Friday, April 29, 2011

HERITAGE FOODS (INDIA) Ltd - A Star in Making











Heritage Foods(India) Ltd - may be called as a unique listed company .This is because of the nature of its integrated operations in agri related sector. This company is promoted by Mr Chandra Babu Naidu - former chief minister of Andhra Pradesh.Company having four divisions- Dairy Business,Retail Business,Agri Business and Bakery Business.



DAIRY DIVISION






Heritages Dairy business having one of the largest network in India for collecting,processing  and supplying milk. It span Across Andhra Pradesh, Tamilnadu, Karnataka, Kerala and Maharastra and consists of a number of collection points 12 packing stations, 75 chilling centers/bulk coolers,4 ice plants ..etc.Company sells Milk and Milk Products including Ghee, Paneer, Ice Cream, Cooking butter, Lassi, Doodhpeda, Fresh Cream, Curd etc.It is very difficult for any company to set up such a large supply chain which is crucial for the success of any company in Dairy business.Company also exporting Heritage Pure Ghee and Heritage Butter in Bulk and Consumer Packs from two of its units located at Tirupati and Chittoor. Company also established about 1000 'Heritage Parlor's to sell its value added dairy products across south India.


RETAIL DIVISION





Under the retail division company is selling Groceries ,fresh fruits and vegetables. Under the brand "Farmers Pride”, company offers a full range of staples like rice, pulses, spices , dry fruits..etc Company operating retail stores in two formats - Flagship store (2500 Sqft) where it sells Fresh fruits and vegetables, grocery, processed food, cleaning aids, General merchandise, bakery, dairy, beverages, and frozen food and 'Daily'format stores(1000 sqft) where it sells foods and vegetable items.In total ,company owns about 80 retail stores.

AGRI BUSINESS DIVISION







Through Agri business division ,Company having strong presence in contract farming of vegetables and fruits. These items are selling through its own retail stores. Vegetables and seasonal fruits are produced through contract farmers and then it reaches at pack houses via collection centers strategically located in villages for washing, sorting, grading and packing and dispatch to the retail stores .This backward integration ensures the  freshness of vegetables and fruits sold through retail stores.Agri division activities are based at Chitoor (Andhra Pradesh), Kolar (Karnataka), Krishnagiri (Tamil Nadu) Medak and Nalgonda in Andhra Pradesh .Company having two pack houses one at Mattam and other at Mulugu. Heritage also having a Poly Green House facility for Production of Vegetable Seeds for supplying to farmers engaged in contract farming.

BAKERY DIVISION







Bakery Division  is relatively a new initiative of the company ,Currently this division operates at 14 company-owned stores in Andhra Paradesh and it is planning to expand it. This division also running Hyderabad’s first Premium Bistro as “ Heritage Bon Sante Bistro” in Jubilee Hills.

What is special with Heritage food ?


This company is growing as a one stop shop for daily needs through its various verticals. This integrated business model which includes farming,processing ,retailing ,baking and diary - Heritage is a company with no comparable listed players.It is very difficult to replicate a supply chain created by Heritage which connects the farmers from remote villages with the consumers of Metros.Only negative side of its operations is the poor performance of its Retail division which is eating a major portion of the profit generated by the dairy division .After the dismal performance of retail division last year ,now company took many cost cutting efforts and even closed down some shops which are unviable. As a result ,in the December quarter loss of this division has come down by 50%.For the nine month ended December ,Heritage posted a turnover of Rs.788 Cr and a net loss of Rs.46 lakhs.It is expected to back to black on a full year basis and post good performance going forward.Any chance of a turnaround in Retail division or a separation of this division from the main company will surely changes its fortune.Chances of such a move is very high in future. Stock price of Heritage foods moved up in recent times and it is trading around Rs.234/- .Any correction below Rs.200 should be consider as a buying opportunity with a four digit price target in five years.

Thursday, April 28, 2011

VESUVIUS INDIA

I have recommended a BUY on this company @ Rs.251/- on April 8 ,2010 .Currently it is quoting around Rs.371/- .Company is continuing its steady performance in its top line and bottom line and it is expected to show the same trend in the future.Recommending a HOLD at CMP

Old Report is re produced below
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VESUVIUS INDIA - A WORLD CLASS COMPANY

Vesuvius India is a part of U K based COOKSON group and one of the largest manufacturer of Refractories in India .In 2008 Cookson aquires foseco hence
two companies (Vesuvius India and Foseco India) are operating in India under the same parent. But the product line of these two companies are different and
are not competing each other. Vesuvius India makes high-end refractory products,flow control systems and services.These products are used by steel manufacturers using the continuous casting process for manufacturing steel.
Since most of the steel producers have switched to this technology company’s products are in good demand and the increase in steel production due to the revival in core sector will help the company a lot in future.Cement,glass,foundry and
petrochemical industries are also using company’s products. Company’s main plants are located in Kolkatta and visakapatanam. Strength of parent and its leadership position in refractory products with strong R&;D is expected to help the company
to add more products to its portfolio.Company has posted a turnover of Rs.364 crore and a net profit of 37 crore last year.company’s year ending is in December .Next financial year Vesuvius is expected to perform even better mainly because
of the improvement in steel production where its products are used.Vesuvius is an excellent MNC company available at a P/E of just 13 which is at the lower end for a
company like this.CMP is Rs.251/-

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

NEULAND LABORATORIES LTD - REPEAT

Earlier this scrip was recommended as a BUY @ Rs.119 and also requested for book profit @ Rs.156/- .Currently it is quoting around Rs.127 /- .I feels it is the time to re-look at this stock for buying for decent return in medium to long term

Old Report HERE

Sunday, April 24, 2011

NILE LTD - RESULT UPDATE

I have covered NILE Ltd in one of my old posting when it was @ Rs.115/- .( Read it  HERE) .Currently NILE is quoting around Rs.165/- .Company declared its full year numbers on Saturday.Backed by the surging prices of lead and lead alloys which is two of its major products,.company posted robust numbers this time .For the full year ended March 31.2011,NILE posted a turnover of Rs.300 Cr v/s 145 Cr and a net profit of Rs.7.17 Cr v/s Rs.3.24 Cr .Full year EPS is Rs.24/- .Company also declared a dividend of 20%

EASTER WISHES TO ALL


Saturday, April 23, 2011

SAH PETROLEUMS LTD -BUY





SAH Petroleums is relatively a new comer in the business of blending and marketing of automotive engine oils .Company already having presence in industrial lubricants,Transformer oil,White oil  and rubber process oils.
Company having two units ,one at Vasai and other at Daman.SAH marketing its products under the brand name 'IPOL'. Even if this industry is lead by multinational companies like Castrol and other PSU oil  companies  ,Sah could survive and grow steadily in past few years.Considering the potential of the industry and the prospects of the company ,in 2008 Sah Petro was taken over by NAVIS CAPITAL ,a private equity player based in Malaysia. Navis is one of the largest Private equity firm in South East Asia and it is currently  holding about 62% stake in this company .Out of the total equity of Rs.22 Cr only  10  % is held by general public.Now company is establishing a pan India marketing network to expend its operation where there was no presence earlier. Last year company posted a turnover of Rs.288 Cr and a net loss of Rs.6 Cr.With the effective initiatives including cost reduction  company back to black in the lasted nine months.For the nine month period ended December 2010 ,SAH posted a top line of Rs.250 Cr and a bottom line of Rs.11.5 Cr  and an EPS of Rs.2.9 on FV Rs.5 shares.Even if the cost of raw material is on a rise ,due to good demand company can pass on a portion of it to the end users. The most attractive part of this company is that it is owned by a P/E player with good track record.There is every possibility that  in future this company  may sold to some large national /international players from oil/lubricants industry at a premium to the current market price.Even we exclude this possibility , turnaround performance of SAH deserves a close look at CMP of Rs.27/-

Thursday, April 21, 2011

EPC INDUSTRIE - EVENT UPDATE

EPC Industrie announced the date for the declaration of  its fourth quarter result as 29th April 2011.Most probably ,this will the last working result under the old management .Open offer by M &M will be completed shortly and a change in management control is expected on completion of the open offer formalities. Fruits of fresh fund infusion ( at least the effect of debt repayment) is expected to positively affect its bottom line from the June quarter result onwards .Keep Holding.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

TOKYO PLAST INTERNATIONAL - A PENNY STOCK TO BUY

 


Tokyo Plast International is the manufacturer of “PINNACLE ‘ brand Thermoware products. Company's main products are Thermo Containers,Insulated coolers,Beverages containers..etc. considering the increasing popularity of Pizza Consumption ,recently company introduced  single and double layered Pizza containers .Company having two manufacturing units – one located at Kandla and other at Daman. Company is concentrating in exports and earned an income of Rs.38 Crore (out of total sale of Rs.41 cr ) from exports last year  which is an improvement of almost 50 % from previous year. Its total income tripled in last five years where sales improved from Rs.14 Cr to Rs.41 Cr and bottom line from just Rs.7 lac to Rs.2.33 Cr in the said period. In last one year promoters also hiked their stake marginally. Even if the company’s  products are not strictly comparable with the products manufactured by other  houseware manufactures like TTK prestige , Gandhimathi appliances, Kanchan International ..etc  the trend in demand growth is moving almost in the same line based on the consumption story. Chances are also there for expanding the business into the manufacturing of other related housewares where there is large opportunity is available in a country with a population of 120 Crore . Company is expected to close this full year with an EPS of Rs.3/- . In the past two days its share price appreciated sharply but even thereafter it is currently trading with a P/E multiple of just  4 + on the expected full year EPS of FY 2010-11 . Considering the steady growth of topline  it shows in the past many years and recent efforts to introduce value added new products – which is expected to improve the margins-  Tokyo plast is a suitable low priced scrip for investors with patience . Currently trading both in NSE and BSE at a price around Rs.14/-

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

EPC INDUSTRIE - BE READY TO REAP





Nowadays I am receiving lot of queries regarding the strategy to be followed on EPC Industrie Ltd ( BSE Code - 523754) . I have recommended this company @ Rs.61/- in last August (Old posting  HERE ) which is currently quoting around Rs.140/- . In my old post ,I clearly mentioned that EPC is a potential takeover target by big players. As expected ,auto major Mahindra and Mahindra ( M & M) took over this company by subscribing 65,58,065 Equity Shares @ Rs.66.10/- . Mandatory open offer for another 20 % is currently going on . On the new equity base of 17 Cr .M&M will hold close to 38 % , two foreign P/E players will hold 32 % ,old promoters will hold 16 % and the general public  will hold 14 % .On completion of the open offer ( nothing is expected to get since market price is above open offer price) , share holding will be re classified so as M& M will be the new promoters and old promoters will be moved to public category. In many of the recent interviews Mahindra's indicated their decision to concentrate in futuristic industries other than Automobile.Takeover of EPC is a bold decision in this direction.The potential of Micro irrigation in India is huge and a major portion is still untapped .As on date there is only one major player in the listed space ,ie,Jain Irrigation.Due to lack of sufficient working capital EPC could not tap the opportunities available even if it an  approved supplier to the Micro irrigation projects initiated by Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh State governments .Last year central government upgraded its micro irrigation  scheme to a national mission with an outlay of Rs 8032.90 Crore .Recent fund infusion by M&M is really a game changer for EPC which currently having a debt burden of around 30 Cr.It is indicated  that the fund raised through preferential issue will be utilized for repayment of debt , working capital requirements, capacity expansion and implementation of new generation drip irrigation technology .Moreover,doing micro irrigation projects on a turnkey basis is the money spinner now and many private parties are demanding such models .Till now EPC lacks the money power and other facilities to execute such projects ,but the situation will change in future. As a coincident , M & M recently de-merged its agri related business division Mahindra Shubhlabh Services Limited.This de-merged entity is handling  M &M's Agri Inputs Business, produces and distributes seed, seed potato ,selling  crop care products and also handling contract farming in large area for  Basmati, Maize, Barley, Cotton, Moong, Soybeans, Durum, Hyola ..etc  and other oilseeds such as Sunflower and Mustard. At this stage there is no chance for a merger of both these companies ,but we can't ruled out an integration of all the agri related businesses under the fold of  the listed EPC Industries in future.


Another point is ,tracking the trading pattern and price movement of EPC Industrie in the past few months ,I strongly feels that huge accumulation is happening in this counter even at a level double to the open offer price by  M & M . In nut shell,In the hands of a management like M & M with large network of agriculture related business( Tractor) , good reputation with money power - EPC Ind having a chance to grow by leaps and bounds especially at a time the parent is seriously thinking beyond their conventional auto business.So one should hold the stock at current level and try to add in small lots if there is any correction below Rs.120/- due to the over all weakness of the market. If everything clicks well and you have patience , EPC Ind may go even beyond your imagination. CMP is Rs.140/-                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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