyDeleteHappy Birthday VP Sir , may god bless you always!
ReplyDeleteWish you a very happy birthday my dear valuepick sir
ReplyDeleteRegards
Senthil
Many many happy returns of the day sir..
ReplyDeleteRegards,
chetan
Wish you a very happy birthday sir.
ReplyDeleteWish you many more happy returns of the day sir.
ReplyDeleteDear VP sir I am holding 7000 fcel@22. Is it a value holding or shift to some other stock? Plz guide me. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
DeleteMany more happy returns of the day sir
ReplyDeleteMany Many Happy returns of the day VP ji. May you thrive and continue to be our leading light in the ocean of darkness !
ReplyDeleteHappy birthday sir!!may you have a wonderful year ahead!
ReplyDeleteMany many happy returns of your Birthday sir.
ReplyDeleteजीवेत शरद: शतम।
Happy birthday vp sir
ReplyDeletemany more returns of the day VP ji
ReplyDeleteThanks to all for your wishes
ReplyDeleteSir
ReplyDeleteHappy Birthday
Does SEBI restrict one from expressing and sharing view on a company which doesn't purport to be a recommendation. So many analysts are doing through media and social media
Please share your views if not through blog either through Twitter or FaceBook or some financial sites like moneylife.in
That so many analysts may have support of strong institutions with enough influence and connections to deal with the situation if something go wrong , as an individual and one among you I lack the same.
DeleteHappy birthday sir. Have a wonderful year ahead.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteMany many Happy returns of the day VP sir.. God bless you with great health n happiness..
ReplyDeleteHappy birthday sir!! May god bless you forever!
ReplyDeleteHappy birthday VP sir.
ReplyDeleteHellow VP Sir, Happy birthday
ReplyDeleteHappy birthday sir. God bless you with the best
ReplyDeleteRespected Sir,
ReplyDeleteWish you a "Very Happy Birthday"
Many Happy Returns of the Day:)
ReplyDeleteWish You many returns of the Day!!
ReplyDeleteHappy b'day VP sir
ReplyDeletehappy birthday VP sir
ReplyDeletehoping my query gets answered this time. Is International Travel House still a hold given its not so good quarterly results twice in a row.
ReplyDeleteIt is a value buy and hold , but the issue is its business is not growing , that is why it range bound for long time.
DeleteMany more happy returns of the day VP sir
ReplyDeleteU Sundar
Happy Birthday VPji! Have a bullish, profitable and healthy years ahead.
ReplyDeleteNeed your thoughts on Store one owned by parents India bulls Wholesale, under UC this week. Hope you are tracking this script.
Thanks for wishes
DeleteNot tracking any company from Indiabulls group.
happy birthday!
ReplyDeleteSir do u feel we should book losses in skm or pateintly hold on ?? I know u dont want us to buy more...
ReplyDeleteI don't know why my readers are still asking this question despite several attempts to convey what I mean in case of SKM !!
DeleteSorry sir... I did not understand u advised to get out of SKM. I thought we should wait till results. Will do accordingly
DeleteHi VP,
ReplyDeleteHope you had wonderful day on your birth day!
Wish You Many Many Happy Returns Of The Day!
Warm Regards, Veera Brahmam
"What you are is God's gift to you. What you make of yourself is your gift to God"
Belated Bday wishes sir.
ReplyDeleteBelated wishes VP ji. Many more happy returns. Wishing you a healthy and happy life
ReplyDeleteSir, any comments on Jaypee Infratech?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it
Deletebelated happy birthday VP sir
ReplyDeletemany more happy birthday...
ReplyDeleteSir, What's your opinion on Vinati Organics Ltd ?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Vinati Org.
DeleteHappy Belated Birthday Sir! Wish you health, wealth and all-round success!
ReplyDeleteHappy birthday sir.
ReplyDeleteRespected vp sir
ReplyDeleteWhat is your views in sanghi industry?
Company is OK , sector revival is important.
DeleteSir, Can We accumulate SKM egg at CMP ? holding at 193 now
ReplyDeletemany more happy returns of the day sir...
ReplyDeleteHi Sir,
ReplyDeleteWat is your view on old reco Talwakars Fitness?
Neutral on Talwalkar.They are planning some big fun raising and their plans yet to disclose.
DeleteBelated happy birthday sir
ReplyDeleteSir any views on Swelect Energy Systems Limited considering the upcoming thrust on Solar Energy sector ?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Only the thrust on solar energy will not bring profit to Indian companies , the policy should be changed in order to help Indian manufacturers otherwise it will benefit mainly Chinese companies.
DeleteSir, i agree with you....considering the current policies and changes in favor of indian companies, would be able to provide your views on Swelect ?
DeleteThanks,
Ramesh
Wish you a very happy birthday sir
ReplyDeleteDear Sir
ReplyDeletewish u a very happy belated Birthday. i pray to god that you stay well, strong & good human being.
as a turnaround case can e-waste management company(cerebra ) makes a good sense for long term investment. ??
sir if not tracking please tell your views on this.
Skeptical on Cerebra
DeleteDear Sir, your comments on pioneer embroidery after result. In the result there is substantial portion of extraordinary loss due to doubtful trade receivable. Sir this is usual thing or some red flag because they are not able to collect money. Please reply sir.
ReplyDeleteSeems they are cleaning their balance sheet ,no meaning in keeping it there if they believe it is difficult to recover.
DeleteDear VP,
DeleteI think Pioneer investors would like to know your valuable opinion if you are POSITIVE on the results and whether we can HOLD for Long term. Kindly advice.
- On behalf of all PEM investors. Darshan S.
Dear VP, gentle reminder. Have a wonderful day.
DeleteHappy birthday Dear VP sir...let me know your view of IOL CHEMICALS AND PHARMA...it has good product portflio and biggest ibuprofen manufacturer.it looks good for long term. yr views are importnat
ReplyDeleteRecently company expanded the capacity of its manufacturing facilities . It is a potential turn around candidate.
DeleteSir,
Deletekindly give the link about its expansion i tried but not found the announcement of expansion....thanks
Dear VP Sir,
ReplyDeletePlz share your valuable views on Meghmani Organics at current market price.
Sir, whats your opinion on
ReplyDelete1.Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
2.Sanghvi Movers Ltd
3.Raunaq EPC International
Sorry not tracking above mentioned stocks.
DeleteSir pls share your view on Zicom sercurities.Stock has fallen from 180 level to just Rs60.
ReplyDeleteSizable business in middle east countries which may get affected due to fall in crude oil prices where the economy of these companies are closely linked with it.
DeleteValue pick sir wish you many many happy returns of the day i am tracking stock market since o years i have never seen an ethical blogger like you sir i wish i cud meet you some day just to take your blessing
ReplyDeleteThanks
Dialwealth
Sir thanks for the wonderful post. I have small doubt. In small cap companies, receivable days and inventory days vary a lot and we all know how much disclosures those companies give. In those case is it better to avoid them even if they are posing 20-25% growth consistently?
ReplyDeleteYour experience will be the key to the answer I think.
Belated Happy Birthday :)
Difficult to generalise,depends on the nature of business.
DeleteVPJI-can u look omnitex industries?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it.
DeleteHappy Birthday Sir. Thanks for all your inputs in the blog. It is very great site for investor education.
ReplyDeleteHello VP Sir,
ReplyDeleteCould you please give your views on Career Point.
I invested in career point 1.5 years ago, thinking its turning around and there were some articles which mentioned that it would get back to there peak level of students within 2 years, since exam format has changed back to old one.
But every quarter there is some wipe off of the non performing division, last quarter they closed some loss making divisions, this quarter automobile venture.
They have opened schools, university and also kids play school recently.
Venturing into NSDC program is recent move and some rajasthan govt training programs. 6 months ago they also planned to open financing for educations.
Financing is not there expertise but others are related ones.
Generally speaking there is lot of opportunities in education sector , but reality proves this sector is equally challenging .
DeleteBelated happy birthday sir.
ReplyDeleteBelated Happy Birthday Wishes Sir!!! May god shower his blessing for your longer healthier and wealthier life.
ReplyDeletethanks
Siva
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-Idk7n_XAE0
ReplyDeletePlease watch this video by chairman of mic electronics
Thanks to everyone for the birthday wishes.
ReplyDeleteDear VP Sir
ReplyDeleteBelated wish u Happy Birthday sir !!!
What is your view on Bank of India at CMP ?
Can we buy some qty. for 4-5 yrs. view.
Your opinion is valuable for us. Plz. reply.
Regards
Dinesh
Sir Allsec is performing really good. thank you very much
ReplyDeletei am sure there is more to come, should we book partial profits?
Sir, is sugar sector boom genuine?
ReplyDeleteany favorites in the sector?
Hi sir, need ur view on Action construction equipment, saregama
ReplyDelete