Showing posts with label Aries agro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Aries agro. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

ARIES AGRO - ACCUMULATE

Aries Agro  recommended more than twice  at various price points from Rs100 to 150  level.After touching a high of Rs.203/- in the month of September , currently it is ruling around  116/- . Aries showing  good performance in its operations in quarter after quarter and also having a transparent management.  I reiterate an ACCUMULATE at current level for decent return in  long term.

Old report is Reproducing Below
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Mounting food inflation is a serious threat to the economies worldwide. But some companies are benefiting from this situation .All governments are forced to take steps to improve food production using scientific methods and most modern techniques. Companies from the agri- related sectors are the major beneficiaries of  government’s such efforts.In India micro irrigation sector is getting very big boost in every budget .Even though fertilizer companies are also important in this perspective ,government control on fertilizer prices limiting their potential. Along with fertilizers, micronutrients  are  also gaining acceptance among Indian farmers. Moreover micronutrients  are not subject to the regulatory constraints that fertilizers face. The micronutrients business has considerable potential in the Indian context. Factors such as low yields of major food grains and horticultural crops, high soil alkalinity and intensive cultivation are the key demand drivers for micronutrients. The market for micronutrients such as zinc, iron and copper in India, is expected to double over the next two decades. ARIES AGRO is the largest player in micronutrients from the organised sector in India. The other two players in this sector(from organized space)  is Ranade Nutrients and Karnataka Agrochem ,but both are only regional players. Aries has 65 branded products coming from six  manufacturing units in India , one each at Mumbai, Kolkatta, Hyderabad , Bangalore ,Ahmedabad ,Lucknow and one new factory in UAE which is mainly for catering middle east region and North Africa .Aries is in the process of launching new products which include Natural amino acid chelates,Boidegradable chelates and Boidegradable plant protection products. With the inauguration of its Ahmedabad factory company entered into a new space of  Bio fertilizers too. Company’s largest  distribution network of 5500 distributors and 76500 (seventy six thousand five hundred) retail outlets  across India  is the main attraction for a rural centric business like this. In future company can easily roll out allied products throughout this network without much marketing efforts. In addition to this distribution points company has added a fleet of 100 rural retail vehicles called ‘Krishi Vinjan Vahan ‘ in 9 states in India.This is mainly for improving company’s rural reach and advisory services.

Going forward big corporates are expected to coming into the farming  sector of India in a big way. This will surely improve the prospects of  the products of  companies like Aries along with the initiatives of governments to increase food production. 

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

ARIES AGRO - REPEAT


Aries Agro is one of my old recommendation at 100-110 level.After touching a high of Rs.203/- in the month of September , currently it is ruling around  130/- . Aries showing  good performance in its operations in quarter after quarter and also having a transparent management.I reiterate an ACCUMULATE at current level for decent return in  long term.

Old report is Reproducing Below
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mounting food inflation is a serious threat to the economies worldwide. But some companies are benefiting from this situation .All governments are forced to take steps to improve food production using scientific methods and most modern techniques. Companies from the agri- related sectors are the major beneficiaries of  government’s such efforts.In India micro irrigation sector is getting very big boost in every budget .Even though fertilizer companies are also important in this perspective ,government control on fertilizer prices limiting their potential. Along with fertilizers, micronutrients  are  also gaining acceptance among Indian farmers. Moreover micronutrients  are not subject to the regulatory constraints that fertilizers face. The micronutrients business has considerable potential in the Indian context. Factors such as low yields of major food grains and horticultural crops, high soil alkalinity and intensive cultivation are the key demand drivers for micronutrients. The market for micronutrients such as zinc, iron and copper in India, is expected to double over the next two decades. ARIES AGRO is the largest player in micronutrients from the organised sector in India. The other two players in this sector(from organized space)  is Ranade Nutrients and Karnataka Agrochem ,but both are only regional players. Aries has 65 branded products coming from six  manufacturing units in India , one each at Mumbai, Kolkatta, Hyderabad , Bangalore ,Ahmedabad ,Lucknow and one new factory in UAE which is mainly for catering middle east region and North Africa .Aries is in the process of launching new products which include Natural amino acid chelates,Boidegradable chelates and Boidegradable plant protection products. With the inauguration of its Ahmedabad factory company entered into a new space of  Bio fertilizers too. Company’s largest  distribution network of 5500 distributors and 76500 (seventy six thousand five hundred) retail outlets  across India  is the main attraction for a rural centric business like this. In future company can easily roll out allied products throughout this network without much marketing efforts. In addition to this distribution points company has added a fleet of 100 rural retail vehicles called ‘Krishi Vinjan Vahan ‘ in 9 states in India.This is mainly for improving company’s rural reach and advisory services.

Going forward big corporates are expected to coming into the farming  sector of India in a big way. This will surely improve the prospects of  the products of  companies like Aries along with the initiatives of governments to increase food production. 

Saturday, October 30, 2010

WALL STREET JOURNAL ON ARIES AGRO

Aries agro is one of my earlier recommendation @ Rs.108/- .After touching a high of Rs.203/- ,now it is quoting around Rs.159/- .In the latest September qtr ,company posted healthy growth in top and bottom line.The good monsoon we got in this season is also expected to boost company's prospects.Long term investors can still BUY it at current rate . In my previous report ,I have mentioned the efforts taken by the company to introduce their products to farmers from remote rural areas by using Krishi Vigyan Vahan (KVV).Below is a small write up published by WALL STREET JOURNAL about this initiative:



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Fertilizers on Wheels





It's a few hours before sundown when a white and lime green truck rolls into Vanukuru village, located in the south eastern Indian state of Andhra Pradesh. The squeaky clean vehicle, equipped with a flat screen television and a loud speaker, stands out among old, grimy shops at the town center where it's parked. The truck, named "Krishi Vigyan Vahan," which means farmer's knowledge carrier, soon draws a crowd of about 40 farmers who have just returned from the fields. Before long, a shaded booth displaying a colorful array of fertilizer products is set up. Then, a video starring local film stars promoting fertilizers is screened on the television and blasted through the loud speaker.

As the crowd begins to grow, a marketing agent from a fertilizer company starts talking about the importance of zinc, iron, boron and other micronutrients to plant growth, plugging his products in the process. He is flanked by two other company representatives, a loyal customer and a village sarpanch – elected head of the village – who lends his legitimacy to the promotional event.
This scene has been replicated in more than 2,600 villages and satellite towns across India. It is part of a marketing strategy by the Mumbai-based fertilizer company Aries Agro Ltd. to tap into new markets which are the remote rural areas that do not have fertilizer retail stores and where there are improved irrigation systems.
Since its launch in June, Aries Agro, which focuses on micronutrients but also produces secondary nutrients and packaged water-soluble primary fertilizers, has rolled out more than 70 such trucks across the country. The trucks are tracked via satellite and the data -- net weight, distance covered, time spent at each stop – is compiled daily at the Mumbai headquarters.
"By actually going on the mobile format, which is basically my rural retail vehicles, I'm covering six to seven villages a day. So my cost is getting spread over six or seven villages, rather than an entire investment on physical infrastructure in one village," says Rahul Mirchandani, executive director of Aries Agro. The company has so far invested 48.80 million rupees ($1.05 million) into the vehicles and has forked out another 34,000 rupees towards operational costs per vehicle each month.
Aries Agro, a medium-sized fertilizer company, has a production capacity of 84,000 tons of micronutrients and 60,000 tons of secondary nutrients and water-soluble primary fertilizers per year. Last year, the company made a net profit of 57.12 million rupees.
Primary fertilizers consist of nutrients such as nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium that are needed in large quantities for plant growth, while secondary nutrients such as calcium, magnesium and sulphur and micronutrients such as zinc, boron, iron and manganese are used in smaller quantities.
India is one of the largest producers of primary fertilizers in the world –second largest producer of nitrogen after China and third largest producer of phosphate after China and the U.S., according to the Fertiliser Association of India or FAI. From 2008 to 2009, the country produced 33 million tons of primary fertilizer products. The estimated total consumption of primary fertilizer products in the country increased from 45.96 million tons in 2007-2008 to 50.8 million tons in the last fiscal year. There is more demand than domestic supply of primary fertilizers.
As for micronutrients, the annual production of zinc sulphate alone was about 88,000 tons in 2008-2009, according to FAI.

"I used to travel (to the fields) during the agricultural season and I see the demand (for micronutrients) is increasing," says Kanak M. Sarkar, president of the Indian Micro Fertilizers Manufacturers Association, adding the increase in demand stems from years of product demonstrations by fertilizer companies.
According to Mr. Sarkar, in the recent years, large primary fertilizer companies have noticed this and are also entering the market, competing with 400 to 450 smaller micronutrient companies in the country.
"We have to fight this problem. I cannot foresee what will happen in the future. (But) we cannot just leave this field open for them," says Mr. Sarkar.
But for Mr. Mirchandani from Aries, larger companies entering the micronutrient production business would only expand the market and create more demand. Smaller companies, he says, would however, have to provide value-added bonuses to their products in order to compete. For Aries, it's letting farmers book for products off the truck and providing accident and health insurance coverage for purchases -- a 50,000 rupees coverage for a purchase worth 1,000 rupees.
"It's useful to buy (from the truck), because we are getting a receipt, insurance coverage and the product for 1,000 rupees. It's worth it," says Nellore Chandramouli, a 52-year-old farmer in Vinjanampadu village in Andhra Pradesh.
But the vehicles are still a substantial investment -- more than eight times the cost of outsourcing promotional programs through an external company. Aries spent about a million dollars on the trucks this year and $122,508 while outsourcing promotions last year. Company executives say promotions when outsourced, were smaller in scale and had less reach to remote rural areas.
Coromandel Fertilisers Ltd., one of the big players in fertilizer production in India, spent about 500 million rupees in setting up 412 retail outlets in Andhra Pradesh, selling fertilizers, pesticides, veterinary products and household items. The venture has since brought home 2 billion rupees in revenue in the last fiscal year. Company representatives say they expect the retail stores to break even in 2010.
"The breadth of Andhra Pradesh is being covered by these centers now. We're moving now into Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Karnataka in the years to come. So the idea is to get direct retailing to the farmer," says V. Ravichandran, managing director of Coromandel Fertilisers.
In addition to its retail stores, Coromandel Fertilisers, which has a manufacturing capacity of 3.1 million tons per year of fertilizers, has also been marketing its products by sending vehicles to remote parts of Andhra Pradesh. The company has a ground staff of 1,200 individuals connected to villages throughout the state.
But be it via retail stores, trucks, farmers meetings or media advertising, fertilizer companies, big and small, primary, secondary and micronutrient producers, agree that having product demonstrations is the key to selling new products and expanding the market.
"We believe in approaching the farmers directly," says Mahesh Gopal Shetty, director of the Karnataka-based Multiplex Group of Companies, which produces micronutrients, bio fertilizers, organic manure, pesticides and bio pesticides. "Seeing is believing for these guys."

Saturday, July 3, 2010

AGRICULTURE / FARMING - THE NEXT BIG ' THEME ' IN INDIA ?




Different ‘themes’ catching up in any stock market time to time,
and company’s from such sectors giving many fold returns in
short period. In India ,earlier it was IT, then Real Estate
(based on land bank stories), again Power, Education,
Bio technology …etc. A common feature in all these times are
,lot of companies changing their name to add such hot ‘tags ‘ along
with their name to lure retail investors in order to rig the  price
easily  and then offload their own shares to public at higher rate
and make money. Most of these chameleon companies may not
have any relation with such new ‘themes’ other than its names .
So even if that theme really works ,price of  such name changed
companies will not  sustain at higher level when people realize
the facts. What I mean is  , don’t buy a stock  only because
of its name but do  some basic  home work to ensure that the
particular company have at least some operations in such high
potential ‘theme’ sectors.                
          Considering the thrust of government ,changing lifestyle
and disposable income level - ‘Agriculture’,  to more specific
‘Farming’ is considered as the next big theme in India.
All allied businesses of farming are expected to get re-rated
in future which include Micro Irrigation , Seeds,
Agrochemicals, Bio fertilizer, Pesticides, Micro nutrients etc.
(Since the prices of most of the fertilizers other than Bio
fertilizers are  under govt control in India  , this sector may
not out perform) .In the first leg , till farming developed in   a
corporate level and production of such agri products improve
substantially  ,companies processing these agri products
without proper backward integration may face stiff margin
pressure. In order to avoid such a contraction  in
margins , food processing companies should go for
farming and produce - what they need.

              Unfortunately most of our listed players with ‘AGRO’
tag are merely processors of agri products after procuring the
same from farmers. So when we look into investment
opportunities in agri related company’s  ,we should clearly
distinguish  whether the company is in farming and  related
sector or only in agri processing sector. If it is in agri
processing sector only , it may enjoy a valuation which is
available for food processing sector now and not get a
premium as in the case of  farming may get in future. Needless to
say ,JAIN IRRIGATION is the undisputed beneficiary 
( by all means ) of improved activity in farming related sectors
 and it is difficult to imagine another company in near future in
its place due to its top class management , aggressive and
 inorganic growth plans , and integrated status. We have
already discussed some other companies like Aries agro ,
Rungta Irrigation ..etc in past  and expected to bring few
more companies to your attention in coming weeks.
So before catching anything with ‘AGRO’ tag –Think twice                        

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